At the close of business on September 1, 2006, the Detroit Tigers had a 5 1/2 game lead in the A.L. Central. Over their next 27 games, they would go 11-16 and ended up in second place in the Central. But, at least, they won the A.L. Wildcard berth for the post-season that year. Well, maybe “backed-in” would be a better way to put it – rather than “won.”
At the close of business on September 1, 2010, the New York Yankees had a one game lead in the A.L. East. Since that time, they’ve gone 9-13 and now sit in second place in the East. But, at least, it appears they should win the A.L. Wildcard berth for the post-season this year. Well, maybe “back-in” would be a better way to put it – rather than “win.”
Now, the good news is that the 2006 Tigers went on to win the A.L. pennant in 2006. But, will the 2010 Yankees do the same?
Think about the teams that the Tigers played in October of 2006 – to make it to the World Series – the Yankees and the A’s. The teams the ’06 Tigers played in the ALDS and ALCS rolled over for them.
And, I don’t think that the 2010 Minnesota Twins are the 2006 Yankees. And, even if New York makes it past the ALDS this year, I don’t think the 2010 Tampa Bay Rays and/or 2010 Texas Rangers are the 2006 Oakland A’s. So, if asked, I would say the odds of the Yankees reaching the World Series this year are very slim. Really, really, slim.
Frankly, at this point, especially given the looks on the faces of the Yankees as they dropped today’s game to the Red Sox, I fully expect New York to drop four of their last seven games scheduled this year. That would give them 96 wins on the season – which, on paper, is very impressive…much like the 95 wins that the Tigers finished with in 2006.
And, if the Yankees win only three of seven from here out, that’s still more than enough to lock up the Wildcard in the A.L. this season. So, there will be a post-season in Yankeeland this year. But, it’s going to be a short one…mark my words on it. And, that’s where the 2010 Yankees will be nothing like the 2006 Tigers.