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	<title>Comments on: November 2008 Survey Question #1</title>
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	<link>http://waswatching.com/2008/11/10/november-2008-survey-question-1/</link>
	<description>Holy Cow! We never take cannoli from a huckleberry.</description>
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		<title>By: Raf</title>
		<link>http://waswatching.com/2008/11/10/november-2008-survey-question-1/comment-page-1/#comment-58509</link>
		<dc:creator>Raf</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Nov 2008 19:16:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://waswatching.com/?p=8594#comment-58509</guid>
		<description>Instead of contending for 3-5 seasons with the same group of players, it might be cut short after 2-3 seasons.
-----------
But that&#039;s the way it has been for the past few years; witness the fortunes of the Tigers, Indians, A&#039;s &amp; M&#039;s, to name a few teams.

There&#039;s more than one way to build a team; maybe player A is allowed to leave through free agency, but the team has player B in the minors, or can move player C from one position to another, or can acquire player D in a trade...  Or maybe player A is willing to stay at a discounted rate.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="comment-toolbar" style="text-align: right"><input type="button" value="Reply" onclick="CF_Reply('Raf');" /><input type="button" value="Quote" onclick="CF_Quote('co_58509','Raf');" /></div><span id="co_58509"><p>Instead of contending for 3-5 seasons with the same group of players, it might be cut short after 2-3 seasons.<br />
&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br />
But that&#8217;s the way it has been for the past few years; witness the fortunes of the Tigers, Indians, A&#8217;s &amp; M&#8217;s, to name a few teams.</p>
<p>There&#8217;s more than one way to build a team; maybe player A is allowed to leave through free agency, but the team has player B in the minors, or can move player C from one position to another, or can acquire player D in a trade&#8230;  Or maybe player A is willing to stay at a discounted rate.</p>
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		<title>By: Evan3457</title>
		<link>http://waswatching.com/2008/11/10/november-2008-survey-question-1/comment-page-1/#comment-58494</link>
		<dc:creator>Evan3457</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Nov 2008 17:59:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://waswatching.com/?p=8594#comment-58494</guid>
		<description>And they still will. But perhaps less often, and perhaps for not as many years with the same group of players.

The idea is to make it harder for them to retain their top talent while these players are still in their prime, and to make it easier for the Yanks to obtain them as free agents or in dump trades, without having to surrender top farm talent.

Think about the Rays having to pay through the nose for all of their young talent, while at the same time their talent base diminishes through the loss of the pick at the top of the 1st round, because they&#039;re winning now.

Instead of contending for 3-5 seasons with the same group of players, it might be cut short after 2-3 seasons.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="comment-toolbar" style="text-align: right"><input type="button" value="Reply" onclick="CF_Reply('Evan3457');" /><input type="button" value="Quote" onclick="CF_Quote('co_58494','Evan3457');" /></div><span id="co_58494"><p>And they still will. But perhaps less often, and perhaps for not as many years with the same group of players.</p>
<p>The idea is to make it harder for them to retain their top talent while these players are still in their prime, and to make it easier for the Yanks to obtain them as free agents or in dump trades, without having to surrender top farm talent.</p>
<p>Think about the Rays having to pay through the nose for all of their young talent, while at the same time their talent base diminishes through the loss of the pick at the top of the 1st round, because they&#8217;re winning now.</p>
<p>Instead of contending for 3-5 seasons with the same group of players, it might be cut short after 2-3 seasons.</p>
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		<title>By: Raf</title>
		<link>http://waswatching.com/2008/11/10/november-2008-survey-question-1/comment-page-1/#comment-58444</link>
		<dc:creator>Raf</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Nov 2008 12:58:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://waswatching.com/?p=8594#comment-58444</guid>
		<description>Not sure how that will work, other teams have shown they can win without super-duper high payrolls.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="comment-toolbar" style="text-align: right"><input type="button" value="Reply" onclick="CF_Reply('Raf');" /><input type="button" value="Quote" onclick="CF_Quote('co_58444','Raf');" /></div><span id="co_58444"><p>Not sure how that will work, other teams have shown they can win without super-duper high payrolls.</p>
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		<title>By: Evan3457</title>
		<link>http://waswatching.com/2008/11/10/november-2008-survey-question-1/comment-page-1/#comment-58404</link>
		<dc:creator>Evan3457</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Nov 2008 09:46:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://waswatching.com/?p=8594#comment-58404</guid>
		<description>I am well aware that players have their own interests. What I&#039;m saying is that the Yankees should pursue their own interests, and it&#039;s likely not in their interest to guarantee him a 5th, 6th, and 7th year. 

