Assume that the 1st wildcard this year comes from the A.L. West.
This means that the Yankees are chasing the Rays and the Orioles, and trying to hold off the Indians and Royals, for that 2nd wildcard berth in the league this season.
Right now, if I had to rank the teams in terms of chances, for that second card, I would list them as:
And, I suspect that it’s going to take 90 wins to get that second wildcard berth. But, it could be as low as 88 wins to get it.
Do the Yankees have a shot here? Yes, of course.
But, I wouldn’t bet on it. They’re going to have to go something like 17-8 to close out the year to pull it off. Think they can do that? Don’t forget that they have 7 games left with the Red Sox, 4 with the Orioles and 3 with the Rays…and those are not going to be easy. That could be seven losses right there.