• One Way To Look At The Yankees Season To Date

    Posted by on May 28th, 2008 · Comments (5)

    I noticed this format, in terms of a way to look at a season, in the Bill James Gold Mine 2008. It does tell a story. The Yankees numbers, sliced by Homestands and Road Trips, to date this season:

    Batting

    Series			W-L	R	PG	AVG	W-L
    Homestand, April 1 to 7	4-3	23	3.29	.251	4-3
    Road Trip, April 8 to 15	4-4	33	4.13	.269	8-7
    Homestand, April 16 to 17	1-1	20	10.00	.324	9-8
    Road Trip, April 18 to 28	5-5	43	4.30	.242	14-13
    Home. April 29 to May 8	4-5	38	4.22	.266	18-18
    Road Trip, May 9 to 15	2-4	16	2.67	.241	20-22
    Homestand, May 17 to 25	5-3	49	6.13	.283	25-25
    Road Trip, May 26 to 27	0-2	10	5.00	.260	25-27
    

    Pitching

    Series			W-L	OR	PG	ERA	W-L
    Homestand, April 1 to 7	4-3	29	4.14	3.71	4-3
    Road Trip, April 8 to 15	4-4	33	4.13	4.24	8-7
    Homestand, April 16 to 17	1-1	16	8.00	8.00	9-8
    Road Trip, April 18 to 28	5-5	43	4.30	4.41	14-13
    Home. April 29 to May 8	4-5	35	3.89	3.89	18-18
    Road Trip, May 9 to 15	2-4	23	3.83	3.98	20-22
    Homestand, May 17 to 25	5-3	44	5.50	4.50	25-25
    Road Trip, May 26 to 27	0-2	16	8.00	7.36	25-27
    

    Outside of that road trip to Tampa in May, the Yankees bats have not been terrible this season…at least not as MIA as people like to claim they were for most of the early season. To date, the Yankees score 4.5 runs per game (this season) and they allow 4.6 runs per game. And, that’s why they’re basically a .500 team.

    Comments on One Way To Look At The Yankees Season To Date

    1. mehmattski
      May 28th, 2008 | 11:59 am

      Except, 4.5 runs per game is terrible. It pro-rates to 729 runs scored in a season, which the Yankees have not had since 1992 (when they scored 733 runs). They even scored more runs in the shortened 1995 season. Nine teams scored fewer than 730 runs last year and all but one (the Diamondbacks) finished above .500. The Diamondbacks survived by having a team ERA of 3.54… so the Yankees need to pick up a full run/game in either direction: get up to 5.5 runs scored/game or drop their ERA significantly. I think the former is much more plausible.

    2. mehmattski
      May 28th, 2008 | 12:00 pm

      I meant that 8 of the 9 teams to score fewer than 4.5 runs/game finished BELOW five-hundred. Sorry.

    3. May 28th, 2008 | 12:10 pm

      ~~~Except, 4.5 runs per game is terrible. It pro-rates to 729 runs scored in a season, which the Yankees have not had since 1992 (when they scored 733 runs). ~~~~

      FWIW, the 2001 Yankees scored just 5.0 runs per game that season and made it to Game 7 of the WS.

    4. Raf
      May 28th, 2008 | 12:17 pm

      FWIW, the 2001 Yankees scored just 5.0 runs per game that season and made it to Game 7 of the WS.
      ———–
      Their pitching was a lot better in 2001 :)

    5. mehmattski
      May 28th, 2008 | 12:18 pm

      The difference between 4.5 and 5.0 is huge. If the Yankees had scored 5 runs per game so far this season, they’d have scored 260 runs, which would put their Pythagorean Record at 28-24, rather than the 25-27 it’s at right now. So even without changing the pitching, making the offense passable rather than terrible improves the Yankees’ standing dramatically.

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