Sabathia won&#039;t take $100 million for 4 years rather than $140 for 7? Make it $108 million for 4, or $112 million. Still no dice?

Then don&#039;t sign him. Let his 5th, 6th, and 7th years be another team&#039;s worry.

It is rumored he doesn&#039;t want to play in New York. Fine. Let him go. I don&#039;t want players who don&#039;t really want to be in New York anyway, as is rumored the case with Sabathia.

Nevertheless, by making the offer, you will raise the price for whatever team finally does sign him, be it the Dodgers, Angels, whoever. It will be harder for them to retain other players of value. It will make it harder for them to sign other free agents, or trade for them, reducing the number of competitors for other talent. It will raise arbitration awards and make it harder for other teams to retain other high-level players.

Revenue sharing and the luxury tax have made it possible for other teams to retain more of their best players. Throwing in these shorter-term bombshell bids will affect the market, and in a direction that would be favorable the Yankees&#039; interests.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="comment-toolbar" style="text-align: right"><input type="button" value="Reply" onclick="CF_Reply('Evan3457');" /><input type="button" value="Quote" onclick="CF_Quote('co_58404','Evan3457');" /></div><span id="co_58404"><p>I am well aware that players have their own interests. What I&#8217;m saying is that the Yankees should pursue their own interests, and it&#8217;s likely not in their interest to guarantee him a 5th, 6th, and 7th year. </p>
<p>Sabathia won&#8217;t take $100 million for 4 years rather than $140 for 7? Make it $108 million for 4, or $112 million. Still no dice?</p>
<p>Then don&#8217;t sign him. Let his 5th, 6th, and 7th years be another team&#8217;s worry.</p>
<p>It is rumored he doesn&#8217;t want to play in New York. Fine. Let him go. I don&#8217;t want players who don&#8217;t really want to be in New York anyway, as is rumored the case with Sabathia.</p>
<p>Nevertheless, by making the offer, you will raise the price for whatever team finally does sign him, be it the Dodgers, Angels, whoever. It will be harder for them to retain other players of value. It will make it harder for them to sign other free agents, or trade for them, reducing the number of competitors for other talent. It will raise arbitration awards and make it harder for other teams to retain other high-level players.</p>
<p>Revenue sharing and the luxury tax have made it possible for other teams to retain more of their best players. Throwing in these shorter-term bombshell bids will affect the market, and in a direction that would be favorable the Yankees&#8217; interests.</p>
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		<title>By: AndrewYF</title>
		<link>http://waswatching.com/2008/11/10/november-2008-survey-question-1/comment-page-1/#comment-58343</link>
		<dc:creator>AndrewYF</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Nov 2008 03:39:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://waswatching.com/?p=8594#comment-58343</guid>
		<description>That may work with Teixeira, who could still command a hefty contract at the age of 33 (and who has Boras as an agent), but it would never work with Sabathia. Why would a pitcher choose to take less guaranteed money in any circumstance? Sure, Sabathia would only be 32 or 33 by the end of this shortened deal, but who&#039;s to say he won&#039;t be a washed up Mike Hampton by then?

