• 2010 Staff Predictions

    Posted by on March 27th, 2010 · Comments (20)

    Well, the start of the 2010 Major League Baseball regular season is not that far away now. So, what better time than the present to share the WasWatching.com Staff predictions for this year? They follow below. It will be interesting to look back at these in seven months and see how we did with these picks. In the meantime, enjoy going through them now…and feel free to leave questions, observations, etc.. in the comments section of this post.

    Name Corey Italiano Jeff F. Dan LaTorraca MJ Recanati * denotes wild card
    AL East 1st Place Yankees Yankees Yankees Red Sox AL East 1st Place
    AL East 2nd Place Rays * Red Sox* Red Sox* Yankees* AL East 2nd Place
    AL East 3rd Place Red Sox Rays Rays Rays AL East 3rd Place
    AL East 4th Place Orioles Orioles Orioles Orioles AL East 4th Place
    AL East 5th Place Blue Jays Blue Jays Blue Jays Blue Jays AL East 5th Place
    AL Central 1st Place Twins Twins Twins Twins AL Central 1st Place
    AL Central 2nd Place White Sox Tigers White Sox White Sox AL Central 2nd Place
    AL Central 3rd Place Tigers White Sox Tigers Tigers AL Central 3rd Place
    AL Central 4th Place Indians Indians Royals Royals AL Central 4th Place
    AL Central 5th Place Royals Royals Indians Indians AL Central 5th Place
    AL West 1st Place Mariners Mariners Angels Angels AL West 1st Place
    AL West 2nd Place Angels Angels Mariners Mariners AL West 2nd Place
    AL West 3rd Place Rangers Rangers Rangers Rangers AL West 3rd Place
    AL West 4th Place Athletics Athletics Athletics A’s AL West 4th Place
    NL East 1st Place Phillies Phillies Phillies Phillies NL East 1st Place
    NL East 2nd Place Braves* Mets Braves Braves NL East 2nd Place
    NL East 3rd Place Mets Braves Mets Mets NL East 3rd Place
    NL East 4th Place Marlins Marlins Marlins Marlins NL East 4th Place
    NL East 5th Place Nationals Nationals Nationals Nationals NL East 5th Place
    NL Central 1st Place Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals NL Central 1st Place
    NL Central 2nd Place Cubs Cubs Cubs* Cubs NL Central 2nd Place
    NL Central 3rd Place Brewers Reds Brewers Brewers NL Central 3rd Place
    NL Central 4th Place Astros Brewers Astros Reds NL Central 4th Place
    NL Central 5th Place Reds Astros Reds Astros NL Central 5th Place
    NL Central 6th Place Pirates Pirates Pirates Pirates NL Central 6th Place
    NL West 1st Place Dodgers Dodgers Rockies Dodgers NL West 1st Place
    NL West 2nd Place Rockies Rockies* Dodgers Diamondbacks* NL West 2nd Place
    NL West 3rd Place Diamondbacks Diamondbacks Giants Rockies NL West 3rd Place
    NL West 4th Place Giants Giants Diamondbacks Giants NL West 4th Place
