• Wild, Wild, East?

    Posted by on March 29th, 2008 · Comments (5)

    Ken Davidoff is predicting the Yankees to finish in third this season – behind Boston and Toronto.

    Bob Nightengale and Mel Antonen of USA Today both also have the Yankees finishing in third this season – with the Blue Jays finishing in first followed by the Red Sox.

    You don’t see too many predicting the Yankees to finish in third place this season.

    What do you think? What are the odds that the Yankees finish third in 2008?

    Me? I suppose that it’s possible. But, for me, it would mean that both Toronto and Boston have more than 92 wins this season. I think Boston should be right around 92 wins. But, Toronto? Well, I could see them winning about 87-88 games. So, with some luck, they could push that to close to 92 wins.

    And, as crazy as this sounds, I saw a projection somewhere (I forget where) that had the Rays getting close to 90 wins this season. When you factor in that the Red Sox, Yanks, Jays and Rays all play each other 19 times this season, each, well, it could just be a Wild, Wild, East in the A.L. this season.

    Comments on Wild, Wild, East?

    1. mph2373
      March 29th, 2008 | 10:50 am

      So far I have seen Newsday and the Daily News predicting the Yanks in third. The News says Toronto, Boston, Yanks. Newsday has Boston first.

      Every year I hear that the Orioles/Rays will make some noise. The Rays look like they actually might this year.

      I’ve also heard for the past 3 years or so that Toronto is going to be a big player.

      Who knows. Should be a great season though. Hopefully Yankees fans can understand that the playoffs aren’t a given. There is a chance we sit this one out.

      As a NY “Football” Giants fan, I have really seen why they play the games…

      Wild, Wild, East indeed!

    2. jamesonandwater
      March 29th, 2008 | 11:53 am

      Um, I live in Toronto, where the local columnists are practically suicidal over Frank Thomas’ spring training performances, the various injuries, Reed Johnson’s departure and the team’s general chances this year. They’re predicting how many weeks the manager/GM will last this season before getting the bullet. We must be missing something up here that the NY papers can see.

    3. MJ
      March 29th, 2008 | 1:15 pm

      Can someone please put into words why they think Toronto would be anything higher than third place and a .500 team this year? I don’t have the RCAA/RSAA numbers for that team so I can’t make the airtight statistical argument but I just look at that lineup and wonder where people see runs coming from? Scott Rolen? Frank Thomas? David Eckstein? Lyle Overbay? Apart from Vernon Wells and Alex Rios, there isn’t a hitter on that team that would play in Boston or New York. Halladay-Burnett-McGowan-Marcum is not a bad rotation at all but I just can’t imagine Toronto winning more than 88 games this year, and that’s with everything going their way.

    4. March 29th, 2008 | 2:07 pm

      Dan Szymborski from the Baseball Factory’s ZiPS projections have the Blue Jays at 89.8 wins on average per 1000 simulated seasons.

    5. MJ
      March 29th, 2008 | 6:29 pm

      Dan Szymborski from the Baseball Factory’s ZiPS projections have the Blue Jays at 89.8 wins on average per 1000 simulated seasons.
      I don’t see the Yanks winning under 89.8 games. All this Blue Jays love is bordering on ridiculous.

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