• Still The “One Step Forward, One Step Back” Yankees

    Posted by on June 13th, 2011 · Comments (7)

    With their loss this evening, the Yankees are now:

    • 3-4 in their last 7 games
    • 9-7 in their last 15 games
    • 16-15 in their last 31 games
    • 19-19 in their last 38 games
    • 24-22 in their last 46 games

    No matter how you slice it – long, medium, or short – the Yankees are basically a “win one, lose one” team, no?  Pretty soon, they better start winning closer to 60% of their games rather than closer to 50% of their games.  This treading water thing is getting old in a hurry.

    Comments on Still The “One Step Forward, One Step Back” Yankees

    1. Raf
      June 13th, 2011 | 11:21 pm

      They’re also 3-1 over their last 4 games and 9-5 over their last 14, and 36-28 over their last 64 games.

    2. Evan3457
      June 13th, 2011 | 11:24 pm

      Not really.

      They’re 3-1 in the last 4 games; that’s .750.
      They’re 9-4 in the last 13 games; that’s .692.
      They’re 16-8 in the last 24 games; that’s .667.
      They’re 36-28 for the season; that’s .563, good enough to win 91 games.

      To be really fair:

      They were 17-9 in their first 26 games.
      Then they slumped and 3-10 over the next 13 games.
      And in the 25 games since, they’re 16-9.

      That’s 2 good stretches of 25 games, and 1 horrible stretch of 13 games.

      And that’s pretty much a fair and accurate description of their season.

    3. Evan3457
      June 13th, 2011 | 11:25 pm

      Raf is right, 9-5 over 14, not 9-4 over 13.

    4. June 14th, 2011 | 9:47 am

      @ Evan3457:

      Of course, when you’re talking about 4, 7, 13, 15 or 24 games, we know that’s just too small of a sample size.

      Me? I like the last around 40 something games. That’s why I included:

      19-19 in their last 38 games
      24-22 in their last 46 games

      Clearly, this tells us that, over the last 6 to 7 weeks, the Yankees have just been a .500 ballclub. Not great, not terrible – just BLAH. And, 7 weeks of this is too long. It’s time for the team to start playing better.

    5. ken
      June 14th, 2011 | 1:20 pm

      (OT) How about a thread on Gardner? I’ll hold my comment till then. Thanks.

    6. Evan3457
      June 16th, 2011 | 12:04 am

      Yanks now 18-9 in their last 27, and 10 games over for the 1st time this season.

    7. Evan3457
      June 16th, 2011 | 12:11 am

      Let’s try a little thought experiment. I said before the season that I thought the Yanks would win 91-93 games.

      They’re 1-8 vs. the Red Sox, and now 36-19 vs. everyone else.

      (That’s 30-19 against everyone else but the Red Sox and O’s, and 27-19 against everyone except the Red Sox, O’s and A’s, and 25-18 against everyone besides the Red Sox, O’s, A’s and Twins, and 22-17 against everyone besides the Red Sox, O’s, A’s, Twins and Indians, and I think that covers all possible teams that “shouldn’t count because they stink”.)

      Let’s assume that the Yanks go 1-8 in their remaining games vs. the Sox, and play to the same level in their remaining 89 games against all other teams (They might not, because they have 16 games left with Tampa, I think. Then again, the other half of maybe not is maybe so.)

      Remaining games vs. Red Sox: 1-8
      Remaining games vs. all others: 58-31

      Total remaining games: 59-39

      Added to current record: 37-27 plus 59-39 is 96-66. Make allowance for “tougher” 2nd half schedule, and you’re right back at 93-94 wins for the year, which at this point looks like a cinch for the Wild Card in the AL.

      Your mileage may vary.

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