    NL West 5th Place Padres Padres Padres Padres NL West 5th Place
    ALCS Winner Yankees Yankees Yankees Red Sox ALCS Winner
    ALCS Loser Mariners Red Sox Red Sox Yankees ALCS Loser
    # of Games in ALCS 5 7 7 5 # of Games in ALCS
    NLCS Winner Phillies Rockies Phillies Phillies NLCS Winner
    NLCS Loser Cardinals Phillies Rockies Cardinals NLCS Loser
    # of Games in NLCS 7 6 6 6 # of Games in NLCS
    WS Winner Yankees Yankees Yankees Red Sox WS Winner
    WS Loser Phillies Rockies Phillies Philles WS Loser
    # of Games in WS 5 6 7 6 # of Games in WS
    AL MVP Evan Longoria Joe Mauer Alex Rodriguez Kevin Youkilis AL MVP
    NL MVP Albert Pujols Matt Kemp Albert Pujols Albert Pujols NL MVP
    AL CY Cliff Lee Felix Hernandez Felix Hernandez Jon Lester AL CY
    NL CY Roy Halladay Josh Johnson Roy Halladay Roy Halladay NL CY
    AL ROY Neftali Feliz Brian Matusz Scott Sizemore Brian Matusz AL ROY
    NL ROY Jason Heyward Jason Heyward Jason Heyward Jason Heyward NL ROY
    AL Comeback Milton Bradley Ben Sheets Ken Griffey Jr. Ben Sheets AL Comeback
    NL Comeback Troy Glaus Aramis Ramirez Troy Glaus Tim Hudson NL Comeback
    AL Manager of the Year Don Wakamatsu Ron Gardenhire Don Wakamatsu Terry Francona AL Manager of the Year
    NL Manager of the Year Bobby Cox Dusty Baker Clint Hurdle Bobby Cox NL Manager of the Year
    AL Batting Robinson Cano Ichiro Suzuki Ichiro Suzuki Ichiro Suzuki AL Batting
    NL Batting Albert Pujols Hanley Ramirez Albert Pujols Pablo Sandoval NL Batting
    AL HR Alex Rodriguez Alex Rodriguez Alex Rodriguez Mark Teixeira AL HR
    NL HR Mark Reynolds Ryan Howard Prince Fielder Ryan Howard NL HR
    AL ERA Felix Hernandez Felix Hernandez Felix Hernandez Jon Lester AL ERA
    NL ERA Roy Halladay Dan Haren Roy Halladay Tim Lincecum NL ERA
    AL K Justin Verlander Jon Lester Justin Verlander Jon Lester AL K
    NL K Tim Lincecum Tim Lincecum Tim Lincecum Tim Lincecum NL K
    AL First Firing Ron Washington Bob Geren Ron Washington Dave Trembley AL First Firing
    NL First Firing Jerry Manuel Bud Black Dusty Baker Dusty Baker NL First Firing
    AL Overrated Team Red Sox Rays Rays Yankees AL Overrated Team
    NL Overrated Team Dodgers None Braves Dodgers NL Overrated Team
    AL Overrated Player Adrian Beltre Adrian Beltre Justin Morneau BJ Upton AL Overrated Player
    NL Overrated Player Stephen Strasburg Mark Reynolds Jason Bay Chipper Jones NL Overrated Player
    AL Underrated Team Orioles None Orioles White Sox AL Underrated Team
    NL Underrated Team Diamondbacks Rockies Astros Diamondbacks NL Underrated Team
    AL Underrated Player Robinson Cano Adam Lind Shin-Soo Choo Shin-Soo Choo AL Underrated Player
    NL Underrated Player Edwin Jackson Brad Hawpe Brian Wilson Jay Bruce NL Underrated Player












