Curt Schilling speaks about the Red Sox chances this year:
Players on both teams know how far is left in the race, neither team is even remotely thinking it’s over one way or the other. Bottom line is that we have complete control of our own destiny. Playing this schedule means that when you get a lead this big you’ll play the teams behind you enough to finish them off, or let them back in. Throw out my inconsistency and I like our chances. Obviously we need to stay healthy, but we have a solid deep team with tremendous character and those two things are tremendously important over the course of 162 schedule. Add to that a front office that you know will fill any hole we might have come the trading deadline and you have to feel good about this team.
OK, let’s look at the facts: The Sox have 116 games left and the Yankees have one more than that total. Boston is not going to go 78-38 in their remaining games (as their current pace would suggest). However, the Red Sox could go 68-48 in the games that they have left…as their team is that good.
This means the Yankees would have to go 79-38 (which is a .675 clip in terms of winning percentage!) to pass the Red Sox. And, that’s not going to happen.
Bottom line, if the Red Sox play well, New York won’t catch them.
As I have stated many times this season, the only way the Yankees catch the Red Sox at this point is if Boston chokes.
In 2005, the (first place) Red Sox lost 12 of 18 games from June 27th to July 18th. And, in 2006, the Red Sox lost 21 games in August (and went 8-21 on the month). Those 21 losses tied the all-time record for losses in a month by a team that started the month in first place. (Boston held a one-game lead over New York at the end of July 2006.)
Assuming New York plays well in their remaining games, Boston will need to choke for the third year in a row for the Yankees to finish first this season. Can that happen? Sure. But, it’s far from a given.
Schilling should like his team’s chances this year. But, to come out with these statements now, to me, is the same as someone saying “I like the sun’s chances to rise in the east and set in the west tomorrow” with the intent to make themselves look like some kind of hero because they are willing to ‘stick their neck out’ against all those who may dare make claim that the sun will not come out tomorrow.
Heck, Manny Ramirez makes bigger reaches than this when he goes to pick his nose.
I guess the paint-myself-the-hero moves are all downhill after the mercurochrome “stained” sanitary sock trick – if this is the best that Schilling can offer now.