• Looking Ahead To Who Yanks Face In Game 4

    Posted by on October 3rd, 2011 · Comments (5)

    Don’t let Rick Porcello’s overall ERA/ERA+ numbers for 2011 fool you.  In his last seven starts of 2011, Porcello’s numbers are:

    • 46.3 IP
    • 3.50 ERA
    • 6-1 W/L Record

    And, over these seven games, he’s allowed an BA/OBA/SLG line of .272/.326/.387 facing 190 batters.

    The dude is pitching some solid baseball lately. Let’s not pretend he’s just as bad as A.J. Burnett.

    Comments on Looking Ahead To Who Yanks Face In Game 4

    1. Evan3457
      October 3rd, 2011 | 12:50 pm

      Hey! Guess what? A.J. Burnett is 2-0 in his last 5 starts, with an ERA of 4.34. Guess he’s not as bad as his overall record, either.

      And, hey! You know what? Those last 7 starts of Porcello?
      Against, in order, Twins, Royals, Indians, White Sox, A’s, Orioles, and Indians again. Not exactly Murderer’s Row there. And he K’d 24 in 46 IP, and allowed more than a hit an inning against them. And three of the 7 were in Comerica, one was in Minnesota, and one was in Oakland; that’s 5 out of 7 in extreme pitcher’s parks to hold down those home runs.

      And, hey! You know what else? Doug Fister was 7-0 in his last 8 starts with an ERA of 0-freakin-65 and a K/BB ratio of 52 to 4. Before he ran into the Yanks on Saturday night. And Al Albuquerque had an ERA in the 1′s, and hadn’t allowed a HR since…forever. Until Saturday night.

      What am I trying to say? You’re trying to load dice that aren’t really as loaded as you think they are.

      What do I believe is going to happen? I believe the teams are going to play games 3 and 4, and then we’ll know, not before. The Tigers are 6-7 favorites tonight in the Post pitching form. We’ll see.

    2. EHawk
      October 3rd, 2011 | 12:55 pm

      Thanks Evan for that info…I was going to ask those same questions. Porcello for sure has not faced much and still teams were hitting .272 off him which is not good at all. But for all we know Yanks could hit Verlander hard tonight and get shut down by Porcello tomorrow…its a strange game!

      I do fault Girardi for pitching Garcia in game 2 and not game 1. I think he would of been able to get though 5 innings in game 1 and handed it over to the bullpen and we would of won. I think Nova would of matched Scherzer in game 2 and the Yanks would of won it late. That decision could end of costing them this series.

    3. JeremyM
      October 3rd, 2011 | 2:27 pm

      I agree on Garcia in game 1 EHawk and said as much here (I said he was likely to give you 5 good innings and nothing more, turn it over to Robertson and Mo to close the game out). That said, if it does game 5, Garcia would’ve been lined up for that one….

    4. October 3rd, 2011 | 3:32 pm

      @ Evan3457:Hey, I think I get it!

      Anyone who wants to discount Yankees wins that came against crappy teams like the Orioles is an idiot.

      But, anyone who wants to discount an opposing pitcher’s past recent success because it came against crappy teams is a sharp cookie.

      Oh, really…

    5. Evan3457
      October 3rd, 2011 | 4:56 pm

      Steve L. wrote:

      @ Evan3457:Hey, I think I get it!
      Anyone who wants to discount Yankees wins that came against crappy teams like the Orioles is an idiot.
      But, anyone who wants to discount an opposing pitcher’s past recent success because it came against crappy teams is a sharp cookie.
      Oh, really…

      Actually, I was bouncing your usual meme used against the Yanks back at you, as in, Why does it not count as significant victories when the Yanks beat the O’s, the A’s, the Twins, but it DOES count as significant when Porcello pitches “well” against them?

      You can bounce it back at me if you like, but then, we’re right back where we started, waiting until we see what happens in the actual games to know who’s winning.

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