At this moment, the Yankees and Red Sox are tied for first:
And, including tonight, each team has just 6 games left.
If I had to guess, I’m thinking that Boston will win two of it’s next three against Toronto.
So, at the best, the Yankees will be 1 game up heading into the final weekend at Fenway. Or, they could be as far down as two back. Again, this is assuming that the Blue Jays can win at least one of the next three games.
If the Yankees are one-up heading in, they need to win two of three in Fenway to take the A.L. East. If the Yankees are two-back heading into Fenway, they need to win all three games in Boston to win the A.L. East.
This tells me a couple of things.
First, for the Yankees to win the A.L. East, they’re going to need help from the Blue Jays. Toronto needs to win more than just one game in Fenway between now and Thursday.
Secondly, unless Toronto helps out, it’s very uphill for the Yankees. Going into Fenway, needing 2 of 3? Or, needing a sweep?
On average, including the game this afternoon, Boston wins 2 out of every 3 games in Fenway (this year).
Therefore, now, I’m thinking maybe it’s time to start thinking about Wildcard in addition to the A.L. East. There’s no shame there.
Ask the 2004 Red Sox. Or, the 2003 Marlins. Or, the 2002 Angels.
Getting into the dance is the fun. Does it matter which door you go in?