• MLB’s Top 50 Prospects

    Posted by on January 26th, 2011 · Comments (25)

    A few Yankees on the list—not as many or as high up as you might like—but still, we’re represented:

    Click here for the list.

    Comments on MLB’s Top 50 Prospects

    1. MJ Recanati
      January 26th, 2011 | 12:21 pm

      I think you might have a bad link there.

      Here’s one that works:
      http://tinyurl.com/6ffdga5

      In any case, three out of 50 isn’t bad, especially when they’re all among the top 35. Additionally, it looks like we had one more that just missed the cut and landed at #53. So, four out of 60. Pretty solid showing.

      There doesn’t seem to be a very clear method to their selections — some are high-ceiling guys still in the low minors, some are MLB-ready guys, some are already in the big leagues — but I don’t see any one particular player that I’d really argue with too much.

    2. Ryan81
      January 26th, 2011 | 1:28 pm

      Looking at Chapman on this list makes my blood boil. He was a guy that the Yankees should’ve locked up.

      And other than the no-brainers in Montero and Sanchez, I’m kind of skeptical on some of our other guys. I’d love to see somebody’s top 100 prospects too to see where other guys like Brackman and Nunez would pan out.

    3. MJ Recanati
      January 26th, 2011 | 2:13 pm

      Ryan81 wrote:

      Looking at Chapman on this list makes my blood boil. He was a guy that the Yankees should’ve locked up.

      $16.25M is a lot to drop on an international free agent. I’m not surprised that the Yanks passed.

      Ryan81 wrote:

      I’d love to see somebody’s top 100 prospects too to see where other guys like Brackman and Nunez would pan out.

      Baseball America will be releasing theirs by the end of the week or early next week. I’d expect to see Banuelos on there for sure and it wouldn’t surprise me if Brackman is on there too. After all, he was on there in 2009 (#92) before he’d really accomplished anything.

    4. Scout
      January 26th, 2011 | 2:13 pm

      The list involves a ranking by thirty scouts, which suggests that there is a broad consensus about the promise of the Yankee catching prospects and some of their pitchers. For those of us who take it with a grain of salt when any organization boasts about its talent, the independent confirmation is welcome.

      Oh, and here is one more reason to be glad we’re not Mets’ fans: they have zero plaers in the top fifty.

    5. Raf
      January 26th, 2011 | 3:27 pm

      MJ Recanati wrote:

      $16.25M is a lot to drop on an international free agent. I’m not surprised that the Yanks passed.

      I dunno, they dropped more on Contreras.

    6. MJ Recanati
      January 26th, 2011 | 3:34 pm

      Raf wrote:

      I dunno, they dropped more on Contreras.

      He was far more polished, from what I can recall.

    7. KPOcala
      January 26th, 2011 | 3:36 pm

      Something to think about when evaluating GMs, Dayton Moore was considered to be the “village idiot” even as recently as last year. With high drafting spots and not being forced into a “win a WS every year” mentality he is going to have, possibly, an “uber-team”. Cashman bashers would be wise to give some thought to various GMs situations.

    8. Jake1
      January 26th, 2011 | 3:41 pm

      The Yankees should have a top 5 system every year. They can spend on amateurs like no one else. They should be raiding the international market and paying overslot every rd of the draft. Why give up one of the few advantages of being in NY and having money?

    9. Raf
      January 26th, 2011 | 3:42 pm

      @ MJ Recanati:
      I guess he slots in between El Duque (6M+) and Contreras (32M+)

    10. Raf
      January 26th, 2011 | 3:48 pm

      KPOcala wrote:

      Dayton Moore was considered to be the “village idiot” even as recently as last year.

      Moore’s problem was that he kept making dumb moves at the ML level.

    11. MJ Recanati
      January 26th, 2011 | 4:27 pm

      KPOcala wrote:

      Dayton Moore was considered to be the “village idiot” even as recently as last year.

      His 25-man roster construction has been horrendous and, as such, calling him the village idiot was warranted. That doesn’t mean that he hasn’t done a good job with the farm system. But the money he spent on some players for his MLB roster has been laughable.

    12. Evan3457
      January 26th, 2011 | 4:28 pm

      Montero is too low at #9.

      At this point he’s a better prospect than Ackley and Moustakas to say the least, and possibly Hosmer and Brown as well.

    13. MJ Recanati
      January 26th, 2011 | 4:30 pm

      Jake1 wrote:

      The Yankees should have a top 5 system every year. They can spend on amateurs like no one else. They should be raiding the international market and paying overslot every rd of the draft. Why give up one of the few advantages of being in NY and having money?

      I agree, they should.

      But I’ve also come to the realization that the reason they don’t is only partly a competence issue and partly by choice.

    14. MJ Recanati
      January 26th, 2011 | 4:49 pm

      Evan3457 wrote:

      At this point he’s a better prospect than…Moustakas to say the least

      Not sure I agree. Montero is one year younger but has more ambiguity surrounding his final defensive position (or lack thereof). As hitters, Moustakas’s 2010 breakout was so enormous that I’m not surprised at how high he was ranked.

    15. Evan3457
      January 26th, 2011 | 5:56 pm

      MJ Recanati wrote:

      Evan3457 wrote:
      At this point he’s a better prospect than…Moustakas to say the least
      Not sure I agree. Montero is one year younger but has more ambiguity surrounding his final defensive position (or lack thereof). As hitters, Moustakas’s 2010 breakout was so enormous that I’m not surprised at how high he was ranked.

