the truth is you never really can know for sure unless the matchup is so lopsided that everyone knows who is going to win anyway.
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And even then it’s not guaranteed; Dodgers – A’s in 1988, A’s – Reds in 1990, to name but a couple of upsets

Predictions are worthless, there’s no reason to even pay attention to them.

Everyone in the media predicted the Yankees were dead before the season was half over and how did that turn out?

Last year nobody in their right mind would have guessed the Cardinals would have won the world series, most people predicted they would lose in the first round.

To me you can not be an expert on predicting who will win a series. You can look at the stats any way you want and say they favor one team or another but the truth is you never really can know for sure unless the matchup is so lopsided that everyone knows who is going to win anyway.

Paul is using full season stats when some of those players won’t even be involved in the series.

Why should Cliff Lee’s or Kei Igawa’s ERA’s and results matter? They won’t play in this series.

Why should Josh Barfield’s or Wil Nieves’ slugging pct and other numbers be used as a measure? Barfield won’t see the light of day and Nieves is just a fond memory.

Whether he’s right or wrong with his predictions I don’t see how these guys’ performances have a bearing on anything.