SOTD: Forecasting Jason Giambi

8 Responses to “SOTD: Forecasting Jason Giambi”

1. baileywalk on January 1st, 2008 2:31 pm

   I would think the difference is that none of those guys had two back-to-back monster offensive years at 34 and 35 like Giambi did. If he DHs every day, meaning he stays fairly healthy throughout the year, you don’t think there’s a chance he can approach his ‘05/’06 production?

2. Steve Lombardi on January 1st, 2008 8:13 pm

   ~~~meaning he stays fairly healthy throughout the year~~~

   baileywalk, you used to say that about Pavano, and then, finally, gave up. I bet you give up on Giambi some time this year too. The dude is breaking down before our eyes…like McGwire and all those other guys who packed on too much muscle for the body to support it.

3. brockdc on January 1st, 2008 11:52 pm

   Giambi does have some utility - just not for this particular Yankees team. He’d make an ideal part time DH/late-inning pinch-hitter/fill-in first-baseman. Problem is, they already have two or three other guys that can satisfy at least two of those roles for a far cheaper price tag.

4. baileywalk on January 2nd, 2008 12:01 am

   I just meant it relative to the little study you did. None of those other guys could claim to have been that good in recent years. Giambi was a monster for two years. He got hurt last year, but does that mean he’ll be totally worthless this year? Maybe, but maybe not.

   I’m not sure Pavano is a good comparison, only because of Giambi’s track record. But who knows. He might be hurt and miss the whole year.

5. Yu Hsing Chen on January 2nd, 2008 2:35 am

   It’s not exactly a huge sample size, and either way the Yankees have enough on their team to survive without Jason anyway.

   Though that might mean that they need to hold on to Melky for sure. that and potentially bringing up Juan Miranda if he does well in AAA.

6. Steve Lombardi on January 2nd, 2008 8:47 am

   ~~He might be hurt and miss the whole year.~~

   If that happens, it could be a blessing.

7. SteveB on January 2nd, 2008 10:57 am

   Please show me your ROI calculations? Do you have a formula that you could share, sounds very interesting.

   Also, looking at a dudes OPS over an arbitrary 124 PAs, and using it as some sort of predictor is kinda pointless, no?

8. Steve Lombardi on January 2nd, 2008 12:50 pm

   ~~~Please show me your ROI calculations? ~~~

   Yeah, it’s pretty simple:

   If Salary >= $20 million per year, and, if Player stats < MVP type season, then, ROI < good.

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