The 5th Inning Is Killing The Yankees

As of this morning, here’s the Yankees 2008 W-L record break-down based on the score of their game after 5 innings:

When the Yankees lead after five innings: New York is 14-1.
When the Yanks trail or are tied after five innings: New York is 5-20.

Further, here’s the Yankees runs scored (RS) and runs allowed (RA) so far this season by innings:

Inning	RS	RA	DIFF
1	20	16	  4
2	12	12	  0
3	18	35        -17
4	28	22	  6
5	20	34        -14
6	22	20	  2
7	19	14	  5
8	17	16	  1
9	13	 3	 10
10	 0	 0	  0
11	 0	 1	 -1

Pretty interesting huh? As bad as the Yankees offense has been this season, outside of two innings in the game, they’ve been able to match up with their pitcher’s work, somewhat well, this season. And, those two innings are the 3rd and 5th inning.

When you look at all these stats, it shows you that the Yankees bugaboo this season has been games where they’ve fallen behind by the 5th inning - as they do not have the fire power to come back in those games and these situations have become auto-losses for the team.

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Only Godzilla, Damon, Wang & Mo Shine For Yanks

Since we’re one game away from the one-quarter mark of the season, I thought this would be a good time to look at the Yankees, via the Complete Baseball Encyclopedia, in terms of their individual player’s Runs Created and Saved Above Average totals.

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Cano’s Hill

Coming into this season, Robinson Cano had a lifetime batting average of .314 (in 1,621 AB).

To date, this season, Cano is batting .185 - as he’s 25 for 135.

It’s reasonable to assume that Cano has another 440 At Bats coming to him this year - assuming he avoids serious injury. In order to reach that pre-season lifetime batting average of .314 (for this year), Cano would need to bat .355 from here until the end of the season. That’s going 156 for 440.

Last year, during the second half of the season, Cano batted .343 (in 319 AB). And, in 2006, during the second half of the season, Cano batted .365 (in 211 AB). So, it’s possible that he could bat close to .350 for a long stretch.

Wouldn’t that be something, if Robinson pulls off a blazing finish to his season for the third year in a row?

The Rasner Watch

In his career, Darrell Rasner has made 10 starts for the Yankees.

He’s gone at least 5 innings in 6 of those 10 starts. In those games where he’s gone at least five, his W-L record is 4 wins, 1 loss and 1 no-decision (in a game where he allowed no earned runs).

I like the chances of Rasner going at least five today and giving the Yankees a win. It’s not a lock - but, if it happens, it should not be shock either.

Scoring Less Than The Butabi Brothers

Here’s a fun little sort via Baseball-Reference.com’s Play Index:

From 1956 to 2008, Playing for Yankees, In the team’s first 35 games, Games where Runs = Zero Scored, sorted by greatest number of games matching selected criteria in a game:

                   Year Games Link to Individual Games
+-----------------+----+-----+-------------------------+
 Alvaro Espinoza   1990    30 Ind. Games
 Bobby Richardson  1960    29 Ind. Games
 Bill Skowron      1960    28 Ind. Games
 Clete Boyer       1966    28 Ind. Games
 Sandy Alomar      1975    28 Ind. Games
 Bobby Richardson  1961    27 Ind. Games
 Gene Michael      1968    27 Ind. Games
 Jim Mason         1974    27 Ind. Games
 Roger Maris       1966    27 Ind. Games
 Alvaro Espinoza   1989    27 Ind. Games
 Robinson Cano     2008    27 Ind. Games
 Gene Michael      1971    26 Ind. Games
 Jim Mason         1975    26 Ind. Games
 Bucky Dent        1977    26 Ind. Games

Not exactly a group that Robinson Cano, coming into this season, probably wanted to join. Lots of really bad hitting infielders in there - along with Roger Maris in his last, and worst, Yankees season.

Who Has Truly Helped & Hurt The Yanks So Far?

Batting Runs Above Average (BRAA) is a stat that’s tracked at FanGraphs.com. It’s the difference in run expectancy between the start of a play and the end of the play. That difference is then credited/debited to the batter and the pitcher. And, over the course of the season, each players’ BRAA for individual plays is then added up to get his season total BRAA. (For more behind how BRAA works, click here.) I thought it would be interesting to look at the Yankees, in terms of their BRAA. Here are the numbers that I found on FanGraphs.com this morning:

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Does Size Matter?

Will chicks still dig Melky after seeing this?

Via Hit Tracker On-Line, the average standard tater distance for some Yankees long-ballers:

Player		HR	Avg Dist
Rodriguez Alex	4	426.8
Giambi Jason	5	396.0
Matsui Hideki	4	386.3
Damon Johnny	4	382.3
Abreu Bobby	4	375.0
Cabrera Melky	5	367.0

Note: These stats do not include yesterday’s game.