    Name Phil Allard Sean McNally Jeteupthemiddle Allie Steve Lombardi * denotes wild card
    AL East 1st Place Yankees Yankees Yankees Rays AL East 1st Place
    AL East 2nd Place Red Sox Red Sox* Red Sox* Yankees* AL East 2nd Place
    AL East 3rd Place Rays Rays Rays Red Sox AL East 3rd Place
    AL East 4th Place Orioles Orioles Blue Jays Orioles AL East 4th Place
    AL East 5th Place Blue Jays Blue Jays Orioles Blue Jays AL East 5th Place
    AL Central 1st Place Twins Tigers Tigers Tigers AL Central 1st Place
    AL Central 2nd Place Tigers Twins White Sox Twins AL Central 2nd Place
    AL Central 3rd Place White Sox White Sox Twins White Sox AL Central 3rd Place
    AL Central 4th Place Royals Royals Royals Royals AL Central 4th Place
    AL Central 5th Place Indians Indians Indians Indians AL Central 5th Place
    AL West 1st Place Angels Mariners Mariners Angels AL West 1st Place
    AL West 2nd Place Mariners Rangers Angels Rangers AL West 2nd Place
    AL West 3rd Place Athletics Angels Rangers Mariners AL West 3rd Place
    AL West 4th Place Rangers A’s A’s A’s AL West 4th Place
    NL East 1st Place Phillies Phillies Phillies Phillies NL East 1st Place
    NL East 2nd Place Braves Braves* Braves Braves NL East 2nd Place
    NL East 3rd Place Marlins Marlins Mets Marlins NL East 3rd Place
    NL East 4th Place Mets Nationals Marlins Mets NL East 4th Place
    NL East 5th Place Nationals Mets Nationals Nationals NL East 5th Place
    NL Central 1st Place Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals Cubs NL Central 1st Place
    NL Central 2nd Place Brewers Cubs Brewers Cardinals NL Central 2nd Place
    NL Central 3rd Place Reds Brewers Reds Brewers NL Central 3rd Place
    NL Central 4th Place Cubs Reds Cubs Reds NL Central 4th Place
    NL Central 5th Place Pirates Astros Astros Astros NL Central 5th Place
    NL Central 6th Place Astros Pirates Pirates Pirates NL Central 6th Place
    NL West 1st Place Giants Dodgers Dodgers Rockies NL West 1st Place
    NL West 2nd Place Rockies Rockies Giants* Giants* NL West 2nd Place
    NL West 3rd Place Dodgers Giants Rockies Dodgers NL West 3rd Place
    NL West 4th Place Diamondbacks Diamondbacks Padres Diamondbacks NL West 4th Place
    NL West 5th Place Padres Padres Diamondbacks Padres NL West 5th Place
    ALCS Winner Yankees Yankees Yankees Rays ALCS Winner
    ALCS Loser Red Sox Mariners Red Sox Angels ALCS Loser
    # of Games in ALCS 7 6 7 6 # of Games in ALCS
    NLCS Winner Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals Giants NLCS Winner
    NLCS Loser Giants Phillies Dodgers Phillies NLCS Loser
    # of Games in NLCS 6 6 6 7 # of Games in NLCS
    WS Winner Yankees Yankees Yankees Rays WS Winner
    WS Loser Cardinals Cardinals Dodgers Giants WS Loser
    # of Games in WS 6 6 6 6 # of Games in WS
    AL MVP Mark Teixeira Joe Mauer Alex Rodriguez Ben Zobrist AL MVP
    NL MVP Matt Holliday Albert Pujols Albert Pujols Joey Votto NL MVP
    AL CY John Lackey CC Sabathia Josh Beckett Jon Lester AL CY
    NL CY Tim Lincecum Roy Halladay Roy Halladay Roy Halladay NL CY
    AL ROY Scott Sizemore Carlos Santana Scott Sizemore Wade Davis AL ROY
    NL ROY Jason Heywood Jason Heyward Stephen Strasburg Alcides Escobar NL ROY
    AL Comeback PASS Ben Sheets PASS Chris Davis AL Comeback
    NL Comeback PASS David Wright PASS Conor Jackson NL Comeback
    AL Manager of the Year Don Wakamatsu Don Wakamatsu Joe Girardi Dave Anderson AL Manager of the Year
    NL Manager of the Year Bruce Bochy Bobby Cox Bruce Bochy Jim Tracy NL Manager of the Year
    AL Batting Robinson Cano Ichiro Suzuki Joe Mauer Derek Jeter AL Batting
    NL Batting Matt Holliday Pablo Sandoval Hanley Ramirez Pablo Sandoval NL Batting
    AL HR Alex Rodriguez Alex Rodriguez Carlos Pena Nelson Cruz AL HR
    NL HR Matt Holliday Albert Pujols Albert Puljols Ryan Howard NL HR
    AL ERA Zack Grienke Zack Grienke Zach Greinke Felix Hernandez AL ERA
    NL ERA Tim Lincecum Roy Halladay Roy Halladay Roy Halladay NL ERA
    AL K Zack Grienke Justin Verlander CC Sabathia Jon Lester AL K
    NL K Tim Lincecum Roy Halladay Tim Lincecum Yovani Gallardo NL K
    AL First Firing Ron Washington Bob Geren Manny Acta Ron Washington AL First Firing
    NL First Firing Jerry Manuel Dusty Baker Jerry Manuel Jerry Manuel NL First Firing
    AL Overrated Team PASS White Sox Twins Yankees AL Overrated Team
    NL Overrated Team PASS Cubs Brewers Mets NL Overrated Team
    AL Overrated Player PASS Josh Beckett Jacoby Ellsbury Ichiro Suzuki AL Overrated Player
    NL Overrated Player PASS Jose Reyes Jimmy Rollins David Wright NL Overrated Player
    AL Underrated Team PASS Orioles Chicago Rays AL Underrated Team
    NL Underrated Team PASS Braves Giants Rockies NL Underrated Team
    AL Underrated Player PASS Brian Roberts Robinson Cano Shin-Soo Choo AL Underrated Player
    NL Underrated Player PASS Ryan Zimmerman Troy Tulowitzki Andre Ethier NL Underrated Player

