And, 2.5 years in the minors is not a very long track record to base a projection on, at least a good one, is it?
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We’re talking sample size here, not MiLB service time. 340.6 MiLB innings doesn’t seem like an insignificant amount.

And, 2.5 years in the minors is not a very long track record to base a projection on, at least a good one, is it?
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Depends. You look at the results, and then you look at others who have performed similarly.

From the looks of it, Hughes will spend some time @ AAA next season, and he’ll get a call sometime next season if he does well. And if he does well @ SWB next season, there will be little left for him to prove there, and he’ll have to take his lumps in MLB, whether it’s with the Yanks or some other organization.

~~Is 340.6 really that small a sample size for the minors?~~

If a guy was injury free and taking a regular turn, that would probably amount to 2 and a 1/2 years work.

And, 2.5 years in the minors is not a very long track record to base a projection on, at least a good one, is it?

Where are the “Small Sample Size!” police every time some Yankees fanboy wants to have party time in their pants over the numbers that Hughes has posted in the minor leagues?
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Is 340.6 really that small a sample size for the minors?

Really? I see it at other blogs, and in comments here, from time to time.
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First, do other blogs really matter?!

Second, you have to take everything with a grain of salt. I agree that there are definitely some folks out there that 100% believe that Hughes will end up in the Hall of Fame but you can’t let some of those folks make you believe that EVERYONE thinks that way. I believe the general consensus among knowledgeable Yankee fans is that there’s no such thing as a sure thing but that Hughes has the talent to be a great pitcher and it’s just a matter of being patient. If it doesn’t work out, then it doesn’t work out. But to prejudge him a failure is irrational and hasty.

~~The fact that he’s pitched well in the minors should not be a mark against him that he can’t succeed in the big leagues. ~~

This is what I want to know:

Where are the “Small Sample Size!” police every time some Yankees fanboy wants to have party time in their pants over the numbers that Hughes has posted in the minor leagues?

~~No one’s ever said they know for sure that Hughes will be the real deal in the big leagues. ~~

Really? I see it at other blogs, and in comments here, from time to time.

Anyone who says they know, for sure, is only guessing.
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No one’s ever said they know for sure that Hughes will be the real deal in the big leagues. All anyone’s ever said is that he’s too talented to give up on and that there needs to be a level of patience with him (as with all young players) that most Yankee fans seem to be unable to cope with.

The fact that he’s pitched well in the minors should not be a mark against him that he can’t succeed in the big leagues. It’s merely proof that there is some serious talent there. Patience and coaching should be able to bring it to the forefront and coax it out of him at the ML-level as well. It’s worth noting that only Yankee fans have truly soured on Hughes. Scouts and prospect-watchers like Baseball America have not. I find that telling.

Hughes is not going anywhere with just two good [not great] pitches [ FB and Curveball]… i know they shut down his slider in the minors… i donno if he will ever go back to it… or how good is his changeup.. maybe he needs to take a few more mile off his changeup..