ALCS Game 6 Thunderstorm Probability: 95%
Posted by Steve L. on October 22nd, 2010 · Comments (7)
Mike Silva makes a good point. Will Game 6 of the ALCS be rained out for the second year in a row? And, if it is, will Texas come back with Cliff Lee?
According to the link below, from the hours of 7pm to 12am CDT — the prime hours that any baseball game would be played — only shows a 30% chance of rain. Where did you come up with 95%?
http://www.weather.com/weather/hourbyhour/USTX0045?begHour=17&begDay=295
Moreover, as long as even one pitch is thrown at 7pm this evening, Cliff Lee won’t appear in Game 6 of the ALCS.
Finally, I’m sick and tired of worrying about Cliff Lee. If we’re facing him, we’re beating his ass. I am less sure about winning Game 6 than I am about winning Game 7. If there’s a Game 7, the Yankees are winning it.
Accueather has a 95% chance of T-storms there tonight. I think that’s not the same as the % of rain. I think it means, if it rains, there’s a 95% chance that it will be a T-storm. But, I could be wrong. In any event, the 95% of T-storms was right off the accuweaher forecast for this evening, as of this AM.
So, if it rains (30% chance), then there’s a 95% chance that that rain will be accompanied by T-storms? OK, got it.
So that means there’s actually a 28.5% chance of thunderstorms.
Hey, I’m not the weather man, I’m just saying what I saw on Accuweather’s site this AM, that’s all.
Still saying rain: http://twitter.com/YankeesWFAN/status/28448211753
I was at the elimination game in Arlington in 1998. There was a three-hour rain delay in the middle, but they still finished the game that night. Wouldn’t be surprised if the same thing happened tonight.