I guess I misinterpreted a bit. I see “due for a bad outing” as different from “regressing to the mean” with the mean being 6 ER in 3 2/3 IP. I do think Rasner is probably not as good as what we’ve seen so far (cf. Chacon, Shawn), but still could potentially be a better than league average pitcher (an admittedly low standard).

Raf is right – I think Rasner as sort of a Yankee version of the Royal’s Bannister. Someone who can give you good starts without the greatest stuff, by changing speeds and not making mistakes. He still tops out as a number 4 but he can succeed in this league.

I suspect you’re right, but I’d give him a few more outings before declaring him dead.
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No one’s declaring him dead, just saying he was due for a bad outing

Regression toward the mean

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I suspect you’re right, but I’d give him a few more outings before declaring him dead.

Steve, I’ll give you a far more likely reason than “too many family members watching” for Rasner’s bad day:

Regression toward the mean

Rasner was pitching a lot better than anyone had a right to expect and was due for a stinker of a game.