• Your A.J. Burnett Primer

    Posted by on October 4th, 2011 · Comments (12)

    Burnett’s career games at Comerica Park:

    Rk Date Tm Opp Rslt App,Dec IP H R ER BB SO HR Pit Str GSc
    1 2011-05-05 NYY DET L 3-6 GS-7 ,L 7.0 3 5 2 1 5 0 113 73 61
    2 2008-08-12 TOR DET W 6-4 GS-6 ,W 6.0 8 4 4 1 6 3 108 68 45
    3 2007-04-04 TOR DET L 9-10 GS-3 ,L 2.0 5 6 6 4 2 0 55 26 20
    4 2006-09-28 TOR DET W 8-6 GS-7 ,W 6.1 5 5 5 2 8 0 106 65 49
    Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
    Generated 10/4/2011.

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    Burnett’s career post-season games:

    Rk Date Series Gm# Tm Opp Rslt App,Dec IP H R ER BB SO HR Pit Str GSc
    1 2010-10-19 ALCS 4 NYY TEX L 3-10 GS-6 ,L 6.0 6 5 5 3 4 1 99 62 41
    2 2009-11-02 WS 5 NYY PHI L 6-8 GS-3 ,L 2.0 4 6 6 4 2 1 53 28 22
    3 2009-10-29 WS 2 NYY PHI W 3-1 GS-7 ,W 7.0 4 1 1 2 9 0 108 68 72
    4 2009-10-22 ALCS 5 NYY LAA L 6-7 GS-7 6.0 8 6 6 3 3 0 89 55 32
    5 2009-10-17 ALCS 2 NYY LAA W 4-3 GS-7 6.1 3 2 2 2 4 0 114 75 61
    6 2009-10-09 ALDS 2 NYY MIN W 4-3 GS-6 6.0 3 1 1 5 6 0 95 57 63
    Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
    Generated 10/4/2011.

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    Burnett’s Home/Road Splits this season:

    I Split W L W-L% ERA G GS IP H R ER HR BB SO WP BF WHIP
      Home 7 6 .538 4.41 18 18 114.1 104 57 56 19 45 104 12 487 1.303
      Away 4 5 .444 6.28 15 14 76.0 86 58 53 12 38 69 13 350 1.632
    Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
    Generated 10/4/2011.

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    So, how are you feeling about A.J. Burnett’s chances this evening?

    Comments on Your A.J. Burnett Primer

    1. EHawk
      October 4th, 2011 | 11:10 am

      Just for comparison can you post Porcello’s career against the Yankees? I don’t believe he has any playoff experience.

    2. October 4th, 2011 | 11:18 am

      You can talk about Porcello as much as you want. But, these days, in the post-season, A-Rod, Tex and Swisher would make Dave LaPoint look like Sandy Koufax in a post-season game.

      But, even if the Yankees score 5 runs tonight, it would matter if Burnett implodes and then someone like Hughes follows him and throw gasoline on the fire.

    3. Garcia
      October 4th, 2011 | 11:23 am

      I feel good about A.J. It is what it is, he can come out and pitch great tonight or he can come out and stink.

      With all the weight you’ve lost – which I need to do so myself – do you still feel inadequate nekked in front of a mirror? Because it seems like you love to feel good by pining to be right at some point in the future. If he sucks and the Yanks lose, then you’ll link back to every post you wrote and say how you knew it was all going to happen. If they win, then you get to celebrate one more day with your fellow Yankee fans. Win-win for you.

      At this point, it’s the playoffs. Who gives a crap what he did in the past? He’s pitching tonight and there’s absolutely nothing we can do right now. We can’t ask for AJ out of the rotation, this isn’t a July game so all this analysis is just noise. Just watching the eff’ing game.

    4. October 4th, 2011 | 11:53 am

      @ Garcia:

      Those who cannot learn from history are doomed to repeat it.

      All anyone needs to do is to look at Burnett’s season this year, how terrible he is on the road, how he’s choked in clinching post-season games in the past, and see that he’s never excelled at Comerica Park, and they can see that he’s a terrible option for the Yankees to have starting tonight.

      But, he’s the Yankees only option – because this is how Brian Cashman built the team.

      Sure, anything can happen. Just watch the game, etc.

      More than anyone, I appreciate the fact that nothing in baseball happens on average.

      But, again, to stick your head in the sand and ignore the facts and the past, is just foolish, IMHO. Your milage may vary.

    5. Evan3457
      October 4th, 2011 | 12:11 pm

      Actually, he’s never pitch as the starting pitcher in an elimination game…where HIS team could be eliminated.

