Do you think the Yankees were lucky to win 5 or 6 games this season that they should not have won? Their Pythagorean Won-Loss record brings cause for this wild thought – since it suggests the notion that New York has won 5 or 6 games more than they should have this year.

Just for the fun of it, which games, in your mind, were the Yankees lucky to win, this season, so far? The Luis Castillo game has to be one of them…in your opinion, what are the others?

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Thank goodness for the Kansas City Royals. Without their win against the Red Sox on Monday, with this Yankees loss, New York would have been just 3 games up, in the loss column, on Boston. As it is, the gap stands at four.

Don’t get me wrong, the Yankees are going to make the post-season this year. They will win one game out of their next 11 contests – or, the Texas Rangers will lose one game out of their next 13 contests. And, once that happens, New York will clinch a play-off spot.

But, should Boston pass New York in the A.L. East standings, before the season is over, it’s going to leave a mental scar on the team. The Yankees were 6.5 games out of first on May 12th. They fought their way into first place and had a 9 game lead as recent as September 9th. New York has spent the last 77 calendar days in first place. To choke it up, at the end of the year, and back-in to the post-season via the Wildcard is going to leave a mark, for sure, if it happens…

At least Andy Pettitte looked good, overall, in this game. I wonder if he took a shot last week? And, I wonder how he’ll do his next time out? Fingers crossed!

By the way, the Yankees are 5-18 at Angels Stadium in the last five seasons. And, Chad Gaudin and A.J. Burnett start the next two games there for the Yankees. Do I hear five and twenty?

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Via Bryan Hoch:

With one day to absorb Joba Chamberlain’s last start, Yankees manager Joe Girardi said that he saw no reason to administer a reality check to the young hurler. But the club does need to see better results, and in a hurry.

Though he said he was embarrassed by allowing seven runs to the Mariners in Sunday’s three-inning start at Safeco Field — a 7-1 Yankees loss — Chamberlain was relentlessly positive in dissecting his outing, using the word “great” several times and telling reporters his stuff “was all working, surprisingly.”

The comments drew plenty of attention from fans on talk radio and the Internet, but Girardi said on Monday that he believes Chamberlain — who has now lost a career-high four straight decisions — knows that the results are not acceptable.

“I think that, at times, anyone can be in some form of denial,” Girardi said. “What he tells you and what he says to us might be two different things. I think players are positive people and they’re confident people.

“But there is no doubt about it: Joba needs to pitch better. And he knows that. He’ll be the first one to tell you he knows that.”

Girardi said that he still sees Chamberlain as a potential starter in the playoffs, but he mentioned that Chad Gaudin will have an opportunity to work his way into consideration.

Chad Gaudin starting a post-season game for the Yankees? Would he be the worst pitcher to start a post-season game for the Yankees since 1996? You tell me…here’s all the guys to do it, since then:

                   Games Link to Individual Games
 -----------------+-----+-------------------------
 Andy Pettitte        30 Ind. Games
 Roger Clemens        18 Ind. Games
 Mike Mussina         15 Ind. Games
 Orlando Hernandez    14 Ind. Games
 David Wells          10 Ind. Games
 David Cone           10 Ind. Games
 Chien-Ming Wang       4 Ind. Games
 Jimmy Key             4 Ind. Games
 Kenny Rogers          3 Ind. Games
 Denny Neagle          3 Ind. Games
 Jon Lieber            3 Ind. Games
 Kevin Brown           3 Ind. Games
 Randy Johnson         2 Ind. Games
 Jaret Wright          1 Ind. Games
 Javier Vazquez        1 Ind. Games
 Dwight Gooden         1 Ind. Games
 Shawn Chacon          1 Ind. Games

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Via Allen Barra –

Be afraid, Yankee fans — be very afraid.

A couple of weeks ago everything seemed all sewn up — the Yankees had vanquished the Red Sox, and all everyone wanted to know was if this year’s editions was as good as the 1998 team. A couple of more games like yesterday’s, and they’re going to be wondering if this team is as good as the 2008 Yankees.

