~~~~1994 through 1999: BB vs. Lge Avg./PA = -.016
2000 through 2007: BB vs. Lge Avg./PA = +.049

That’s a huge difference. Based on 600 PA, that’s the difference between being 10 walks less than league average and 29 walks better than league average.~~~~
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So I’m assuming that you are insinuating that Alex was taking some eye steroids post-1999 to help him see the strike zone better ? I am really failing to see how taking PEDs is going to help you see the strike zone better.

What it DOES tell you is that Alex’s approach to hitting probably improved significantly in that timeframe, which could – GASP – explain the differences in his pre and post-1999 stats without any need to bring PEDs into the equation.

~~using pre-24 RCAA against post-24 makes absolutely no sense.~~

I didn’t pick pre and post-24 point out of the blue. That’s when the Canseco thing happened. The split is not age driven, it’s driven by when the dealer reportedly became involved. Does that make sense now?

You should know, right?

I was referring more to OPS. Still, using pre-24 RCAA against post-24 makes absolutely no sense.

RCAA is park adjusted.

Raf hit the nail on the head on why the splits provided represent an analysis that is facile at best, but irresponsbile at worst. Because the numbers were not adjusted for park effects, the analysis is useless. Moving from Safeco to Arlington makes that point even more relevant.

Also, do you really mean to compare a player before his 24th birthday to the same one after? Really? Seriously? And you don’t want us to laugh?

Griffey had 61 RCAA, Martinez had 71 RCAA and Buhner had 32 RCAA. That had to help Alex in 1996.
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How so?

There are a few of other factors I’d like to look at, the move to Safeco, his H/R splits among other things.

This is a sad, sad story.

I love how Canseco is honest because he was right in his first book. He also, allegedly, tried to blackmail Ordonez. He also lied about Clemens and that party of his. I think Chipper Jones really nailed it when he said that anyone who comes close to historical numbers is going to be under suspicion. You’ve been writing about Canseco and A-Rod since Clemens first hinted at this. That’s all it takes in this new baseball world of ours.

I agree that it will be interesting to hear what A-Rod says about this. “No comments” won’t really fly.

Tino Martinez was on the CW11 morning news, and was asked about A-Rod and PEDs. Newsday has the video:

http://tinyurl.com/2u6c3a