When you look at this, and Melky Cabrera’s homer total to date this season, it lends for some interesting perspective. Half of Melky’s homers were somewhat assisted by the short porch in right at Yankees Stadium. Yes, that doesn’t make them count any less. (Heck, Bobby Murcer and Graig Nettles sorta/kinda lived on that porch too.) But, it does, to an extent, explain Cabrera’s “power” surge this season.

WYSIWYG Giambi

In his last 204 Plate Appearances of 2007, Jason Giambi produced the following BA/OBP/SLG line:

.192/.333/.389

In his first 104 Plate Appearances of 2008, Jason Giambi has produced the following BA/OBP/SLG line:

.150/.317/.375

How much longer until the Yankees realize that Giambi is a guy who, sure, he gets some walks, but, he can’t bat .200 and he can’t slug .400? One would think that he last 308 big league PA should be a big enough sample size to make that call, no?

Has Cano Been Unlucky?

Both Pinstripe Alley and River Ave. Blues have recently taken a look at Robinson Cano’s stats, in terms of LD% and BABIP. The conclusion in both camps is that Cano’s been hitting in bad luck - because his LD% is consistent with years passed and his BABIP is so low.

I can appreciate that logic. But, this question was nagging me: Why is Cano’s BABIP so low? Is it just bad luck? If so, because his LD% is consistent, we should see lots of line-outs, etc., among his outs, right? So, I checked.

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The Yankees Rotation - After One Month

Now that the Yankees have played 30 games this season, and, now that each of their starting pitchers has appeared in 6 games, each, exactly, I thought it would be interesting to look at all of the starters, side-by-side, in terms of their numbers:

Pitcher	ERA   W	L   IP    HR    WHIP  SO   K/BB   BFP  BF/G   ERA+
Wang	3.23  5	0   39.0   1    1.12  27   2.45    161  26.8   130
Pettitte	3.93  3	3   36.7   5    1.42  20   1.82    157  26.2   107
Mussina	4.73  3	3   32.3   7    1.27  12   2.40    135  22.5   089
Kennedy	8.37  0	2   23.7   1    2.03  16   0.80    117  19.5   050
Hughes	9.00  0	4   22.0   2    2.14  13   1.00    110  18.3   047

No question, Chien-Ming Wang has been the ace of the staff, to date - note his ERA+, wins, command (K/BB), and WHIP. And, Andy Pettitte has been O.K., so far - pitching just a tick above league average in terms of ERA and winning half of his starts.

Mike Mussina’s numbers are interesting. Like Pettitte, he’s won half of his starts. And, in terms of command and limiting baserunners, Moose has been better than Pettitte. What’s hurt Mussina has been the long-ball - and that’s why his ERA+ is as low as it is here.

Lastly, Kennedy and Hughes. Could their numbers be any closer through their first six games this season? It’s almost a carbon-copy job there - both have been terrible: IP/G, WHIP, command, and ERA+ are just flat-out ugly.

Hopefully, Darrell Rasner will provide some better numbers than Hughes. And, Kennedy? Well, let’s just say that Ian is lucky that Kei Igawa has not done well in his last three Triple-A starts (17 IP and 10 ER), Jeff Karstens is still rehabbing, and that there’s no one else in Triple-A worth calling up.

By the way, anyone notice the start that Kyle Lohse is off to this season?

Looking At Ian Kennedy

Ian Kennedy has faced 95 batters so far this season.

In 11 of those 95 PA, the batter has hit the first pitch.
In those situations, he’s allowed a BA/OBP/SLG line of .500/.400/.625.
(Why is the BA higher than the OBP? There’s one SAC and two SF’s allowed in those 11 PA.)

In 16 of those 95 PA, he’s been able to work a 1-2 count.
In those situations, he’s allowed a BA/OBP/SLG line of .188/.188/.250 - and whiffed 7 of 16.

In 24 of those 95 PA, he’s allowed the count to go 3-2.
In those situations, he’s allowed a BA/OBP/SLG line of .385/.667/.538.
(He’s also walked 4 batters this season, to date, after reaching a 3-1 count on them.)

What does this tell us? Kennedy’s too worried about getting that first pitch strike and making that full-count pitch - and the result has been some very hittable pitches in those spots. But, when the count is in his favor, he’s able to get hitters to chase.

It seems, at least to me, that, if Kennedy is able to start making quality pitches on his first offering, and, if, he’s able to avoid falling into 3-ball counts, he should be a better pitcher. Then again, that’s just the secret to good pitching, isn’t it?

What’s Going On With Robbie Cano?

I decided to take a look into Robinson Cano’s PA to date this season - in terms of pitches per PA - to see if there’s anything interesting therein. Here’s what I found (stat lines are BA/OBP/SLG):

21 PA of one pitch: .143/.143/.190
26 PA of two pitches: .115 /.115/.231
22 PA of three pitches: .095/.136/.143
19 PA of four pitches: .222/.263/.444
11 PA of five pitches: .250/.455/.250
3 PA of six pitches: .000/.000/.000
12 PA of seven pitches or more: .222/.417/.222

So, check that out.