     

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    Comments on 2010 Staff Predictions

    1. March 27th, 2010 | 10:26 pm

      I think AL East is really up for grabs, though I like the Yankees by a nose over Boston. Steve, are you down on Boston or is that just a matter of the strength of the division?

    2. March 27th, 2010 | 10:29 pm

      @ yagottagotomo1: the latter.

    3. 77yankees
      March 28th, 2010 | 9:38 am

      Umm, Dan – Clint Hurdle is the hitting coach in Texas now. You must have meant Jim Tracy if you meant the Rockies manager would win NL Manager of the Year.

    4. Corey Italiano
      March 28th, 2010 | 11:14 am

      Just got back from Florida. Lots of fun, and I’ll have a post on it after a nice nap.

      Interesting picks guys…kind of surprised to see that only Steve and I picked Tampa to make it to the playoffs. In any case, I like the diversity of our picks, must say. It’ll be fun to see who’s done the best Nostradamus imitation at the end of the year.

    5. Evan3457
      March 28th, 2010 | 11:27 am

      I think that while the Yanks have a better chance than others to make the playoffs, the odds are less than 50/50, because the Red Sox and Rays are just about as good. Even if you call it 40/30/30, in favor of the Yankees, that’s still a 60% chance of them not making the playoffs.

      So not making the playoffs can’t be considered a catastrophe, or a massive failure. Not in this division. Not even in consideration of the payroll.

    6. MJ Recanati
      March 28th, 2010 | 8:52 pm

      @ Steve Lombardi:
      1) We actually had quite a number of picks in common, Steve-O.

      2) Who is Don Anderson? I truly feel like I should know but I’ve never heard of him.

    7. clintfsu813
      March 29th, 2010 | 7:40 am

      When did MJ start drinking the Boston kool aid? ;)

    8. clintfsu813
      March 29th, 2010 | 7:42 am

      @ Evan3457:
      Yea..but we all know it will

    9. MJ Recanati
      March 29th, 2010 | 7:58 am

      @ clintfsu813:
      LOL, it kills me, believe me. I just think they’re a better ballclub all around. On paper, I see fewer question marks in their rotation, a well-constructed bullpen, a lineup that is better than people are giving them credit for and, obviously, a defensive upgrade at several key positions. Plus, with their money, they can correct mistakes in-season, something that Tampa can’t do as easily.

      I respect the hell out of the Red Sox front office, even if I wish them all explosive diarrhea while they’re sitting in dead-stopped traffic with no rest stops for miles on a hot summer day on the Mass Pike. Eff ‘em all.

    10. clintfsu813
      March 29th, 2010 | 8:09 am

      @ MJ Recanati:
      I dont think they’re better all around. I think they have just as many questions as us. ie: Wakefield/Dice-K vs Pettite/Hughes. Ortiz/Lowell vs NJ/Jeter. Just saying that we both have players who are getting older/injury prone. Wasnt actually comparing those players.

    11. MJ Recanati
      March 29th, 2010 | 9:39 am

      @ clintfsu813:
      Look, let’s be frank, Wakefield kind of stinks, as does Dice-K. But Boston’s top four (Beckett/Lester/Lackey/Buchholz) matches up very favorably with Sabathia/Burnett/Pettitte/Vazquez in that there’s less injury risk or performance risk in Boston’s group. Debating whether Wakefield/Dice-K will be better than Hughes is really a toss-up because it’s just the 5th starter spot. Boston’s got the better rotation on top, or at least, the one with less downside risk.