      I’m hoping for a game like he pitched vs. the Rangers last year. Only this time, Girardi doesn’t wait one batter too long.

      Actually, if he makes it into the 5th, and doesn’t allow more than 3 runs, that might be good enough. I think the Yanks will get 5 or 6 runs tonight, possibly more. Porcello isn’t bad, but he doesn’t throw very hard. (Avg FB this season between 90 and 91). He has an excellent change, and that’s enough for Tex, but I think Cano can hit him, Grandy can hit him…so if they don’t get caught in the 5-6 Tex-Swisher black hole too many times, they can win this game.

      The Post pitching form has the Tigers as Even-6 favorites, which is the
      slightest favorite above dead even “pick’em”. I think that’s about right; the Tigers are a slight favorite tonight, and a rather heavy favorite to win the series now. I’d rate that about 9-5 or 2-1 in the Tigers’ favor, at this point.

    6. Garcia
      October 4th, 2011 | 12:12 pm

      @ Steve L.:
      I love how you’re the arbiter of AJ’s career baseball history/failure. Like it hasn’t been repeated at length already in the mass media. However, “thanks” for repeating it again.

      I doubt you’ll find any Yankee fan that doesn’t know this already, this isn’t about sticking your head in the sand, it’s simply about watching the game. I’m not going to feel any better knowing: I just knew he’d screw up. Because in the end, the Yankees failed. You may feel good about it, but not THIS Yankee fan. At this point we already know this going in, but you think beating it in some more is going to somehow resonate with the fan-base.

      It is you who is out of touch and sticking your head in the sand, since you think we don’t already know this about “our” AJ. You sound like an old manager of mine: if it fails, it’s yours. if it succeeds and makes me look good, it’s mine.

      Believe it or not, I actually feel good about AJ tonight. Life has a way of surprising you. Sometimes you get morning head, and it’s usually when you least expect it because the in-laws are 5 minutes away. As Sterling would say, you can’t predict baseball.

    7. October 4th, 2011 | 12:28 pm

      Evan3457 wrote:

      He has an excellent change, and that’s enough for Tex, but I think Cano can hit him, Grandy can hit him…so if they don’t get caught in the 5-6 Tex-Swisher black hole too many times, they can win this game.

      Fangraphs states he uses his changeup just above 1% of the time when he pitches. I think you meant his slider, which makes sense since he’s more of a ground ball pitcher.

    8. EHawk
      October 4th, 2011 | 12:46 pm

      @ Steve L.:
      No seriously can you get Porcello’s #’s against the Yanks in his career…I’m just curious. I think I remember him pitching a great game against the Yanks once but not sure.

    9. Raf
      October 4th, 2011 | 12:49 pm

      Steve L. wrote:

      But, he’s the Yankees only option – because this is how Brian Cashman built the team.

      Colon and Hughes weren’t options? Starting Nova on short rest?

    10. Jim TreshFan
      October 4th, 2011 | 1:27 pm

      Raf wrote:

      Colon and Hughes weren’t options? Starting Nova on short rest?

      Yes, there were options. But the bottom line is Girardi believes in AJ. He gave him 32 starts (second only to CC) believing he would turn it around, he put him on the Post Season roster, believing he could contribute, and now he’s given him the ball in the most crucial game of the year, believing he will save the Bombers’ bacon. And his belief will make a telling epitaph on the Yankees 2011 reliquary:

      “AJ had good stuff, he just missed a few spots.”

    11. Evan3457
      October 4th, 2011 | 2:50 pm

      Brent wrote:

      Evan3457 wrote:
      He has an excellent change, and that’s enough for Tex, but I think Cano can hit him, Grandy can hit him…so if they don’t get caught in the 5-6 Tex-Swisher black hole too many times, they can win this game.

      Fangraphs states he uses his changeup just above 1% of the time when he pitches. I think you meant his slider, which makes sense since he’s more of a ground ball pitcher.

      Yeah, you’re right.

    12. Raf
      October 4th, 2011 | 6:50 pm

      Jim TreshFan wrote:

      Raf wrote:
      Colon and Hughes weren’t options? Starting Nova on short rest?
      Yes, there were options. But the bottom line is Girardi believes in AJ. He gave him 32 starts (second only to CC) believing he would turn it around, he put him on the Post Season roster, believing he could contribute, and now he’s given him the ball in the most crucial game of the year, believing he will save the Bombers’ bacon. And his belief will make a telling epitaph on the Yankees 2011 reliquary:
      “AJ had good stuff, he just missed a few spots.”

      Doesn’t mean the Yanks didn’t have other options.

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