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  • A-Rod’s Non-Homering Streak

    Posted by on May 7th, 2007 · Comments (0)

    So, Alex Rodriguez has gone 11 games now without a homer. What does this mean? Actually, Lee Sinins sent me an e-mail, back on May 3rd, that provides some insight to this type of question. Here’s what Lee said four days ago:

    This is the 130th 5 game stretch in which Rodriguez was homerless.

    In his 11 full years, Rodriguez actually has more years in which he was in double digits (7) than not (4).

    Being in double digits means, if we added up those homerless games that counted towards this stat, that’s 50 games, which is just under 1/3 of the season.

    Rodriguez’s 130 such spans covers 650 homerless games, which would span 37% of his career.

    And we reach those last 2 figures by not even counting any game that was #6, 7, 8, 9 of the streak.

    YEARLY BREAKDOWN
    1994 3
    1995 6
    1996 12
    1997 15
    1998 12
    1999 8
    2000 14
    2001 9
    2002 6
    2003 14
    2004 12
    2005 10
    2006 8
    2007 1

    (Methodology: a 5 game dought = 1, then I started recounting, so if he reached 10 it would equal 2. I could have taken the approach that a 6 game dought equals 2 5 game stretches (games 1-5, 2-6), but didn’t.)

    This tells us that Alex’s current streak is no big deal. It’s happened before…and will happen again. I guess there’s truth to the thought that homeruns are like bananas…they come in bunches.

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