• Looking For A Big Game From A.J. Burnett Tonight?

    Posted by on October 9th, 2009 · Comments (11)

    The odds are really against it happening.

    Granted, it’s not impossible. Of course, nothing in baseball happens on average. But, when you look at the stats, you see it’s very rare for a starting pitcher to star in his post-season debut…at least since 1995.

    Comments on Looking For A Big Game From A.J. Burnett Tonight?

    1. jessicam
      October 9th, 2009 | 2:58 pm

      Ok, sorry not sure I understand. The team record in those starts is 12-2. None of those pitchers allowed more than 2 ER. All but I think one of them went at least 6 innings. So the odds are against what?

      Am I reading that table wrong?

    2. jessicam
      October 9th, 2009 | 2:59 pm

      unless we are just looking at game scores which i think it a pretty low value statistic.

    3. Corey
      October 9th, 2009 | 3:05 pm

      @ jessicam:
      you’re reading it wrong, if your scroll down a little, you’ll see those are 14 instances out of 134. Here’s Steve’s full list :

      http://www.baseball-reference.com/pi/shareit/UcgA3

    4. October 9th, 2009 | 3:07 pm

      Yes, it’s 14 great starts out of 134 “chances.”

    5. jessicam
      October 9th, 2009 | 6:16 pm

      ahhh i see. thanks guys! knew i had to be missing something.

    6. JeremyM
      October 9th, 2009 | 6:51 pm

      Let me quote Han Solo here: Never tell me the odds!

    7. Raf
      October 9th, 2009 | 6:56 pm

      Well, at least Blackburn is in the same situation.

    8. clintfsu813
      October 9th, 2009 | 8:44 pm

      Make that 15 out of 135. Great game AJ!

    9. Raf
      October 9th, 2009 | 9:05 pm

      clintfsu813 wrote:

      Make that 15 out of 135. Great game AJ!

      16, Blackburn did pretty well himself

    10. JeremyM
      October 9th, 2009 | 11:17 pm

      Blackburn was on, I thought some segments of Yankee fandom were a little hard on our batters and not giving him enough credit. He pitched very well.

    11. October 9th, 2009 | 11:20 pm

      Gotta check the games scores in the AM. I doubt that AJ was 70+ with all those baserunners.

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