The problem, as it has been for the Yankees since 2004, is the starting pitching, and this year it manifests itself in the hefty form of Joba Chamberlain. A year ago he looked like the greatest young phenom in baseball; now he’s a weight dragging down the rest of the pitching staff.

Sunday’s outing against the punchless Seattle mariners — dead last in the American League in both batting average and runs scored — was an out and out disgrace that would have earned any other pitcher a demotion to Double-A.

Is there a team in baseball with a worse record of developing young pitchers than the Yankees? Was there any more illogical way to bring Joba along than to put him in games where he was expected to only go three or four innings? If whoever is calling the shots in the front office had conferred with Joe Girardi and pitching coach Dave “No Man Is An” Eiland and at least agreed to put Joba back in the bullpen to be worked in front of Phil Hughes, they might at least have something to show for all the absurd coddling and pampering of Joba. All they’ve got now is a big fat ugly decision as to whether or not he should be included on the postseason roster — and if the numbers mean anything, the answer to that question is an emphatic no.

A couple of weeks ago the Yankees turned down every chance to go after several pitchers who could have helped them, the very least of them Cliff Lee, who was snapped up by the Phillies. Now they head into a potentially nasty stretch, including three with the Angels in Los Angeles then three games with the Red Sox at Yankee Stadium, in which they may not even be able to hold onto their five game lead. If Andy Pettitte’s shoulder doesn’t hold up tonight, it’s desperation time.

What’s the big difference between the 1998 and 2009 Yankees? Try this: In 1998, the Yanks weren’t going into the last nine games of the season wondering if they were the best team in the league.

Well, it’s that difference and the fact that the architects of the 1998 Yankees were Stick Michael and Bob Watson whereas the architect of the 21st century Yankees is Brian Cashman.

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Today’s wild thought is a quick and simple one: If the Yankees make the World Series this year, do you ask CC Sabathia to make his starts on three day’s rest? Hey, it’s not like it’s never been done before…

Any thoughts on this?

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The Yankee Stadium vendor alumni association lost one of their more colorful characters last week.

I just found out this news today, a week late, and am a bit bummed over it. Damn, the dude had a way with words.

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The Yankees went 4-3 this week…which is not terrible.

Don’t get me wrong, it’s not great. But, it’s not terrible.

In any event, what stands out the most in my mind, this past week, is that the last game of this week was a loss, to the Mariners. And, with that loss, the Yankees have now dropped 5 of their last 9 games. During this time, they’ve gone from being 9 games ahead of second place Boston to being just 5 games ahead of the Red Sox.

Actually, since September 4th, the Yankees are 9-7. But, that includes going 4-0 against the Tampa Bay Rays who were pretty bad when they played in New York. So, in their last 12 games where they played someone other than the Rays, the Yankees have gone 5-7. That’s not exactly sprinting for the finish line, is it?

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Poor Ramiro Pena.

Via the AP: New York Yankees rookie players and support personnel dressed as Batman characters pose for a photo with Yankees manager Joe Girardi, third from left,as they prepare to board buses in Seattle, Sunday, Sept. 20, 2009, following a baseball game against the Seattle Mariners. From left are radar gun operator Brett Weber as the Joker, video coordinator Anthony Flynn as Robin, rookie pitcher Mark Melancon as Batman, Yankees rookie shortstop Ramiro Pena as Catwoman, rookie pitcher Michael Dunn as the Riddler, and massage therapist Lew Potter as the Penguin. The team were headed out of Seattle for a series of games against the Los Angeles Angels and the costumes were part of the Yankees’ annual rookie hazing.

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Joba, Jo-ba, Jooooba…

At this point, I’m not even sure if I would hire him to be my latex salesman, much less have him pitch for me, in the post-season, in any capacity…

You know, two weeks ago, I wrote: “Yanks October Hopes: CC & Andy And Pray For Rain?” Well, Burnett and Chamberlain still have not won over my confidence yet…

Sure, I know that A.J. went seven allowing one run on Friday…but that was against the M’s, the next to worst offensive team in the league, in a pitcher’s park…

And, now, with Pettitte’s somewhat sore shoulder, well, the Yankees starting rotation is not looking all that great, is it?

