So, the Yankees have started this season with a record of 8-11. How does that compare to other starts under Joe Torre? Here’s the answer:
This tells us that the Yankees’ start this season is the same, just about, as 1997, 2004, and 2005.
This is interesting to me. One of my recent studies, suggested that the 1997 Yankees were an underachieving team and that the 2004-05 Yankees were much worse than their win totals suggested (because of their inferior pitching).
We know that the 2007 Yankees pitching has been bad to date. Will it get better? That all depends on Mussina, Pavano, and Hughes (or Karstens). If they can join Wang and Pettitte, it should be better. This also assumes that Igawa is removed from the rotation.
But, if Pavano is a bust, and Hughes (or Kartsens) can’t handle the bigs yet, and Mussina proves to be an older pitcher (and shaky) this year, this season could be just like 2004 and 2005…in terms of how good the Yankees will be (compared to teams that can actually pitch). By this, I mean, sure, they still might win 90+ games – and maybe even finish first – despite the poor start. But, in the end, come October, they will have no chance.