Yanks Great Right Hopes
Posted by Steve L. on September 30th, 2010 · Comments (8)
Here are the Yankees top, higher-level, right handed starting pitcher prospects:
| Rk | Age 5 | W | L | ERA | G | IP | BB | SO | WHIP | SO/9 | SO/BB | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warren, Adam | 22 | H-A,AA | 11 | 7 | 2.60 | 25 | 135.0 | 33 | 126 | 1.141 | 8.40 | 3.82 |
| 2 | Betances, Dellin | 22 | H-A,AA | 8 | 1 | 2.12 | 17 | 85.0 | 22 | 108 | 0.882 | 11.44 | 4.91 |
| 3 | Stoneburner, Graham | 22 | H-A,L-A | 9 | 8 | 2.41 | 26 | 142.0 | 34 | 137 | 0.993 | 8.68 | 4.03 |
| 4 | Black, Sean | 22 | L-A,H-A | 8 | 8 | 3.69 | 25 | 127.0 | 41 | 104 | 1.323 | 7.37 | 2.54 |
| 5 | Nova, Ivan | 23 | AAA,MAJ | 13 | 4 | 3.22 | 32 | 184.1 | 62 | 140 | 1.286 | 6.84 | 2.26 |
| 6 | Phelps, David | 23 | AA,AAA | 10 | 2 | 2.51 | 26 | 158.0 | 36 | 141 | 1.108 | 8.03 | 3.92 |
| 7 | Mitchell, D.J. | 23 | AA,AAA | 13 | 4 | 4.01 | 26 | 150.1 | 64 | 112 | 1.404 | 6.71 | 1.75 |
| 8 | Noesi, Hector | 23 | AA,H-A,AAA | 14 | 7 | 3.21 | 28 | 159.2 | 28 | 153 | 1.102 | 8.62 | 5.46 |
| 9 | Brackman, Andrew | 24 | AA,H-A | 10 | 11 | 3.91 | 27 | 140.1 | 39 | 126 | 1.304 | 8.08 | 3.23 |
| 10 | Pendleton, Lance | 26 | AA,AAA | 12 | 5 | 3.62 | 29 | 154.1 | 57 | 133 | 1.173 | 7.76 | 2.33 |
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The probably is that maybe three or four of these guys will go on to have a major league career. And, maybe one or two of them will go out to be a front end starting pitcher.
My guess? Phelps looks good. And, both Betances and Stoneburner should be watched closely next season. After that, Warren comes next on the radar watch. The others? Well, they have some areas of concern – more so than Phelps, Betances, Stoneburner and Warren.
How about you? Any favs in this bunch? Anyone missing that you would include?
Uh, Brackman?
Made a big leap forward this year. Pitched better at AA than in A ball. Pitched better as the season went along.
@ Evan3457: Brackman. He’s very old for the levels he picthed at, and his control is still an issue. Let’s see him in AAA in 2011.
Steve Lombardi wrote:
1) His age issue is negated by missing almost two years with injuries, and another full year of rehabbing the surgery. Further, age issues with pitching prospects are not nearly as determinative as with hitting prospects.
2) The BB/9 and K/BB ratios? 2.50 BB/9 innings, and better than a 3/1 K/BB ratio. The control was somewhat worse at the AA level, but the H/9 and HR/9 ratios dropped, and the K/9 ratio stayed nearly the same. Now Trenton is a very good pitcher’s park, but his last 6 starts tell an significant tale:
33 IP, 25 H, 9 R, 3 ER, 7 BB, 23 K, 0 HR, ERA 0.82, WHIP 0.97
Evan3457 wrote:
That’s like saying that Carl Pavano’s Yankees career was very good considering that he missed so much time to injury and rehab.
Steve Lombardi wrote:
It’s more a reference to his inexperience at relative levels more than anything else. Overall, I agree that we’ll have a better idea as to where we are with Brackman after next season.
Steve Lombardi wrote:
Not at all.
Pavano was an established major league pitcher. His ceiling was known. He was 28 when the Yanks signed him.
Brackman is 24, and still several years, possibly as many as 6-7, from his peak. There’s no way to tell, really.
Raf wrote:
This.
Neither Black nor Pendleton belongs on a serious prospect list. The former has ordinary K and WHIP rates and hasn’t attracted the notice of scouts; the latter is older. Noesi may be more promising than Steve suggests. Otherwise, not much to argue with. I would not be surprised if Brackman ultimately ended up in the bullpen in the majors. He really seemed to run out of gas after 4-5 innings.