• Johan Santana – After “The Game”

    Posted by on November 28th, 2007 · Comments (5)

    On August 19th, Johan Santana had one of those “games.” In his start that day, he whiffed 17 of the 26 batters that he faced.

    In the 7 games that followed that start, which was the rest of the games that Johan pitched in 2007, Santana had an ERA of 5.11 in 44 IP. In those 7 games, he allowed an opponent’s OPS of .814 in 190 PA.

    Going into that 17-K game, in 25 starts, Santana had an ERA of 3.02 in 167 IP. In those 25 games, he allowed an opponent’s OPS of .662 in 676 PA.

    It’s pretty safe to say that Johan Santana was a different pitcher after that 17-K game (compared to how he was going into it).

    The question that the Yankees should be asking themselves: Is this a situation that can be addressed via the rest of an off-season, or, did Santana do something to himself in that 17-K effort that will have a longer impact on his effectiveness?

    Then again, maybe it’s all small sample size stuff, right?

    But, what if it’s not?

    Comments on Johan Santana – After “The Game”

    1. minikraft
      November 28th, 2007 | 1:21 pm

      what if it’s not, he’s still better than all the people that we currently have

    2. baileywalk
      November 28th, 2007 | 1:47 pm

      I’m not sure why that game would take anything out of him. He went eight innings and only threw 112 pitches (which is amazing, considering he struck out 17 — but I guess that just shows you how much the Rangers sucked at the time).

      Looking at his games around this time, there’s some surprising stuff: like getting battered by the Blue Jays and give up four home runs in five innings.

      In fact, home runs really burned him late in the year. He gave up three to the O’s in one game and three to the White Sox in another.

      But his strikeout numbers remained pretty much the same.

      Who knows. I would truly beat my head into a wall if Johan came here and was merely “okay.”

    3. November 28th, 2007 | 2:36 pm

      IIRC, David Cone only threw 88 pitches in his perfect game, and was never the same again.

      Sometimes it’s not the number of pitches, but, rather the stress behind them.

    4. baileywalk
      November 28th, 2007 | 2:56 pm

      I understand what you mean, Steve, though personally I don’t buy into the idea that the perfect game ruined Cone. If you look at the rest of the games he pitched that year, he was pretty much fine (he got shelled in two games, but, hey, it happens to the best of ‘em). Yeah, he fell apart the next year, but there’s no evidence from the end of the ’99 season that the game drained him.

      In any event, Johan’s down year — excellent numbers, but down for him, and some stinker games against good teams — does put a little wrinkle into this story because of the money he wants. I guess a question might be: if this is who Johan is right now (200+ innings, but 30+ home runs and no guarantee if it’s a great lineup), is he worth the money?

    5. November 28th, 2007 | 3:39 pm

      ~~~I guess a question might be: if this is who Johan is right now (200+ innings, but 30+ home runs and no guarantee if it’s a great lineup), is he worth the money?~~~

      $20 mill a year, for 5 years or more? No.

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