“Ah, but, could be argue that they have under-performed and that has impacted the PW% – thus, the basis for the need of the fixes?”

Good question. I suspect the answer could be found if you broke it down according to thirds.

I want to mention again that the 89 win season was supposed to be last season. Based on numbers so far, the Yanks works out to 27-28 wins, and the O’s work out to 30-31 wins, based on the scored/allowed differential.

Will they finish that way? Maybe, maybe not, but I wouldn’t mind seeing what the deal is.

Looking at Lee’s stat package, the Yanks better get their pitching in order, if they want to do anything. When 2 of your starters (Brown, Pavano) have negative RSAA, and two others have 1 & 0 (RJ & Wang) RSAA, you’re not going to win much, unless your offense bails you out most of the time

Imagine if our staff pitched like we expected them to when we got them? I’m not even saying in their prime. What if KB and RJ and Wright were pitching like they were the year before they came to the Yankees? That’d be unreal…which I guess is why it isn’t happening.

Ah, but, could be argue that they have under-performed and that has impacted the PW% – thus, the basis for the need of the fixes?

Projected by Pythagoreas .

Pythagorean Winning Percentage (Bill James gets the credit, IIRC) is (runs scored^2)/((runs scored^2)+(runs allowed^2))

Some places, the exponent’s 2, but over @ Baseball-reference, they use 1.83. Looking @ the projected vs actual numbers @ baseball-reference, I’d say 1.83 is pretty darn close

Raf – projected by who?

Phil – glad you asked. Let me think about that.

And, I agree too that Brown looked better than his numbers last night.

Agreed Phil, but there’s also the potential that Brown will lose that game of ping pong to his opponent during that “Kids on Deck” episode on YES, then flip out that he lost to a kid: He then tries to swallow a pp paddle whole, and then jumps out of a second story window thus sending him to the DL for 1 month.

FWIW, they were projected to win 89 games last year.

OK- Steve- if you are the Big Stein- what is your first move?

how about we trade all of our first basemen- Tino, Giambi, Russ Johnson and Andy Phillips for Todd Helton.

Another positive from last night- Brown. Yeah he gave up some runs, not all earned- but he was absolutely throwing GAS the whole game….he is starting to shape up.