Stop buying tickets with 4 days of rest in between, MJ.

Or, if you share a partial plan, switch days with one of your partners.

MJ wrote:

Goddamn it, what are the odds?

1 in 5?

Follow-up point: I just counted out the days and…I can’t F**KING believe it, he’s pitching on 7/24, which is my next game.

Goddamn it, what are the odds?

Haha, come on MJ. You can’t dislike him that much, after a slight regression, can you?
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It stems from the fact that I’ve attended 4 games at Yankee Stadium this year and he’s pitched in all 4 of them. I’m entirely sick of him.

I basically just need a break from Joba.

Sunday is a loss as I’ve lost all faith in Joba Chamberlain. If I never see that fat bastard again, that’ll be fine with me.
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Haha, come on MJ. You can’t dislike him that much, after a slight regression, can you?

The Tigers have lined up their 2 best to face the Yanks tomorrow and Sunday. Who’s Luke French, A lefty they’ve never seen before, with two starts in his whole major league career.
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In other words, the Yanks stand to lose the opener against a no-name with control-type of stuff. Saturday’s game is a toss-up. Sunday is a loss as I’ve lost all faith in Joba Chamberlain. If I never see that fat bastard again, that’ll be fine with me.

The matchups for the series starting this evening:

Tonight: Luke French vs. A.J. Burnett
Tomorrow: Justin Verlander vs. C.C. Sabathia
Old Timers’ Day: Edwin Jackson vs. Joba Chamberlain

The Tigers have lined up their 2 best to face the Yanks tomorrow and Sunday. Who’s Luke French, A lefty they’ve never seen before, with two starts in his whole major league career. A quick scouting report:

The 6’4″ 220 pounder doesn’t have eye-popping stuff or a blazing fastball, but he has good command and the ability to keep the ball on the ground. French’s fastball sits between 88-92 mph and he complements it with a very good changeup and below average slider. He has excellent control and can locate his fastball to both sides of the plate. He doesn’t have a dominant pitch, though, and pitches to contact. He’s been hittable in the minors and that should continue in the Majors.

We’ll see about that.

Oops, forgot a fifth major flaw; didn’t account for home vs. road for any of the matchups, or for the remaining games as a whole. Yanks have 39 games left at home, 36 on the road. Yanks need to be thinking about taking 7 or 8 games on this homestand. Log5 says it’ll be 6-4, but what does Log 5 know?

93 wins? Coolstandings has them at 92. Pretty close.

I just ran their “Log5″ win expectation against each opponent for the remainder of the season last night, based on all teams current winning percentage.

There are four major flaws with my method:

1) It assumes teams are static, in terms of the talent (players) present, and doesn’t account for changes due to injury, trade, manager’s decisions.

2) It assumes that teams’ psychologies and performance levels are static, and doesn’t account for streaks, slumps, and season turning events/games

3) It assumes that each teams’ current record is an accurate reflection of their ability at the time the Yankees’ are going to play them, and that the Yankees’ current record is an accurate assessment of their ability and mental toughness.

4) It doesn’t adjust for good or bad matchups against other teams.

Nevertheless, just for funsies, in order of games left to play, from highest to lowest.

Blue Jays (11): 6.5 – 4.5
Red Sox (10): 4.6 – 5.4
Rays (10): 5.4 – 4.6
Orioles (9): 5.6 – 3.4
Seattle (7): 3.9 – 3.1
White Sox (7): 4.0 – 3.0
A’s (7): 4.5 – 2.5
Angels (4): 2.0 – 2.0
Rangers (3): 1.6 – 1.4
Tigers (3): 1.6 – 1.4
Royals (3): 2.0 – 1.0

Total wins 41.7
Total losses: 32.3

Final Record: 93-69, which should be within 1 or 2 games, either way, of where the Wild Card winds up. Your mileage may vary.