The more I look at, think about, and discuss the 2013 Yankees, the more I come to the conclusion that they will be a 87 win team this year.
It’s a combination of factors at work here: the Yankees roster and the other teams in the A.L. East.
They have to play half of their season against the A.L. East. That’s not easy.
Toronto is so much improved. Baltimore took a huge step forward last season. And, Tampa is always good (lately). Also, last season, New York went 13-5 against Boston. Do you really think that is going to happen again?
Then, there’s Jeter coming off a serious injury at his age. Teixeira has been trending down since he got here. Youk at third is a joke. (See what he did overall last year. Boston got rid of him for a reason.) The Yankees have no catcher. And, their outfield? There are probably 25 teams in the majors with collective outfielders on their roster that are a better group than what the Yankees will be playing with this season. Lastly, don’t even get me started about A-Rod (if we see him at all this year).
And, the pitching? The bullpen should be OK. But, Sabathia is coming off surgery. Pettitte and Kuroda are old – and the team is depending so much on them this year…since the back-end of the rotation is Hughes and Nova (or TBD).
There’s no one in Triple-A this year who is going to step up and help the club like Cano and Wang did in 2005.
Again, I am not saying the Yankees are going to be a train wreck in 2013. There’s nothing wrong with being 12 games over .500 at the end of the year. But, it’s probably not a team that’s going to make October.
Maybe some things break their way and they win 90 games this year? Then again, maybe some bad things happen and they only win 85? It’s all possible. Yet, for now, my prediction is 87 wins in 2013. What’s yours – and why?