• The Somewhat Uniqueness Of Swishalicious

    Posted by on December 20th, 2009 · Comments (2)

    I was just playing around with the Complete Baseball Encyclopedia, asking it to show the following:

    List OF from 1947-2009, ranked by BPA, with seasons where AGE BETWEEN 27 AND 29, RCAA BETWEEN 20 AND 25, PLATE APPEARANCES >= 600, and AVERAGE < 0 vs. the league average – while displaying OWP and OPS vs. the league average.

    And, this is the result of that query:

    BPA                  YEAR     BPA      RCAA      PA       AVG      OWP      OPS
    1    Andruw Jones    2005     .594       22      672    -.006     .597     .155
    2    Mike Cameron    2001     .560       23      633    -.001     .615     .069
    3    Nick Swisher    2009     .555       22      607    -.018     .617     .104
    4    Bobby Bonds     1974     .554       21      670    -.007     .599     .084
    5    Dwayne Murphy   1984     .505       21      647    -.008     .614     .090


    It’s not a very deep list.

    1984 was the last really good season, with the bat, that Dwayne Murphy posted in his career. Bobby Bonds was traded by the Giants, to the Yankees, following that 1974 season – and some have suggested that a drinking problem had some play on that call. Mike Cameron matched his 2001 production, shown here, only one more time in the eight seasons that followed (to date). Andruw Jones repeated his 2005 offensive production in 2006 – and then his bat went completely down the flusher.

    You know, in many ways, Nick Swisher was like David Justice in 2000 and Kevin Millar in 2004 – meaning someone who turned out to be a nice offensive surprise on a championship team. But, the following season, both Justice and Millar tanked – and were never really good again.

    Could the same thing happen to Swisher in 2010? Should the Yankees, mindful of his partying ways, move him, now, like the Giants did with Bonds after 1974? Also, consider that Murphy, Cameron, and Jones, after their bats went “Poof!” still provided above average defense in center field – and that had some value. Nick Swisher is not a defensive wiz in the outfield.

    Granted, the Yankees outfield, at this moment, is not deep with sticks. But, maybe, if Johnny Damon is willing to take a two-year deal for $20 million, as some suggest, perhaps it makes sense to consider signing Damon and then trading Swisher to a team where they can get a serviceable 5th starter/bullpen swing-man in return?

    Comments on The Somewhat Uniqueness Of Swishalicious

    1. Corey
      December 20th, 2009 | 11:38 am

      Jones was most definitely juicing (or on something) back then.

      Swisher’s 2009 is right around in line with his career averages(especially if you exclude his 2008 campaign), not sure where you’re headed with this one. That’s just the player he is.

      Why would you trade Swisher for a serviceable 5th starter/bullpen swing man? THAT’S ALL WE HAVE!!! Seriously. Think about it, Joba, Hughes, Aceves, Gaudin, Mitre even. They all fit that bill. We need a middle of the rotation starter, if anything. While if a situation where we’d be getting such a pitcher ever occurred and then the Damon signing happened, I’d be all for it (despite my hatred of Damon, that move would make sense). Swisher, however, realistically won’t bring that back.

    2. December 20th, 2009 | 7:54 pm

      man— you dig deep to find negative possibilities! great job! ( I’m not kidding)

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