• Wild Thought: What If The Perfect Storm Hits?

    Posted by on February 20th, 2009 · Comments (8)

    Today’s wild thought is a dark one.

    Many projections have the Yankees winning between 95 and 100 games this season. And, personally, if everything – and I mean everything – goes right for the Yankees this season, I would agree that they should win around that many games.

    But, what if the perfect storm hits this year? Suppose that CC Sabathia experiences issues dealing with his first season under the New York microscope and the expectations that come with a mega-contract, A.J. Burnett becomes a Pavano case, Andy Pettitte and Joba Chamberlain have a recurrence of last year’s injuries, and Worm Killer Wang’s shoulder blows out. What would happen then?

    This might be crazy, but, if the Yankees entire starting rotation had issues this season, I believe that the Yankees could still be a .500 team, thereabouts, winning around 81 games – given the rest of the talent on their team. However, what if the storm went beyond the starting rotation?

    What if Jorge Posada and Hideki Matsui are not able to rebound from their injuries of last season? What if Robinson Cano has another year this season like he did last year? What if the Selena Roberts book has something in it that will impact Alex Rodriguez’ performance?

    How many games will the Yankees win then? Seventy? Less?

    Granted, it would truly take the perfect storm for all this to happen – but, what if it did? Given their payroll, the fact that it’s the first year in the new ballpark, and all the expectations around those things, would the 2009 Yankees then be considered as the biggest bust in baseball history (if they only won around 70 games this season)? Or, would they just be considered unlucky?

    Comments on Wild Thought: What If The Perfect Storm Hits?

    1. February 20th, 2009 | 1:20 pm

      I don’t know. I kind of feel like the perfect storm hit last year (with the exception of Mussina!). And they still won 89 games. And this is a better team than last year.

      Which isn’t to say the Yankees are a lock or anything. It’s just to say, they’re real good. And if everything goes wrong, they’ll still be good. And instead of worrying about all that, I’m just really looking forward to the season starting.

    2. YankCrank
      February 20th, 2009 | 1:49 pm

      Of course the not-so-perfect storm can hit. It can hit any team, in any year, for any combination of unfortunate reasons. You just hope you can have enough replacements to recover.

      If CC, AJ and Wang all go down, i’m much more confident bringing up Kennedy, Horne and Hughes than I am signing more Sir Sidney Ponsons. Is it ideal? Of course not, but we’ll be better off.

      As for the lineup, as we saw last year, if big bats go down they’re next to impossible to replace. It can happen to any team, in any year. You just hope and pray for health.

    3. Evan3457
      February 20th, 2009 | 2:01 pm

      Actually, if Jeter, A-Rod, Posada, Cano, Teixiera, Nady, Swisher, Damon, Matsui, C.C., A.J., Wang, Pettitte, Joba, Mariano, Marte, and Bruney were all to suffer season-ending torn rotator cuffs, or blown-out knees within the first two weeks of the season, the Yanks would be lucky to win more than about 50 games.
      —————————————-
      The important question on this blog is: If the perfect storm hit the Yanks, and all of these bad things happened at the same time, would all of you foolish readers finally agree that Cashman is an idiot, and must be fired?

    4. February 20th, 2009 | 2:29 pm

      If the perfect storm hit the Yanks, and all of these bad things happened at the same time, would all of you foolish readers finally agree that Cashman is an idiot, and must be fired?
      =============
      Personally, I’m disgusted that the Yankees haven’t filled their AAA squad with former all-stars just in the event that all this stuff does happen. Yes, it would cost another couple hundred million dollars, but, my God man, we’re entitled to victory. If these players get hurt, we’ll have to replace them with other players who are not as good. And that’s just not acceptable!

      What it all comes down to is this: the Yankees really ought to just scrap all these organic player development programs entirely and pour all their money into robotics. By 2011, at the latest, the entire team could be composed of indestructible androids modeled after a combination of Babe Ruth and the evil Terminator from T2.

      And then, barring the unlikely event of the field being flooded with molten lava, we would finally have the assurances we, as fans, need. And if Brian Cashman isn’t able or willing to do this, then, by God, we need to find someone who is. I’m not sure who that someone would be, but probably a good, old baseball mind who can identify proper pitching mechanics. Pat Gillick, maybe?

    5. Corey
      February 20th, 2009 | 3:11 pm

      And then, barring the unlikely event of the field being flooded with molten lava, we would finally have the assurances we, as fans, need.
      ——-
      and you’d think with all the money coming off the payroll, cash wouldn’t pick up some lava-absorbent speedy dry. fire him. yesterday.

    6. February 20th, 2009 | 3:21 pm

      And what if the Red Sox had every single one of their starters injured? And then the Rays had their entire team abducted by aliens. What then? How many games would the Yankees win then? 130, 140?

    7. February 20th, 2009 | 4:42 pm

      How many games would the Yankees win then? 130, 140?
      ===========
      Even more if they adopted my robot idea.

    8. dutchsailor
      February 20th, 2009 | 5:02 pm

      I bet that with the starters the Yanks have in waiting (Hughes, Kennedy, Aceves, Coke, Geise) they would still win 60+ games. Losing the major position players would be another story. I guess it would depend on who was injured. Some postions are easier to fill from the outside than others.

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