The good news? The Yankees are making the post-season…in some shape and/or form. It’s a lock. New York may not win the East…don’t look now, but, the Red Sox are just four games back in the loss column…but, they’re in the big dance…no question.

The only question is how long will they last…given the issues with Burnett, Pettitte and Chamberlain? Hopefully, it will work out…but, I think Yankees fans should start bracing themselves for something less than desired, in terms of an outcome, too…as two bad starts (or more) from your starters in an LDS is usually a kiss of death.

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I’ve mentioned in the past that I’m a fan of Sparky Lyle’s work as a Yankee. So, yes, it was a thrill to meet him today. He’s truly a nice guy. It’s not everyday that you get to meet a former Cy Young Award winner, for sure…

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Back in 2006, the Minnesota Twins were 10 games back of first place on July 2nd and they made it to first on September 28th. And, it looks like they may be pulling a repeat of 2006 in 2009…

On September 7th of this season, the Twins were 7 games back of first place – and, now, they’re just two games back of the Tigers. And, Detroit has lost 9 of their last 12 games…

If the Yankees win the A.L. East and the Twins win the A.L. Central, more than likely, these two teams will then meet in the ALDS.

As we know, this season, the Yankees played the Twins seven times and beat them in every contest. And, since 2002, the Twins are 3-23 when playing at Yankee Stadium.

Can you imagine what would happen if the Yankees faced the Twins in the 2009 ALDS and then lost?

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With this win, the Yankees magic number to clinch a playoff spot is now two. And, their magic number to clinch a playoff spot is now nine. If you haven’t already made your plans for observing the high holy days of Yankeeland October baseball…you really should. (Throw in some time for November too – since the World Series could creep into that month.)

Actually, the Yankees got very lucky in this one. Since he was in his follow-through, that liner in the fifth inning just missed CC Sabathia’s face, by inches, and caught him in the chest. If CC takes that in the face, we’re talking broken bones and Sabathia missing the post-season.

Speaking of Sabathia, I can’t wait to see him pitch in October. In his last 9 starts, including this one, he’s 7-0 with an ERA of 1.79. And, he’s only allowed an BA/OBA/SLG line of .193/.244/.283 in 65.3 IP (facing 253 batters). Just like A-Rod, who has a BA/OBA/SLG of .338/.439/.517 since August 1st (in 180 PA), CC has been on fire down the stretch. But, we know, in October, things are sometimes different…

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Via Tyler Kepner -

The Southern California Trojans came to town Saturday, but that had been scheduled long in advance. The appearance of another U.S.C. man, Ian Kennedy, was far less certain. But there he was in the Yankees’ clubhouse, with a No. 38 jersey, back in the major leagues.

“It’s been a blessing just to be here,” said Kennedy, a former first-round pick who pitched well down the stretch in 2007. “To line something like this up, only God can do.”

Kennedy has reason to frame his ordeal in spiritual terms. While pitching for Class AAA Scranton/Wilkes-Barre in April, he was diagnosed with a vasospasm in his right middle ringer. A follow-up magnetic resonance imaging test showed an aneurysm near his right shoulder, which was surgically removed May 12.

“When it happened, they assured me it was not career threatening,” Kennedy said. “I’d rather have this than have a shoulder problem or Tommy John surgery. But when I first heard ‘aneurysm,’ I was kind of scared.”

Kennedy said his doctor told him not to worry about a recurrence. The operation – “he sewed my vein into my artery,” Kennedy said – had been a success. David Cone, who had aneurysm surgery in 1996 and returned to the Yankees late that season, assured Kennedy he could feel normal again on the mound.

