• Yankees April 2010 Monthly Win Expectancy

    Posted by on April 5th, 2010 · Comments (6)

    Something new this year at WasWatching.com -

    At the start of each month, or thereabouts, I’m going to look at the Yankees schedule for the month, and provide a number of wins and losses that we should see for New York (that month). Please keep in mind that this is not a prediction or a forecast. More so, this is me looking at the Yankees schedule, one month at a time, and considering who they play, when they play them, and where they play, and then coming up with what is a reasonable amount of wins a team such as the Yankees should have over that given period of time.

    And, then, of course, once the month is over, we can compare the Yankees actual results to what I felt they should have done – given that month’s schedule, their opponents, etc. (And, yes, the formula I’m using is somewhat unscientific, back of the envelope in nature, and very proprietary, so, I won’t be sharing all the details on it.)

    For the month of April 2010, the New York Yankees should win 13 games and lose 9 games – all things considered, and being reasonable about it. Now, let’s see how they actually do this month.

    Comments on Yankees April 2010 Monthly Win Expectancy

    1. MJ Recanati
      April 5th, 2010 | 12:27 pm

      I see them at 12-10.

    2. April 5th, 2010 | 12:31 pm

      MJ Recanati wrote:

      I see them at 12-10.

      Funny. My first calc had them at 12-10. And, then, I thought, “F-that. They’re the Yankees, goddamnit. They should be able to go 13-9.” ;-)

    3. MJ Recanati
      April 5th, 2010 | 1:03 pm

      @ Steve Lombardi:
      LOL, I hear ya!

    4. Evan3457
      April 5th, 2010 | 4:18 pm

      I see 12-10 also.

    5. Evan3457
      April 5th, 2010 | 4:19 pm

      Assuming they take 2 of 3 in Baltimore; not a given early in the year.

    6. MJ Recanati
      April 5th, 2010 | 4:24 pm

      @ Evan3457:
      That’s what my assumption was also.

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