Not So Uphill Anymore?
Posted by Steve L. on September 21st, 2005 · Comments (4)
On September 12th, I shared this:
The latest “odds” from CoolStandings.com:
Boston: Win AL East = 79.5%.
Cleveland: Win AL Wildcard = 71.4%.Yankees: Win AL East = 20.5%, Win AL Wildcard = 9.6%.
Well, just nine days later, this is what they say now:
Boston: Win AL East = 55.5%.
Cleveland: Win AL Wildcard = 67.0%.
Yankees: Win AL East = 44.5%, Win AL Wildcard = 7.6%.
New York is still not the favorite, huh? That’s O.K. It will just make it sweeter if they win it.
WHEN
…
not if (Do or do not – there is no try)
I gotta start printing up some Grind It shirts!
Interesting to compare these standings to the more sophisticated analyses done at Baseball Prospectus. For what it’s worth, they are very close.
Sometimes it doesn’t have to be complicated to work.