• Pineda’s Hot Start

    Posted by on May 11th, 2015 · Comments (7)

    Michael Pineda’s first 7 starts of 2011: 44.3 IP, 2.84 ERA, .221 OppBA Allowed

    Michael Pineda’s first 7 starts of 2015: 46.3 IP, 2.72 ERA, .250 OppBA Allowed

    This is not the first time Pineda has gotten off to a hot start. Now, whether that’s good or bad news, it depends on your point of view.

    Comments on Pineda’s Hot Start

    1. Greg H.
      May 11th, 2015 | 9:50 am

      Agreed. From the batters box it’s not good news at all, but for the guys standing behind him, it’s the next best thing to a day off.

    2. May 11th, 2015 | 4:48 pm

      How was his 2011 after his hot start that year?

    3. #15
      May 11th, 2015 | 5:26 pm

      Okay Johnnie Rain Cloud….

      Would you be happier if he’s gotten off to a bad start?

      As I’ve written before… The Yankees are fun to watch after several years of boring, middling baseball. They have some holes to be sure, but they are a whisker away from the best record in the AL after a month +. And, they haven’t been playing a soft schedule. Rejoice, we have a team worth cheering for! I’ll gladly take it, and Pineda’s performance, over the bland, lifeless, injury riddled baseball we’ve endured for the past few years. Will Big Mike cool off? It will be hard to keep up the pace so, somewhat, sure, it’s possible. Also looks like the guy is throwing free and easy and likes the warmer weather.

      Beltran is staying back at the plate all of a sudden, A-Rod is hopefully done pressing, Tex’s glove is sparkling again, the back of the bullpen is off the charts, The Ellsbury-Gardner tandem is messing with the opposition in a big way….. Gardy is seeing a lot of fastballs and barreling them up (bone headed steal attempt yesterday, aside). There are some real bright spots. In know, Drew and Didi are not good hitters, but our D is the best it’s been in years.

      I dare you to write a thread on how good the Yankees have looked so far. Come on, you can do it. 🙂

      On another topic… Jorge, please, please be graceful. Don’t go away mad, stick around and be happy. You had a great career, were a critical player in the dynasty, and now is the time to wrap yourself in the accomplishments and make nice. Don’t act like a kid with father issues.

    4. KPOcala
      May 11th, 2015 | 10:49 pm

      These new statistical evaluations simply amaze me. Tell me again how sheep’s bladders are used to predict future performances. Tex has been a “has been” for years, Gardner has gone from at “best” a fourth or fifth infielder into a “All Star” caliber player, and A-Rod seems to have gotten a “jolt” of, well, he did start out with ungodly talent, so…. BTW, as I’ve written before, fast players DO NOT age quickly, as commonly believed (major injuries aside). By the time they are 36 they are usually as fast as an “average” player, and keep going. IF, this rotation jells and stays healthy, “IF”, they could really turn into a real nasty team in the playoffs. I’d still like to see them add a player, unless Beltran’s revival is for real. BIG IF.

    5. Evan3457
      May 11th, 2015 | 11:07 pm

      The major differences between 2011 and now:

      1) He’s not throwing quite as hard, but he’s still throwing 93-5.
      2) His command in 2011 was very good; in 2015 his command has been extraordinary so far. You don’t see K/BB ratios of 54-3 very often, by anyone over any run of starts.
      3) He has a changeup now, which he didn’t have in 2011. It has good movement, good depth and he has solid command of it. Having a 3rd good pitch makes a great deal of difference, because it prevents the hitters from locking in on one pitch if the other pitch isn’t working on a given night.

      He still has to pass two more tests:
      1) Durability. He must show he can make 30 starts/throw 180-200 innings in a sesaon. He hasn’t done that, ever.
      2) Consistency from year to year. He must show that he can be a good starter for more than one year in a row. But first things first; don’t get hurt, and stay strong the whole season. Worry about next season…next season.

    6. Evan3457
      May 11th, 2015 | 11:08 pm

      Oh, forgot to answer the question.
      This hot start is very good news, both for Pineda, and for the team, especially while Tanaka makes his way back.

    7. Evan3457
      May 11th, 2015 | 11:15 pm

      #15 wrote:

      I dare you to write a thread on how good the Yankees have looked so far. Come on, you can do it.

      For what it’s worth, which isn’t much this early in the year…

      Baseball Reference has the Yanks on top of all of MLB with their SRS (Simple Rating System) which is run differential adjusted for strength of schedule), and they’ve been on top for a while, though their overall rating has been sliding because the O’s and Sox have been playing poorly overall.

      Baseball Prospectus has the Yanks 2nd in the AL (behind only the Royals) in 3rd-order adjusted W/L Pct (which is Pythagorean WPct adjusted for luck on play action in producing runs/preventing runs, and then adjusted again for strength of schedule). Their 3rd in all of MLB, behind the Dodgers and ahead of the Cards (?!?).

      So, what you’re seeing is real, in the sense that the Yanks’ play has been sufficiently strong, in consideration of the teams they’ve already played, for them to deserve to be where they are.

      The possibly not-real part is the very real possibility that they’ve played over their heads, or the opposition has played under their heads, thus far. What I’ve seen so far makes me very happy, but I’m not going to fully believe in it until they do it for another 30-50 games. If they’re still at .600 by the time they’ve played half a season, then I’ll start to believe in it.

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