• Will Burnett Or Hughes Throw A Clunker To Remember This October?

    Posted by on September 23rd, 2010 · Comments (8)

    I was just looking at what many would consider to be the 25 worst post-season “starts” by a Yankees pitcher in the Wildcard Era – meaning since 1996. (See the list below.) And, I noticed that two of A.J. Burnett’s starts for the Yankees last season ranked among the 20th worst for the Yankees (since ’96).

    What are the odds that Burnett or Phil Hughes have a start this October which also cracks the Top 20 (or 25) here?

    Me? I’m thinking the odds are pretty good. How about you? Have a lot of faith in Burnett and/or Hughes this post-season? Yes? No? Why?

    Rk Player Date Series Gm# Opp Rslt IP H R ER BB SO HR GSc
    1 Chien-Ming Wang 2007-10-04 ALDS 1 CLE L 3-12 4.2 9 8 8 4 2 2 12
    2 David Wells 2002-10-05 ALDS 4 ANA L 5-9 4.2 10 8 8 0 0 1 12
    3 Andy Pettitte 2001-11-03 WS 6 ARI L 2-15 2.0 7 6 6 2 1 0 17
    4 Andy Pettitte 1996-10-20 WS 1 ATL L 1-12 2.1 6 7 7 1 1 1 17
    5 Andy Pettitte 1999-10-26 WS 3 ATL W 6-5 3.2 10 5 5 1 1 0 21
    6 A.J. Burnett 2009-11-02 WS 5 PHI L 6-8 2.0 4 6 6 4 2 1 22
    7 Andy Pettitte 1998-10-09 ALCS 3 CLE L 1-6 4.2 8 6 6 3 1 4 22
    8 David Cone 1997-09-30 ALDS 1 CLE W 8-6 3.1 7 6 6 2 2 1 22
    9 Randy Johnson 2005-10-07 ALDS 3 LAA L 7-11 3.0 9 5 5 0 2 2 23
    10 Andy Pettitte 2000-10-08 ALDS 5 OAK W 7-5 3.2 10 5 5 2 4 0 23
    11 Andy Pettitte 1997-10-02 ALDS 2 CLE L 5-7 5.0 9 7 7 1 3 1 23
    12 Roger Clemens 1999-10-16 ALCS 3 BOS L 1-13 2.0 6 5 5 2 2 1 24
    13 Kenny Rogers 1996-10-23 WS 4 ATL W 8-6 2.0 5 5 5 2 0 1 24
    14 Kevin Brown 2004-10-20 ALCS 7 BOS L 3-10 1.1 4 5 5 2 1 1 25
    15 Chien-Ming Wang 2007-10-08 ALDS 4 CLE L 4-6 1.0 5 4 4 0 0 1 27
    16 Mike Mussina 2005-10-10 ALDS 5 LAA L 3-5 2.2 6 5 5 1 3 1 28
    17 Andy Pettitte 2002-10-02 ALDS 2 ANA L 6-8 3.0 8 4 4 0 1 2 28
    18 Kevin Brown 2004-10-16 ALCS 3 BOS W 19-8 2.0 5 4 3 2 1 1 31
    19 A.J. Burnett 2009-10-22 ALCS 5 LAA L 6-7 6.0 8 6 6 3 3 0 32
    20 Roger Clemens 2000-10-07 ALDS 4 OAK L 1-11 5.0 6 6 6 4 5 1 32
    21 Roger Clemens 2003-10-16 ALCS 7 BOS W 6-5 3.0 6 4 3 1 1 2 33
    22 Jaret Wright 2006-10-07 ALDS 4 DET L 3-8 2.2 5 4 3 1 1 2 34
    23 Mike Mussina 2001-10-27 WS 1 ARI L 1-9 3.0 6 5 3 1 4 2 34
    24 Jimmy Key 1996-10-21 WS 2 ATL L 0-4 6.0 10 4 4 2 0 0 34
    25 Kenny Rogers 1996-10-12 ALCS 4 BAL W 8-4 3.0 5 4 4 2 3 1 34
    Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
    Generated 9/23/2010.

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    Comments on Will Burnett Or Hughes Throw A Clunker To Remember This October?

    1. Corey Italiano
      September 23rd, 2010 | 1:11 pm

      A lot of bad memories on that list..

    2. September 23rd, 2010 | 1:18 pm

      Corey Italiano wrote:

      A lot of bad memories on that list..

      Amen brother.

    3. BOHAN
      September 23rd, 2010 | 1:22 pm

      of course theres a chance. Andy is on that list 7 times and everyone considers him a big game pitcher. Clemens is considered one of the best pitchers in history and hes on that list 3 times. theres a chance CC could throw a bad game. its baseball it happens.

    4. Molon Labe
      September 23rd, 2010 | 1:23 pm

      Ummm….

      I can’t help but notice that six (6) of those eleven (11) worst starts were hurled (pun intended) by Andy Pettitte, as recently as last post-season.

      So then, why does everyone seem to be so confident about #46?

    5. G.I. Joey
      September 23rd, 2010 | 1:51 pm

      @ Molon Labe:

      Because we have seen him succeed in the big games more than we have seen him fail in the past 14 years we have been watching him do this.

    6. September 23rd, 2010 | 2:04 pm

      @ BOHAN:
      @ Molon Labe:

      This is 100% subjective and not based on any data, but, I would swear that there’s a line for Andy Pettitte in the post-season and it’s drawn at 2003.

      It just SEEMS like Andy Pettitte the post-season pitcher since 2003 is a different animal since Andy Pettitte the post-season pitcher before 2003. And, there’s more reason to trust Andy now, since 2003. But, then again, I’m a self-confessed Pettitte fanboy.

    7. EHawk
      September 23rd, 2010 | 2:05 pm

      I think every team in the playoffs could ask this question of their starters outside of their ace. Look at the Rays…could Garza, Shields or Neimann throw a clunker in the playoffs? I think we saw this current series that is as real a possibility as Hughes or Burnett…maybe even more so. Bottom line as long as Yanks stay healthy the rest of the way they have the best team in the AL…Rays just don’t have the offense but you never know that is why you play the games. I’m not excited about having to face Lee in a short series either…anything can happen!

    8. redbug
      September 23rd, 2010 | 6:15 pm

      Andy’s PS stat’s are 18-9 w/ a 3.90 ERA. I’ll take him any day of the week.

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