• September 12th vs. The Orioles

    Posted by on September 12th, 2009 · Comments (11)

    O.K., so, now, the Yankees have lost two in a row to the lowly Baltimore Orioles.

    Hey, no need to panic over that…as the Yankees are still a lock to make the post-season and it’s a 98% probability that they win the A.L. East.

    Now, of course, you might get nervous over the fact that this loss leaves the Yankees with just a 5 game lead over the Los Angeles Angels – for the best record in the league – with 19 games left to be played. But, if the Yankees go just 9-10 in those remaining games, then the Angels will have to go 16-5 to pass New York. And, I doubt all that’s going to happen.

    But, if you want to get nervous over anything, in Yankeeland, at this moment, start getting antsy over A.J. Burnett. Even with his good start the last time before this game that he pitched, Burnett has now allowed 38 earned runs in his last 55.6 innings pitched. That’s an ERA of 6.15 since August 1st for Burnett. And, that’s not good…when you’re counting on A.J. to be one of your “horses” in October.

    There’s an excellent chance that the Yankees will need Burnett to start two games in the ALDS this year. And, if that happens, and if you cannot count on A.J. to win his games, then you’re asking CC Sabathia and Andy Pettitte to carry you in a series that’s basically a situation where you have to win three out of three games. And…yup…that’s zero wiggle room for the Yankees lefties.

    And, if you watched the 2005 NLCS, 2007 ALCS and 2008 NLDS, then you should know that Sabathia and Pettite are more than capable of throwing a clunker in the post-season.

    Hey, if this all rings a bell, it’s because I wrote about it last week.

    Burnett has three starts in which to get his act together and show us somethining. And, if A.J. cannot do it, expect the ALDS this year, for the Yankees, to be no different than the ones from 2005, 2006 and 2007…meaning it will be the end of the road for the Yankees season.

    Comments on September 12th vs. The Orioles

    1. yagottagotomo1
      September 12th, 2009 | 9:19 pm

      Really? If Burnett is struggling going into the playoffs, you would pick them to lose in the first round? Even with a struggling AJ, they are better than Detroit and Texas.

    2. September 12th, 2009 | 9:33 pm

      Yup. In a five game series, losing one game because of a starter with issues then makes it a best 3 out of 4. And, it’s very hard to play .750 baseball against a team good enough to make the post-season. The Tigers and Rangers may not be super teams, but, they ain’t the O’s, Jays, Mets or A’s either.

    3. yagottagotomo1
      September 12th, 2009 | 9:36 pm

      Except you assume they will lose due to AJ, when the fact is that whoever he will be facing is no world beater either. They win games when they get a less than stellar effort from their starter all the time, and it is not like they will be facing Cy Young in a Game 2 against those teams.

    4. Tresh Fan
      September 12th, 2009 | 9:38 pm

      Perhaps because the Yankees have lost 4 consecutive post season series, or perhaps because they haven’t won a post season series in five years, we tend to be a little guarded in our assessments of their chances this time around. Yes, they are better than the Tigers, but they were better than the Tigers in 2006—much, much better—and it meant absolutely nothing. Detroit had no problems shutting them down.

    5. ken
      September 12th, 2009 | 10:02 pm

      I saw one at bat in today’s game: the Brian Roberts grand slam. Why throw a fastball (in the strike zone) with a 1-2 count? Should have wasted one or two and if Roberts doesn’t take the bait then take your chances on the fastball.

    6. September 12th, 2009 | 10:59 pm

      Down and in, too, to Roberts. Right where a lefty can just drop the bat on the ball and drive it.

    7. September 12th, 2009 | 11:02 pm

      yagottagotomo1 wrote:

      Except you assume they will lose due to AJ, when the fact is that whoever he will be facing is no world beater either.

      He’ll be facing the #2 starter on a team good enough to secure one of only four playoff berths. That’s no world beater? Really? If you think that…well, good for you. Me? I don’t agree.

    8. September 12th, 2009 | 11:03 pm

      @ Tresh Fan:FWIW, IIRC, when the Tigers came into the Bronx this year, the Yanks beat them – but, BARELY, each time….just to add to your point.

    9. yagottagotomo1
      September 12th, 2009 | 11:42 pm

      Steve Lombardi wrote:

      He’ll be facing the #2 starter on a team good enough to secure one of only four playoff berths. That’s no world beater? Really? If you think that…well, good for you. Me? I don’t agree.

      So being the #2 on a team that made the playoffs makes you a good pitcher? I wonder what being the #2 on the team with the best record in baseball makes you?

      Listen Steve, I get that you are nervous. But the Yankees are the best team. Can they lose? Certainly. But to use words like “expect” them to lose seems silly.

    10. yagottagotomo1
      September 12th, 2009 | 11:50 pm

      Also, Burnett’s likely Game 2 opponent is Edwin Jackson, who has an EA near 5 and a WHIP over 1.5 career against the Yankees. His last 7 starts: 5.32 ERA and a 1.65 WHIP. Not exactly going into the playoffs hot either. I’ll take the Yankees offense and bullpen in that matchup of two volatile pitchers.

    11. ken
      September 13th, 2009 | 12:36 am

      To be honest, I’m not worried about the pitching in the post-season. Yanks have been on a roll. A couple of stinkers doesn’t change anything. The only thing that matters about AJ is how he pitches then, not now. My guess is that Girardi saves Pettitte for a possible must-win in game 3 on the road.

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