When he started throwing, though, Kennedy said he “didn’t have any feel at all” for pitching. But it came back after a week, just as Cone had promised, and on Sept. 12 he started for Class A Tampa in the Florida State League playoffs, tossing two scoreless innings. Four days later, he threw three perfect innings for Scranton, with nine strikeouts.

Hey, at his worst, Alfred E. Kennedy was just as “good” as Sergio Mitre…so, why not use him over the final few weeks…if there’s a chance to do it?

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So, anyone else pumped for season premiere of CYE tomorrow? Can you believe the last time we saw a new episode of the show was on November 11, 2007?

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Lee Sinins is noodling over some enhancements to the Complete Baseball Encyclopedia. He’s looking into adding the option to now sort by “Division” when sorting stats…and not just by everyone, “League” and “Team.” Also, he’s working on adding a “Championship” option to the sorting screen.

As Lee shared: “In other words, either for single season, when the team won a championship or, for career figures, his career total for those seasons. Here’s the classifications that I’m using — 1) World Champions, 2) pennant winner, 3) first place, 4) made the postseason and 5) missed postseason.”

Related, Lee passed along some interesting sorts using these new wrinkles – with stats through last season and not including 2009. Here they are…

(more…)

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The Boston Red Sox have won 25 of their last 36 games, and have won 17 of their last 23 games, and now sit just 5 games behind the New York Yankees, in, as the great Scooter would call it, the all-important loss column.

And, some Yankees fans are starting to hear Red Sox Nation footsteps…

Now, to this, those into math will remind of us the following:

If the Yankees play just .500 baseball for the rest of the season, and go 7-7 in their remaining games, then the Red Sox will have to go 15-1 in their remaining games to pass New York in the standings. Yeah, fifteen and one…

Fat chance, huh?

But, here’s where it gets interesting. The Yankees have 5 more games on their current road trip – two with the Mariners and three with the Angels. And, after that, they meet the Red Sox for three games in Yankee Stadium. And, the Red Sox have 6 more games on their current road trip before coming to the Bronx – two with the Orioles and four against the Royals.

So, the Yankees have to deal with the M’s for two and then tackle the Angels – who usually plays New York well. And, on the other hand, the Red Sox play the O’s and Royals – two last place teams who have lost 6 out of every 10 this season, on average.

So, what happens if the Yankees go 2-3 in their next 5 games…which is possible…and, while that happens, the Red Sox go 5-1 in their next 6 games…which is asking a lot, but, it’s not impossible?

Then, when Boston comes into New York for a three-game set on September 25th, the Red Sox will start the series being just three games behind the Yankees in the loss cloumn. Yup, three games back with three games to be played head-to-head.

Interesting, huh? All of a sudden, that “15-1″ thing seems moot, eh?

But, here’s the deal…before we, in Yankeeland, get our panties all up in a bunch over this…let’s see the Yankees lose 3 of their next 5, first, while the Red Sox win 5 of their next 6…OK?

Plus, remember, in the past, the Red Sox have shown that they don’t care – whatsoever – how they make the playoffs…as long as they make them. And, right now, Boston has a 7 game lead in the wildcard race. The Red Sox magic number to take the ‘card is ten. Further, the team behind them, in the wildcard standings, the Texas Rangers, have lost 6 of their last 7 games. The Rangers are tanking.

There’s an excellent chance that the Red Sox may clinch the Wildcard six days from now…and, once that’s done, I expect them to go into Spring Training mode (and prepare for the post-season). Therefore, if you want to worry about the Red Sox…save it for the ALCS…should the Yankees get that far.

But, of course, I reserve the right to cancel that recommendation if the Yankees lose three of their next five, the Red Sox win five of their next six, and the Rangers win six games in a row…

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Ouch.

Ichiro Suzuki now joins:

Marco Scutaro, Bill Mueller, and Bill Selby as the only batters to hit a regular season, bottom of the 9th inning, walk-off homerun off against Mo Rivera.

Vernon Wells also hit a walk-off homer against Rivera – but it was in the 11th inning of a tie game. Suzuki, Scutaro, Mueller and Selby all did it in the ninth, with their team trailing.