      As for Ortiz vs. NJ, they’re both dogs at this point. Neither one should be counted on for anything.

      Comparing Lowell to Jeter doesn’t make much sense to me since Lowell’s a backup to Beltre. Jeter’s a better bet to have a productive 2010 than Lowell but the Yanks need Jeter to perform a lot more than Boston needs Lowell to perform. Perhaps the better comparison would’ve been what, if anything, Boston will get out of Beltre/Scutaro. Offensively, I can’t imagine either will contribute that much. But if they’re both -5 offensively and +10 defensively, they still provide value.

      I’m not saying Boston’s better than the Yanks by a mile…I just think they’re better by enough to win the division. Nick Johnson/Posada/Gardner/Burnett don’t give me much confidence this year.

    12. clintfsu813
      March 29th, 2010 | 9:52 am

      @ MJ Recanati:
      Dammit..forgot about Beltre. Obviously we’ll see in a few days, I just dont think they’re better than NYY. Of course i’m biased though. :)

    13. Corey Italiano
      March 29th, 2010 | 10:34 am

      @ clintfsu813:
      I’m with you. Sox don’t make the playoffs in my book.

    14. clintfsu813
      March 29th, 2010 | 11:00 am

      @ Corey Italiano:
      Suck it MJ! ;)

    15. MJ Recanati
      March 29th, 2010 | 11:32 am

      @ Corey Italiano:
      @ clintfsu813:
      LOL, we’ll revisit this many times, I’m sure! :-)

    16. BOHAN
      March 29th, 2010 | 3:35 pm

      Boston’s rotation is slightly better not by much the. the yankees lineup is much better and the defenses i think yankees might have a slight edge if they arent even. if u go poistion by position i think the yankees take more position then the sox.

    17. BOHAN
      March 29th, 2010 | 3:38 pm

      it would be awesome if that last 3 game series decided who makes the playoffs. rivalry at its finest

    18. MJ Recanati
      March 29th, 2010 | 4:12 pm

      BOHAN wrote:

      the defenses i think yankees might have a slight edge

      Really? You really believe that? To each his own I guess but, wow, I just don’t see the Yanks defense being better than Boston’s.

    19. Corey Italiano
      March 29th, 2010 | 5:27 pm

      @ MJ Recanati:
      It should be noted that I don’t believe the Red Sox will be a bad team by any means. I just think the Yanks and Rays are better. All 3 teams would have a great shot at winning any other division, I think.

      I also believe that defense is over-rated in the regular season. If you look, not a single team in the top 5 of UZR/150 made the playoffs. As we have seen first hand, a dynamite offense can take you to the playoffs. The Sox lost a good chunk of their offense in left, and marginally improved the offense in third. I also think Lackey, while a pretty good pitcher, is overrated.

    20. MJ Recanati
      March 30th, 2010 | 7:32 am

      @ Corey Italiano:
      I don’t believe in UZR/150 so I’m certainly with you there in saying that this particular metric didn’t show any predictive power based on last year’s standings.

      Despite the loss of Bay in LF, the Red Sox added Cameron in CF. Over the past eight seasons, Cameron has produced at 3.7 WAR (Bay at 3.1 WAR over seven seasons). Even if you ding Cameron the roughly 0.5 wins for playing CF instead of LF, you get back the same player. I’m not so sure that the Cameron-for-Bay swap has hurt Boston’s offense as much as people think.

      As for Beltre/Lowell, I think it’s a toss-up. I really don’t know what Beltre can provide offensively so I’ll call it neutral at this point. What you’re forgetting, however, is the upgrade a full season of Victor Martinez brings over Jason Varitek from last year. That’s a tremendous upgrade.

      Not sure I see how Lackey is overrated. He doesn’t have Burnett’s stuff but he’s got Burnett beat 3.9-3.4 in WAR which, at the very least, tells me that he’s roughly of Burnett’s caliber. Boston’s third best pitcher is no worse than our second best. That’s really significant in my opinion.

      Again, I’m not saying Boston’s winning the division by 10 games. But, man, Boston’s just a better ballclub than they were last year and I don’t see how anyone could think otherwise.

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