• July 26th vs. The A’s

    Posted by on July 26th, 2009 · Comments (7)

    The big hits for the Yankees in this one:

    The two-out RBI by Godzilla and Cano in the first.
    And, the first-pitch, one-out, RBI single by Jeter in the sixth.

    Without those three hits, and bringing Rivera into the game in the 8th, then New York doesn’t win this game.

    But, in any event, the days of just sneaking by the Tigers and feasting off the O’s and A’s are over now. Next, the Yankees hit the road for three in Tampa, four in Chicago, and two in Toronto…before coming back home to face Boston for four and Toronto for another three.

    The Yankees next 16 games will be very interesting. And, here’s why:

    With today’s results, New York has a 2.5 game lead in the A.L. East.

    If they tread water over their next 16 games, and find themselves still just 2.5 games up at the close of business on August 12th, then it could get ugly for the Yankees after that – because they have a west coast trip starting on August 13th (with seven games against the M’s and A’s, combined) and, next, they head into Fenway Park for three tough games. And, you want a little more cushion (than 2.5 games) in the standings before that west coast trip and Fenway set.

    Related, you don’t want to lose any games off that 2.5 game lead over these next 16 games, because then you’re on thin ice, or have fallen through the ice, before you head west and then hit the Fens.

    Ideally, you’d like to see the Yankees go crazy – well, if you’re a fan of the team, like me – and see New York win 11 of their next 16 games before that west coast trip starting on August 13th. Can they do it? I really don’t know…

    To be honest, while I’m wishing for the Yankees to go 11-5 over their next 16 games, it would not shock me to see them go 7-9 during this span as well…

    So, maybe I should just split the difference and expect them to go something like 9-7 between now and August 13th? Then again, that would be just about treading water, no?

    Comments on July 26th vs. The A’s

    1. Evan3457
      July 26th, 2009 | 5:46 pm

      I would think:

      1 of 3 in Tampa, because the Jays are playing well now, but the Yanks have AJ and CC going in that series. A 2-2 split in Chicago, because, again, AJ and CC go in that series, and one of them should get a win. A split in Toronto, because you can bet that if Halladay isn’t traded by then, he’ll get one of those two games. He’ll pitch Wednesday this week, so he’ll likely get the first game on Tuesday as the Jays are off on Monday. And 2 of 3 at home vs. the Jays after the Sox come in. So, that’s 6-6, not counting the Sox series.

      A 2-2 split means 8-8, a 1-3 loss means 7-9. The rotation for the Yanks, barring injuries or trades, looks like Mitre/AJ/CC/Joba.

    2. Evan3457
      July 26th, 2009 | 5:47 pm

      Rays, not Jays, in the 1st sentence above.

      Sheesh.

    3. jeter96
      July 26th, 2009 | 6:06 pm

      Boston’s next 7 games while we play @ Tampa and CWS are very easy. Its not unrealistic to think that we could be tied this time next week.

      Every game from here on out when you look at our schedule is going to be tough. Nothing can be taken for granted.

    4. ken
      July 26th, 2009 | 6:18 pm

      One thing in our favor: I think that the Sox are going to show that they are not as good as their record in the first half. Not a bad team but not the class of the league. They had no excuse to lose today to the O’s. After picking up a game on us yesterday they give it right back.

      They are solid in the 1 and 2 pitchers and the bullpen. Everything else is a question.

      And Tampa is a notch below NY and BOS.

      Despite the challenges on paper I like our chances.

    5. Pat F
      July 26th, 2009 | 6:22 pm

      while a west coast trip is never fun, 7 games against the A’s and M’s isn’t exactly fear inspiring, so where the yankees are before going to play them is not the primary concern. the head to heads in the next two weeks with tampa and boston (especially boston) is really what it’s all about. going crazy vs. treading water means little unless we consider what the other teams we’re competing with do. team is playing absolutely unbelievable baseball now for over a month, and the focus should just be on continuing to do that day in and day out, controlling what the team can control, and let the standings fall where they will (and we should be able to sit back as fans for a night and admire what we’ve seen for the last 28 games, culminated by a 9-1 homestand!)

    6. Raf
      July 27th, 2009 | 1:02 am

      FWIW R/G

      Hitting
      NYY: 5.53
      BOS: 5.08
      TBR: 5.26

      Pitching
      NYY: 4.75
      BOS: 4.23
      TBR: 4.47

    7. clintfsu813
      July 27th, 2009 | 9:07 am

      Cano is killing me with his baserunning lately!

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