• Yanks Vs. Mets – The Sticks

    Posted by on September 21st, 2006 · Comments (5)

    Two days ago, I used the CBE to compare the Yankees and Mets pitching staffs. The findings there were:

    … the Yankees have a better front end of the rotation and the Mets have a deeper bullpen in terms of effectiveness.

    At that time, I also promised to compare the hitters for these two teams once the Yankees clinched. So, here are the 2006 stats, through last night’s game:

    YanksMets921.jpg

    As you can see, the Yankees “Big Four” is the top of their line-up: Damon, Jeter, Abreu and Giambi. And, for the Mets, it’s Reyes, Beltran, Wright and Delgado. (I’m not sure if those are the first four hitters in the Mets line-up, like the Yankees, but, they should be – based on their performance.)

    And, the Damon-Jeter-Abreu-Giambi team matches up with the Reyes-Beltran-Wright-Delgado group. In fact, the Yankees probably have a slight edge here – around 10%.

    But, after that, the Yankees have some nice advantages over the Mets.

    The Yankees, after the “Big Four” throw A-Rod, Posada, Cano, and two from the Cabrera-Matsui-Sheffield cluster out there – whereas the Mets counter with Jose Valentin, Endy Chavez, Shawn Green, Paul LoDuca and Cliff Floyd. Here’s the Yankees advantage is probably tenfold.

    Lastly, in terms of pinch-hitters, the Yankees will have Bernie Williams and one from the Cabrera-Matsui-Sheffield cluster on the bench. The Mets counter this with Chris Woodward and Julio Franco. As a Yankees fan, I’ll take that match-up everyday of the week.

    In summary, the Yankees have a much deeper offensive team than the Mets. When it comes to offense, the advantage here is clearly “Yankees.”

    Comments on Yanks Vs. Mets – The Sticks

    1. baileywalk
      September 21st, 2006 | 11:12 am

      Yeah, but…

      Randy Johnson cannot pitch to the Mets. Since he’s gotten here, he’s been shelled by them. And this year was just an embarrassment. He got bombed in Shea after the team gave him a four-run lead. He got bombed in Yankees Stadium, too. And Wright similarly got whacked (I think he lasted less than two innings that night).

      I don’t think Wang has ever faced them. And Moose can hold his own.

      But if two of your four pitchers have a problem against a team, that’s scary.

      On the other hand, Pedro, Glavine and El Duque have all pitched effectively against the Yankees (though we don’t know what we’ll get from Pedro and Duque is a flake).

      So while I have some confidence that we can make it to the World Series, if we meet up with the Mets there it will absolutely be no cakewalk.

    2. September 21st, 2006 | 11:27 am

      Unit tips his pitches to the Mets:

      http://www.waswatching.com/archives/2006/07/look_its_a_tip.html

      Maybe a few intentional “cross up’s” might solve that issue and allow him to pitch better against them?

    3. September 21st, 2006 | 11:40 am

      >>(I’m not sure if those are the first four hitters in the Mets line-up, like the Yankees, but, they should be – based on their performance.)

      On most days the top of the Mets lineup reads

      Reyes
      LoDuca
      Beltran
      Delgado
      Wright

    4. Matty D
      September 21st, 2006 | 1:53 pm

      Mike A–

      Reyes is the key to the Mets lineup, no? The Met lineup reminds me a lot of the Angels lineup which can cause the Yanks some agita.

      Figgins and Reyes are essentially the same style player. Reyes has more pop in his bat, but leading off a game, if he gets on chances are he scores at some point as he will invariably steal on the Yankees catchers. In a NYY-NYM series Posada’s arm will really be tested.

      The bottom of the Met lineup is indeed way worse than the Yankees but can be feasted on.

      One thing I always bring up when talk turns to the potential ’06 Subway Series, the Mets have done all their damage against the NL. A sustained 7-game series against the Yankees will really wear down the Met pitching staff.

      Also, the big postseason experience intangible favors the Yankees. I’m not sure ANYONE in the Met lineup except Beltran and Julio Franco has any postseason experience.

    5. Raf
      September 21st, 2006 | 3:34 pm

      Also, the big postseason experience intangible favors the Yankees. I’m not sure ANYONE in the Met lineup except Beltran and Julio Franco has any postseason experience.
      ==========
      You never know; Beltran had no postseason experience before 2004, and he did ok :)

      FWIW, of the players listed, only Valentin, Beltran, Tucker, Floyd, Marrerro, DiFelice & Franco have postseason experience.

      If both teams make it that far, it should be an interesting series (:

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