• Curtis Granderson’s OBA The Last 4 Years

    Posted by on December 18th, 2012 · Comments (9)

    Here’s the data:

    Year Age Tm G PA OBP
    2009 28 DET 160 710 .327
    2010 29 NYY 136 528 .324
    2011 30 NYY 156 691 .364
    2012 31 NYY 160 684 .319
    Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
    Generated 12/18/2012.

    .
    Clearly, 2011 was the fluke here. And, based on the last four years worth of data, a reasonable person would expect Granderson to have an OBA this season in the range of the low .320′s.

    Seeing that, how can the Yankees bat Curtis in the top or middle of their line-up in 2013?  Why would you give someone who makes so many outs more chances to bat?

    Comments on Curtis Granderson’s OBA The Last 4 Years

    1. BOHAN
      December 18th, 2012 | 2:22 pm

      They need to trade him… if you gotta eat half the contract thats fine its only 1 year

    2. December 18th, 2012 | 2:58 pm

      But, if they trade him, they have to get another OF, somehow.

      You can’t have a starting OF of Gardner, Ichrio and Melky Mesa.

    3. #15
      December 18th, 2012 | 7:53 pm

      I think with the departure of Swisher and the decline/absence of a productive A-Rod, they need someone that can poke ~ 40 dingers in the line up. Let him playout the season, or dump him if we are in the crapper and sinking fast come the trade deadline.

    4. Raf
      December 18th, 2012 | 9:22 pm

      Did anyone catch the 1970 Baseball Seasons show on MLBN last night? I DVR’ed it, but I haven’t had a chance to check it out yet.

    5. MJ Recanati
      December 19th, 2012 | 8:50 am

      Worth mentioning that his OBP was .361 in 2007 and .365 in 2008 so 2011 is less of a fluke than you’d lead us to believe. Context.

    6. December 19th, 2012 | 12:04 pm

      @ MJ Recanati:
      Alex Rodriguez was the best player in the league in 2007. He’s not, anymore, by far. Point being: 2007 and 2008 were a long time ago and what happened over the last 4 years is much more a better indicator of what to expect from Granderson.

    7. MJ Recanati
      December 19th, 2012 | 12:39 pm

      Steve L. wrote:

      @ MJ Recanati:
      Alex Rodriguez was the best player in the league in 2007. He’s not, anymore, by far. Point being: 2007 and 2008 were a long time ago and what happened over the last 4 years is much more a better indicator of what to expect from Granderson.

      It’s only a long time ago if there isn’t evidence to support the notion that he’s still capable of an OBP at his career average (.341). Rodriguez is both too old and too injured to replicate his glory years and his downward-trending statistics bear that out. Granderson is young, healthy and one season removed from matching previous career highs in OBP. For that reason, I think your lack of context was an improper omission.

    8. December 19th, 2012 | 1:23 pm

      @ MJ Recanati:
      OK, you tell us. What will Granderson’s OBA be in 2013?

    9. MJ Recanati
      December 19th, 2012 | 5:16 pm

      Steve L. wrote:

      OK, you tell us. What will Granderson’s OBA be in 2013?

      I have no idea. It could be sub-.330 again. I just wouldn’t go about predicting it based on the reasoning you’ve given.

      A .330 wouldn’t surprise me. Neither would a .320 or a .350. I’ll go .335.

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