It would be nice if these fantasies worked out, but players have their own interests as well.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="comment-toolbar" style="text-align: right"><input type="button" value="Reply" onclick="CF_Reply('AndrewYF');" /><input type="button" value="Quote" onclick="CF_Quote('co_58343','AndrewYF');" /></div><span id="co_58343"><p>That may work with Teixeira, who could still command a hefty contract at the age of 33 (and who has Boras as an agent), but it would never work with Sabathia. Why would a pitcher choose to take less guaranteed money in any circumstance? Sure, Sabathia would only be 32 or 33 by the end of this shortened deal, but who&#8217;s to say he won&#8217;t be a washed up Mike Hampton by then?</p>
<p>It would be nice if these fantasies worked out, but players have their own interests as well.</p>
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		<title>By: Evan3457</title>
		<link>http://waswatching.com/2008/11/10/november-2008-survey-question-1/comment-page-1/#comment-58310</link>
		<dc:creator>Evan3457</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Nov 2008 01:42:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://waswatching.com/?p=8594#comment-58310</guid>
		<description>For me, the years are everything: 4 years, $22 million per year.

Not enough?

4 years, $24 million per year. OK, $25 million.

But no more than 4 years, guaranteed.

Teixiera? Same thing. 5 years, $25 million a year. No more years. 

Team options at reasonable rates at the back end, if a &quot;longer term&quot; fig leaf is necessary for Boras and other agents to save face.

If I&#039;m the Yanks, I&#039;d leverage the new revenue streams to offer an annual salary much higher than other teams can offer. This would have the dual purpose of driving up arbitration awards and free-agent salaries for other teams, and forcing more high-end talent onto the market. If would also force competing bidders to bid higher, thus wasting their resources if they win. Right now, teams have enough revenue sharing to keep their own best players, and to bid competitively on needed free agents. The only way to stop this is to force top players&#039; salaries much higher.

Get 3-5 top-top-top players at a total of about $100 million. Fill out the rest of the roster with $80-$100 million for the other 20 players. More farm players and bargains with value. It can&#039;t be any worse than pseudo-title-contention with a roster loaded with former stars in their decline years.

As these top-top-top players hit 32-3, discard, rinse, and repeat.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="comment-toolbar" style="text-align: right"><input type="button" value="Reply" onclick="CF_Reply('Evan3457');" /><input type="button" value="Quote" onclick="CF_Quote('co_58310','Evan3457');" /></div><span id="co_58310"><p>For me, the years are everything: 4 years, $22 million per year.</p>
<p>Not enough?</p>
<p>4 years, $24 million per year. OK, $25 million.</p>
<p>But no more than 4 years, guaranteed.</p>
<p>Teixiera? Same thing. 5 years, $25 million a year. No more years. </p>
<p>Team options at reasonable rates at the back end, if a &#8220;longer term&#8221; fig leaf is necessary for Boras and other agents to save face.</p>
<p>If I&#8217;m the Yanks, I&#8217;d leverage the new revenue streams to offer an annual salary much higher than other teams can offer. This would have the dual purpose of driving up arbitration awards and free-agent salaries for other teams, and forcing more high-end talent onto the market. If would also force competing bidders to bid higher, thus wasting their resources if they win. Right now, teams have enough revenue sharing to keep their own best players, and to bid competitively on needed free agents. The only way to stop this is to force top players&#8217; salaries much higher.</p>
<p>Get 3-5 top-top-top players at a total of about $100 million. Fill out the rest of the roster with $80-$100 million for the other 20 players. More farm players and bargains with value. It can&#8217;t be any worse than pseudo-title-contention with a roster loaded with former stars in their decline years.</p>
<p>As these top-top-top players hit 32-3, discard, rinse, and repeat.</p>
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		<title>By: AndrewYF</title>
		<link>http://waswatching.com/2008/11/10/november-2008-survey-question-1/comment-page-1/#comment-58238</link>
		<dc:creator>AndrewYF</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Nov 2008 22:40:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://waswatching.com/?p=8594#comment-58238</guid>
		<description>Sure, but that&#039;s fair value at their projections...which apart from health, are rather conservative. And that&#039;s at their rough assessment of $5 million per marginal win. We have no idea what the Yankees&#039; internal value assessments are, but can assume they are insanely high, especially with the brand new stadium.

And free agents, no matter what you try and do, are never fair value. Even the Sox know they have to overpay (Lugo, Dice-K, Drew...pretty much any free agent they&#039;ve signed) to acquire the top talents on the market.