      Moustakas is not regarded as a great defensive player, either, and may have to move off 3rd. Baseball HQ report on him says: “lacks range and foot speed, has strong arm.“. Sounds like a potential firstbaseman to me. Baseball Prospectus says; “Moustakas is short, thick, and bow-legged, which had many teams tempted to try him as a catcher out of high school. He’s a slow runner and his range at third base is greatly reduced by his lack of athleticism.”

      Baseball Prospectus’ MLE’s for Moustakas: .255/.290/.435/.725 (AA); .251/.267/.432/.699 (AAA)

      for Montero: .261/.317/.439/.756

      Hey, I’ve never watched either of them play, but my two cents, for what it’s worth, says Montero is the better hitting prospect, and both of them are likely to wind up at 1b/DH long term,.

    16. Evan3457
      January 26th, 2011 | 5:57 pm

      Oh, almost forgot: Montero is over 1 year younger than Moustakas, to boot.

    17. KPOcala
      January 26th, 2011 | 6:14 pm

      @ Raf:
      Raf, surely someone that is over-seeing an organization that is picking up all that talent knew that the ML p/u were crap. Maybe it was a question of “name recognition” for the casual fan to come out to the park and watch. It’s hard to argue that a GM who can evaluate the evaluation of his scouts can be that mis-guided on the ML level.

    18. KPOcala
      January 26th, 2011 | 6:15 pm

      @ MJ Recanati:
      MJ,please check-out my response to “Raf”….

    19. Ryan81
      January 26th, 2011 | 8:36 pm

      Jake1 wrote:

      The Yankees should have a top 5 system every year. They can spend on amateurs like no one else. They should be raiding the international market and paying overslot every rd of the draft. Why give up one of the few advantages of being in NY and having money?

      This is precisely why Chapman shouldve been a Yankee. That and the fact that lefties in their early 20s who throw 100 mph also don’t fall back in the draft enough for the Yankees to think about taking them (David Price comes to mind), so when the opportunity to snag a player that young with that much potential for only money (something the Yankees have plenty of to spend) arises, they should jump at the chance.

      Also, a year later, the Reds have an incredible young lefty setup man/future closer while we are now stuck with Pedro Feliciano (who is grossly overpaid) and Rafael Soriano (who came at the price of a first round pick and is surely feeling the love in the organization considering the GM in charge of making autonomous baseball decisions publicly made a huge fuss about not wanting him) to fill those roles.

    20. MJ Recanati
      January 26th, 2011 | 9:59 pm

      KPOcala wrote:

      Maybe it was a question of “name recognition” for the casual fan to come out to the park and watch.

      Not only have I never bought into that argument but it wouldn’t even apply in this case. You’re telling me that KC Royals fans would register a level of name recognition for Mike Jacobs, Jose Guillen or Gil Meche and thus be encouraged to come out to the ballpark? Those are but three of his awful decisions at the MLB level.

      There’s such a thing as core competency and it seems clear that assembling MLB talent isn’t in Moore’s wheelhouse. He comes from Atlanta’s scouting department so it’s less surprising to me that he can evaluate minor league talent through the draft. But those two things aren’t mutually exclusive: you can be good at one thing and bad at another.

    21. MJ Recanati
      January 26th, 2011 | 10:03 pm

      @ Ryan81:
      I don’t disagree. I thought Chapman would’ve been a worthy gamble too. But I think many were surprised by the price based on how raw he was during his auditions and how little consensus there was around baseball on what he could become.

      Personally, I’d rather the Yankees flush millions down the toilet trying to unearth these diamonds in the rough but I can see why the Yankees and other teams didn’t gamble.

    22. Evan3457
      January 26th, 2011 | 10:26 pm

      Ryan81 wrote:

      Jake1 wrote:
      The Yankees should have a top 5 system every year. They can spend on amateurs like no one else. They should be raiding the international market and paying overslot every rd of the draft. Why give up one of the few advantages of being in NY and having money?
      This is precisely why Chapman shouldve been a Yankee. That and the fact that lefties in their early 20s who throw 100 mph also don’t fall back in the draft enough for the Yankees to think about taking them (David Price comes to mind), so when the opportunity to snag a player that young with that much potential for only money (something the Yankees have plenty of to spend) arises, they should jump at the chance.
      Also, a year later, the Reds have an incredible young lefty setup man/future closer while we are now stuck with Pedro Feliciano (who is grossly overpaid) and Rafael Soriano (who came at the price of a first round pick and is surely feeling the love in the organization considering the GM in charge of making autonomous baseball decisions publicly made a huge fuss about not wanting him) to fill those roles.

      Same argument could be made by Red Sox fans about the Sox not signing him. Why didn’t they?

      Because, like the Yanks, they felt the talent/risk wasn’t worth the money he wanted.

    23. Raf
      January 26th, 2011 | 11:01 pm

      KPOcala wrote:

      Maybe it was a question of “name recognition” for the casual fan to come out to the park and watch.

      Name recognition? They need wins recognition.

    24. Raf
      January 26th, 2011 | 11:02 pm

      Ryan81 wrote:

      This is precisely why Chapman shouldve been a Yankee. That and the fact that lefties in their early 20s who throw 100 mph also don’t fall back in the draft enough for the Yankees to think about taking them (David Price comes to mind),

      So does Brien Taylor…

    25. Evan3457
      January 27th, 2011 | 12:01 am

      …and Ryan Anderson…
      …and David Clyde…

      …and like that.

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