• Jackson, Gardner Or Cabrera In 2010?

    Posted by on October 24th, 2009 · Comments (4)

    If you’ve been paying attention to this blog through the years, you would know that I’m a big fan of the Bill James Baseball Handbook. And, the Bill James Baseball Handbook 2010 is due to be released at the end of next week.

    Related, the good folks at ACTA Publications recently were kind enough to share a “sneak peek” of the Hitter and Pitcher Projections from the Bill James Handbook 2010.

    Checking those out, I found it interesting to see that they have the following AB totals and BA/OBA/SLG projections for some young Yankees outfielders in 2010:

    Melky Cabrera: .278/.341/.406 in 471 AB
    Brett Gardner: .277/.368/.375 in 325 AB
    Austin Jackson: .294/.356/.411 in 282 AB

    Granted, Jackson’s major league projection is based on his minor league numbers. But, it’s fun stuff to look at these projections and wonder who the Yankees should play in center field next season: Melky, Gardner or A-Jax? Then again, with Johnny Damon being a free agent and Nick Swisher playing his way out of town this post-season, maybe all three of these players will be manning the Yankees outfield in 2010?

    That’s the beauty of a book like the Bill James Handbook 2010 – lots of great stats and the like which lead to some fun thoughts, questions, debates, etc. I’m sincerely looking forward to seeing this years edition when it comes out on November 1st.

    Comments on Jackson, Gardner Or Cabrera In 2010?

    1. Evan3457
      October 24th, 2009 | 1:58 pm

      Where do you get the idea that Swisher is going somewhere on the basis on his poor post-season?

      I’d be very surprise if they let him go before his option years come up.

    2. MJ
      October 24th, 2009 | 2:07 pm

      I agree. I don’t see Swisher going anywhere, just as I don’t see A-Jax graduating from AAA before the All-Star break at the earliest.

    3. October 24th, 2009 | 4:50 pm

      theres something about Bill James’s association with the RedSox and Rob Neyer that prevents me from getting one of these

      i know its a “well regarded” book.. but would he be this well regarded if he were to be tied up with the Yanks..

    4. MJ
      October 24th, 2009 | 5:14 pm

      srivinodh wrote:

      theres something about Bill James’s association with the RedSox and Rob Neyer that prevents me from getting one of these

      I agree completely. Although I fully understand and accept the argument that James wouldn’t risk his reputation as the so-called goddfather of baseball analysis for the sake of Red Sox dollars, I always wonder why he’d even give the appearance of a conflict of interest if he weren’t already slightly compromised.

      I know James knows a lot and he’s done good work but I also think there’s something a wee bit unholy about him working for a ballclub and still publishing as a supposed unbiased observer. It hurts his credibility in my eyes, at least a little bit.

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