So I think SG (the guy over at RLYW) would gladly give Sabathia a Santana-like contract, and so would I (and reports are, so would the Yankees), especially seeing the Yankees&#039; need for him, and especially as Sabathia is likely to be the best free agent pitcher for some time to come.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="comment-toolbar" style="text-align: right"><input type="button" value="Reply" onclick="CF_Reply('AndrewYF');" /><input type="button" value="Quote" onclick="CF_Quote('co_58238','AndrewYF');" /></div><span id="co_58238"><p>Sure, but that&#8217;s fair value at their projections&#8230;which apart from health, are rather conservative. And that&#8217;s at their rough assessment of $5 million per marginal win. We have no idea what the Yankees&#8217; internal value assessments are, but can assume they are insanely high, especially with the brand new stadium.</p>
<p>And free agents, no matter what you try and do, are never fair value. Even the Sox know they have to overpay (Lugo, Dice-K, Drew&#8230;pretty much any free agent they&#8217;ve signed) to acquire the top talents on the market.</p>
<p>So I think SG (the guy over at RLYW) would gladly give Sabathia a Santana-like contract, and so would I (and reports are, so would the Yankees), especially seeing the Yankees&#8217; need for him, and especially as Sabathia is likely to be the best free agent pitcher for some time to come.</p>
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		<title>By: Steve Lombardi</title>
		<link>http://waswatching.com/2008/11/10/november-2008-survey-question-1/comment-page-1/#comment-58206</link>
		<dc:creator>Steve Lombardi</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Nov 2008 22:06:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://waswatching.com/?p=8594#comment-58206</guid>
		<description>Thanks AndrewYF 

So, they say 7 years at $18 mill a year
and I say 6 years ar $16 mill a year

doesn&#039;t sound like we&#039;re too far apart - sans the fact that they would be willing to go seven whereas I would prefer to keep it at six</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="comment-toolbar" style="text-align: right"><input type="button" value="Reply" onclick="CF_Reply('Steve Lombardi');" /><input type="button" value="Quote" onclick="CF_Quote('co_58206','Steve Lombardi');" /></div><span id="co_58206"><p>Thanks AndrewYF </p>
<p>So, they say 7 years at $18 mill a year<br />
and I say 6 years ar $16 mill a year</p>
<p>doesn&#8217;t sound like we&#8217;re too far apart &#8211; sans the fact that they would be willing to go seven whereas I would prefer to keep it at six</p>
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		<title>By: AndrewYF</title>
		<link>http://waswatching.com/2008/11/10/november-2008-survey-question-1/comment-page-1/#comment-58169</link>
		<dc:creator>AndrewYF</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Nov 2008 21:43:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://waswatching.com/?p=8594#comment-58169</guid>
		<description>They say 7 years, $127 million, based on projected runs saved above replacement, and a value of $5 million per each 10 runs (either scored or saved) above replacement level. If it&#039;s closer to $6 million, he&#039;s worth 7 years, $150 million to the Yankees.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="comment-toolbar" style="text-align: right"><input type="button" value="Reply" onclick="CF_Reply('AndrewYF');" /><input type="button" value="Quote" onclick="CF_Quote('co_58169','AndrewYF');" /></div><span id="co_58169"><p>They say 7 years, $127 million, based on projected runs saved above replacement, and a value of $5 million per each 10 runs (either scored or saved) above replacement level. If it&#8217;s closer to $6 million, he&#8217;s worth 7 years, $150 million to the Yankees.</p>
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		<title>By: Steve Lombardi</title>
		<link>http://waswatching.com/2008/11/10/november-2008-survey-question-1/comment-page-1/#comment-58154</link>
		<dc:creator>Steve Lombardi</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Nov 2008 19:57:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://waswatching.com/?p=8594#comment-58154</guid>
		<description>AndrewYF, help me out.  How many years and what salary would RLYW give CC?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="comment-toolbar" style="text-align: right"><input type="button" value="Reply" onclick="CF_Reply('Steve Lombardi');" /><input type="button" value="Quote" onclick="CF_Quote('co_58154','Steve Lombardi');" /></div><span id="co_58154"><p>AndrewYF, help me out.  How many years and what salary would RLYW give CC?</p>
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