Suzuki, Scutaro, and Selby all did it after two-outs. Mueller did it after one out.

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This one was too funny to pass up…YouTube at its best…

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Oh, you mean flaw…not craw…

Via Jon Heyman -

The Yankees think they may have detected the flaw in Joba Chamberlain’s delivery that’s caused him to be so mediocre lately. Pitching coach Dave Eiland is said to have noticed something was awry.

Ah…it was the late Dan Quisenberry who once said: “I found a delivery in my flaw.”

It would be nice to know there was a reason why Joba Chamberlain was pitching more like Aaron Laffey and John Lannan, in terms of overall relative net performance, than guys like Tim Lincecum and John Danks…

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Nope, it’s not video. Just a little optical illusion to help pass the time until A.J. Burnett takes the bump tonight for the Bombers…in case you don’t have a Yaqui shaman like Don Juan Matus on speed-dial for when you need him…

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Well, to answer the question, I went to the Complete Baseball Encyclopedia and asked it to show me seasons for Yankees pitchers where:

GAMES STARTED BETWEEN 9 AND 18
INNINGS PITCHED BETWEEN 27 AND 54
RANKED BY WORST RSAA

and, this is what I got:

PITCHER	        YEAR	RSAA	GS	IP
Chien-Ming Wang	2009	-24	9	42.0
Ian Kennedy	2008	-16	9	39.2
Hideki Irabu	1997	-16	9	53.1
Sergio Mitre	2009	-16	9	46.0
Steve Trout	1987	-12	9	46.1
Shane Rawley	1984	-12	10	42.0
Ster. Hitchcock	2001	-11	9	51.1
Chuck Cary	1991	-10	9	53.1
Ramiro Mendoza	1996	-10	11	53.0
Randy Keisler	2001	-10	10	50.2
Rich Dotson	1989	-8	9	51.2
Bill Short	1960	-7	10	47.0
Mike Witt	1993	-6	9	41.0
Mike Griffin	1980	-5	9	54.0
Cory Lidle	2006	-4	9	45.1

So, the answer is, so far, this season, Mitre has not been as bad as Chien-Ming Wang was earlier this season – but, it’s close. And, Mitre has been, again, to date, just as bad as Ian Kennedy was last year and somewhat worse than Steve Trout was back in 1987.

So, maybe, when I wrote back on November 3, 2008 that: “I’m not certain, but, I think Sergio Mitre is Latin for ‘Jay Witasick.’”…

…I should have wrote: I’m not certain, but, I think Sergio Mitre is Latin for “Steve Trout”…?

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Well, while it’s not right up there with “When people write [bad things] about me, I don’t know if it’s [because] I’m good-looking, I’m biracial, I make the most money, I play on the most popular team….”, I found this story to be a hoot:

“ATTN: Police Please Do Not Pull Me Over Just Because I’m Pretty”

What’s next, A.J. Burnett painting “ATTN: Girardi Please Do Not Have Posada Catch Me Just Because Molina Can’t Hit” on the back of his car?

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The first time the Yankees won a World Series ring, in my lifetime, was 1977. And, that was New York’s first ring since 1962 – meaning there were 14 years in between ring seasons.

The Yankees won another ring in 1978. But, they didn’t win their next ring until 1996 – meaning there were 17 seasons between ring seasons for them.

We know the last time the Yankees won a World Series ring was 2000. And, that was 9 years ago – including this season. So, what if we have to wait until 2015 or 2018 for the next Yankees ring?

You can’t say that’s not possible – as we had to wait for 1977 after 1962, and, we had to wait for 1996 after 1978.

Say, isn’t A-Rod’s contract up in 2017…? Maybe that 2018 date isn’t so crazy after all?

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Via the Seattle Times –

Lonny Frey, who played 14 seasons in the major leagues and in three All-Star games, died Sunday, in Coeur d’Alene, Idaho. Frey, the oldest surviving Pacific Coast League baseball player and the second-oldest major-leaguer, was 99.

