• July & August 2010 Monthly Win Expectancy Review

    Posted by on September 1st, 2010 · Comments (1)

    I missed doing the review for July last month. So, I’m going to use this one as a catch-up.

    Oh, what the heck, let’s just look at the whole shebang to date. Here it is:

    • April 2010:I expected a record of 13-9 and the Yankees actually went 15-7.
    • May 2010:I expected a record of 17-12 and the Yankees actually went 16-13.
    • June 2010:I expected a record of 15-11 and the Yankees actually went 16-10.
    • July 2010: – I expected a record of 16-10 and the Yankees actually went 19-7.
    • August 2010: – I expected a record of 18-11 and the Yankees actually went 16-13.

    So, today, the Yankees record is 82-50 compared to an expected record of 79-53 at this junction.

    Therefore, in my opinion, the Yankees have performed, so far this season, three wins better than what could be reasonably expected. Considering some of the player performance issues that they’ve encountered this season at various times, that’s pretty darn good. Let’s just hope they can keep it up in September and anything that follows.

    Add on: For those interested, the Yankees Pythagorean W-L record sits at 83-49 today. Another sign that they’re pretty much meeting expectations, for some, I suppose…

    Comments on July & August 2010 Monthly Win Expectancy Review

    1. Evan3457
      September 1st, 2010 | 8:48 am

      Still on pace for 100-101 wins. That’s not too shabby.

      ============================================
      Getting a jump on September/October…

      Two with A’s: 1-1 split.
      Three with Jays: 2-1
      Three with O’s: 2-1
      Three in Texas: 1-2
      Three is Tampa: 1-2
      Three in Baltimore: 2-1
      Four with Rays: 2-2 (Possibly 3-1 if Andy is back on schedule)
      Three with Sox: 2-1
      Three in Toronto: 1-2
      Three in Fenway: 2-1 (Sox will have given up by then, probably)

      Total: 16-14 or 17-13.

      Season total: 98-64 or 99-63.

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