Looking For A Big Game From A.J. Burnett Tonight?
Posted by Steve L. on October 9th, 2009 · Comments (11)
The odds are really against it happening.
Granted, it’s not impossible. Of course, nothing in baseball happens on average. But, when you look at the stats, you see it’s very rare for a starting pitcher to star in his post-season debut…at least since 1995.
Ok, sorry not sure I understand. The team record in those starts is 12-2. None of those pitchers allowed more than 2 ER. All but I think one of them went at least 6 innings. So the odds are against what?
Am I reading that table wrong?
unless we are just looking at game scores which i think it a pretty low value statistic.
@ jessicam:
you’re reading it wrong, if your scroll down a little, you’ll see those are 14 instances out of 134. Here’s Steve’s full list :
http://www.baseball-reference.com/pi/shareit/UcgA3
Yes, it’s 14 great starts out of 134 “chances.”
ahhh i see. thanks guys! knew i had to be missing something.
Let me quote Han Solo here: Never tell me the odds!
Well, at least Blackburn is in the same situation.
Make that 15 out of 135. Great game AJ!
clintfsu813 wrote:
16, Blackburn did pretty well himself
Blackburn was on, I thought some segments of Yankee fandom were a little hard on our batters and not giving him enough credit. He pitched very well.
Gotta check the games scores in the AM. I doubt that AJ was 70+ with all those baserunners.