–so that requires that they score 250 “extra” runs over the remaining 117 games, or 2.1 more runs per game. They are averaging 4.0 runs per game, so that means the target is a little over 6.0 runs per game.–

Sounds about right.

One other thing – the Red Sox lead the league in scoring by a comfortable margin. But they only project to 837 runs.

And the Yankees will score 900 after trailing so badly after 1/4+ of the season?

You might want to reconfigure your projections for what is clearly a lesser-scoring league.

This team will still score 900+ runs. There is way too much talent. The guys will get close to or match the back of their baseball cards.
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That’s one rosy scenario, I must say. They currently project to score 652 runs, so that requires that they score 250 “extra” runs over the remaining 117 games, or 2.1 more runs per game. They are averaging 4.0 runs per game, so that means the target is a little over 6.0 runs per game.

Last year’s team averaged just under 6 runs per game overall (5.97). So this team is going to outperform last year’s team over the remaining games, when last year’s scoring required the extraordinary contributions of A-Rod and Jorge?

I’m not saying there’s no possible way it will happen, but it seems like a very long shot. If every regular on the roster manages to improve to “get close to or match the back of their baseball cards” then maybe. But that doesn’t look too likely, IMHO.

This team will still score 900+ runs. There is way too much talent. The guys will get close to or match the back of their baseball cards.

Things swing back to equilibrium. Hang in there. Someone’s gonna pay.

Let’s all take a moment to chill. Have we not seen this movie before?
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Their win projection according to coolstandings.com (season simulation based on run differential) is 73.

Baseball Prospectus has their win projection at 80 – before last night’s disaster.

MLB.com has their expected wins exactly where they are – 20-25.

I know last season they were underperforming their pythag. In the years they had poor starts, have they ever been right where they ‘deserve’ to be before?

Let’s all take a moment to chill. Have we not seen this movie before?
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I think the extreme offensive futility is harder to watch because it can you feel that there is no chance to win if they fall behind by > 3 runs.

Let’s all take a moment to chill. Have we not seen this movie before?

Weather, yeah, that “helped.” But, we see it now, a lot, on other days when the weather is not a factor.

Leave in the 6th inning because you know they’re going to lose.
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To be fair, the weather was miserable all day and it was empty from the first inning.

Still, it was pretty funny to see the announced attendance @ 51k, when you could tell that there probably wasn’t 1/2 that there tonight.