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13 Responses to “April 2009 Survey Question #4”
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April 28th, 2009 at 1:39 pm
looks @ rasner, karstens
April 28th, 2009 at 1:40 pm
and igawa
April 28th, 2009 at 1:45 pm
Sometimes it does.
Sometimes it doesn’t.
You have to scout and see how the pitcher is doing it, and you have to take into context the pitcher’s age vs. that of the average hitter in the league he’s dominating.
April 28th, 2009 at 1:47 pm
Evan3457 wrote:
Agreed. Furthermore, you can still have major league “stuff” and not succeed in the big leagues. There are a whole host of reasons why someone succeeds or fails.
April 28th, 2009 at 2:14 pm
Lol. This is obviously a direct reference to the Humberto Sanchez discussion from a few days ago. The idea that Cashman only looked at the stats is silly.
April 28th, 2009 at 2:21 pm
yagottagotomo1 wrote:
Actually, it has a lot more to do with the Yankees starter this evening.
April 28th, 2009 at 2:23 pm
Also, I think the choices are too absolute. I dont think anyone really believes that good MiLb stats make you a lock.
April 28th, 2009 at 3:05 pm
yagottagotomo1 is all over it today. not nearly enough choices. but if we take the word “lock” – which is way too extreme – at face value then obviously that is the choice. nobody is ever a lock, especially in relation to something as non-indicative as minor league numbers.
April 28th, 2009 at 3:11 pm
yagottagotomo1 wrote:
Then why are so many high on Phil Hughes?
April 28th, 2009 at 3:34 pm
“Then why are so many high on Phil Hughes?”
because he’s a good pitcher. he has shown it. his pitches have movement and he’s now got 3 good one, working on a 4th. he’s also only 22 and has time to get better.
April 28th, 2009 at 3:46 pm
Then why are so many high on Phil Hughes?
=====
Because, while good minor league stats don’t necessarily indicate that you’ll definitely have major league stuff, it’s an indicator that you might. In a case where minor league statistics are very good there’s probably a greater chance that the pitcher can make it in the majors.
Specifically for Hughes, he’s shown flashes that could lead a person to believe he has a future as a good or better Major League starter, and no, I’m not talking about the no-hitter against Texas. I’m talking about the 2007 playoffs. Sure…that was a while ago, and last year was pretty lousy, but he’s still way too young to give up on him.
April 28th, 2009 at 3:53 pm
Then why are so many high on Phil Hughes?
———–
Because the Yanks have a projected ace caliber pitcher developed in their system. It’s the same reason why Rays fans are going gaga over David Price, and the Red Sox fans are anxious to see Daniel Bard.
April 28th, 2009 at 3:56 pm
But yeah, Hughes can be the next 500 game winner, or he could hear something pop in his elbow while warming up tonight. You can’t tell with rookies, you can’t tell with veterans. They can go anytime at anyplace.