Frey, whose full name was Linus Reinhard Frey, finished his professional career with the Seattle Rainiers in 1950, then moved his family from St. Louis to Seattle after that season. The family settled in Bellevue, then Frey and his wife, Mary, moved to Snohomish in the late 1960s.

When Mary Frey died in 1982, Frey moved to Coeur d’Alene.

“He was a warm, very down-to-earth guy,” said Pacific Coast League historian Dave Eskenazi. “He shared a number of entertaining baseball anecdotes, mainly about his old teams and teammates. I remember him telling me that Ernie Lombardi hit the ball harder than anyone else he’d seen, and he’d seen them all.

“He was modest, but rightly proud of his terrific major-league career.”

For more on Frey, see this at Misc. Baseball (Gathering Assorted Items of Baseball History and Trivia).

This is just 8 months after Bill Werber’s death.

Tommy Henrich is now on the clock…

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Click here to read the story. This is a huge loss for the Yankees blogosphere. If Pete wasn’t the best at what he does, he’s certainly in the team picture…and it’s a very select team. And, this is a huge win for the Boston Globe.

I wish Pete all the best. A better job, probably more security and better compensation, closer to home and family…I think we would all jump on that one. At least Pete will be covering a team that Yankees fans have an interest in…so we can keep reading him. (If he was going to cover the Padres or the A’s, this would not be the case.)

And, I would bet that the Journal News will have someone coveriing The LoHud Yankees Blog to keep our interest in their blog.

But, it won’t be 100% the same with Pete off the Yankees beat and not blogging about them…not even close.

Again, this is a huge loss for the Yankees blogosphere. But, personally, I’m happy for Pete. He’s worked very hard and deserves all the good things coming his way.

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I’m a little late to the party on this, but, this is what Bill Madden wrote in the Daily News last Saturday:

After a two-year decline in the standings, from a first-place team to an out-of-the-money third-place team, coinciding with an escalating out-of-control payroll, nobody had to tell Brian Cashman this past winter he needed to get it right.

Look back at those championship Yankee teams under Joe Torre and a few things stood out: They were pitching-driven and Derek Jeter-led.

But how to get that back?

The erosion of the Yankees’ championship mantra could be explained by their big acquisitions since their World Series appearance in 2001: Jason Giambi, Alex Rodriguez, Randy Johnson, Carl Pavano, Jared Wright, Kevin Brown. In the cases of Giambi and A-Rod, though both MVPs, neither had been to a World Series, and when they became Yankees they became the center of attention for all the wrong reasons. As for the pitchers, all came bearing hefty salaries and, most significantly, from the National League.

This winter, with an even more urgent need for top-of-the-rotation pitching, Cashman did some more big spending, but in CC Sabathia and A.J. Burnett he went for pitchers who had proven success in the American League.

At the same time, Cashman’s signing of Mark Teixeira to replace Jason Giambi did more than boost the offense and defense. It provided relief for A-Rod in the middle of the lineup. And with A-Rod no longer the main attraction, usually for all the wrong reasons, it is once again Jeter’s team, which means it’s a team team, which was the whole idea during Torre’s glory years.

I get the part about championship teams being “pitching-driven.” There’s nothing new there. The “Derek Jeter-led” part? Man, I dunno about that one. I want to say those 1996-2001 Yankees were more “Paul O’Neill/Tino Martinez/David Cone-led” than they were “Jeter-led.” And, the part about not making A-Rod the “main attraction”? Well, for sure, especially over the last seven or eight weeks, Alex Rodriguez has been able to not have the weight of the world on his shoulders – and he’s been hitting incredibly well during this time.

But, come October, betcha bottom dollar, all eyes will not be on Jeter, Sabathia, Burnett and Teixeira. Rather, the spotlight will be Alex Rodriguez. And, should A-Rod perform this October like he did in the 2005, 2006, and 2007 ALDS, then that will be the story in Yankeeland.

Fair? No, of course not. But, who said life is fair?

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