In 69 PA this season where Cano has seen 3 pitches or less, he has:
+ 8 hits
+ 1 HBP
+ 60 outs

Yes, 60 out of 69 times, he’s been retired.

In 45 PA this season where Cano has seen 4 pitches or more, he has:
+ 8 hits
+ 7 BB
+ 30 outs

While those numbers in PA with 4+ pitches are not stellar - they’re much, much, better than those numbers in PA with 3 pitches or less.

It seems like, at least to start with something, Cano should work on going deeper into counts while he’s at the plate. But, then again, that’s something that he’s always had to work on, no?

Blame Cano, Jeter, Abreu & Giambi For Yanks O-Woes

Don’t believe me? Check the latest A.L. Leaders & Trailers in Runs Created Above Average (RCAA) as of this morning (via the Complete Baseball Encyclopedia).

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A-Rod’s April

This off-season, Hank Steinbrenner elected to make Alex Rodriguez the new face of the Yankees franchise - when Hank gave A-Rod his monster contract deal. So, how was the new face’s first month on the job compared to his other March/April starts in Yankeeland? Here are the stats via Baseball-Reference.com:

YEAR   G	  PA   HR  RBI  BB	 BA     OBP   SLG	  OPS    BAbip   tOPS+
2004   23	 102   04	  07  10	.253   .333   .440	  0.773   .264     075
2005   24	 109   09	  27  07	.304   .349   .618	  0.966   .314     084
2006   23	 105   05	  16  17	.267   .390   .477	  0.867   .290     091
2007   23	 106   14	  34  09	.355   .415   .882	  1.297   .328     135
2008   24	 099   04	  11  06	.286   .343   .495	  0.838   .324     100

As you can see, Alex’s start this season is not close, at all, to the awesome start he had in 2007. In fact, in some respects, his start this season is very close to the start that he had in 2004 - which was his least productive season as a Yankee (to date).

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Is It O.K. To “Boo” LaTroy Now?

Some stats via the Complete Baseball Encyclopedia:

A.L. RIGHT HANDED PITCHERS with G >= 10 & G.S. = 0
BASERUNNERS/9 IP and ERA are vs. the league average

			RSAA	G	GS	BR/9 IP	ERA
1	LaTroy Hawkins	-6	11	0	-2.13	-4.25
2	Jeremy Accardo	-4	11	0	-1.98	-3.69
3	Joaquin Benoit	-3	10	0	-4.34	-2.44
T4	Dennis Sarfate	-1	10	0	-2.98	-1.69
T4	Manny Delcarmen	-1	12	0	-0.48	-0.75
T4	Matt Guerrier	-1	11	0	-1.42	-0.08
T4	Mark Lowe    	-1	10	0	-2.94	-0.60
T4	Huston Street	-1	10	0	 0.31	-0.45
T9	Fran. Rodriguez	 0	12	0	-0.48	 0.09
T9	Jamey Wright	 0	11	0	-1.77	-0.19
T9	Pat Neshek	 0	11	0	 4.02	 0.22

So, there’s a case to be made that, to date, LaTroy Hawkins has been the least effective regularly-used RH-reliever in the American League. And, if not for a great play in yesterday’s game by Alberto Gonzalez, these numbers would be worse.

If Hawkins is still pitching this poorly at the end of May, should the Yankees let him go? If his numbers are this ugly come June 1st, I would send him packing - even if he is a nice guy.

It’s Not A Question Of Fighting Spirit

So far, this season, here’s the Yankees won-loss record broken down by what the score of the game was at the start of the 5th inning:

When ahead, they went on to win 8 of 9 games.
When it was tied, they went on to win 3 of 4 games.
When they were behind, they went on to lose 10 of 11 games.

That last one is some stat, huh? In games, so far, this season, when the Yankees were losing after four innings, they’ve gone on to lose the game 91% of the time.

The problem here is interesting - and the issue is actually the 3rd and 5th innings of games. So far, this season, it’s been the 3rd and 5th innings where the Yankees have allowed their most runs. This is the reason for that 1-10 mark. The 3rd inning puts them behind and then the 5th inning finishes them off. So, it’s not really an issue of the Yankees bats not coming back late - more so, it’s a matter of the starting pitchers letting the game get out of hand early and then really sealing the defeat two innings later.

Melky & Brand Name Pitchers

Nick-YF from YFSF sent me an e-mail today that contained the following:

Recently, Bill James talked about how Craig Biggio always did poorly against good to great pitchers, and he felt that was a reflection of his innate ability (he lacked the true talent to be great, but overachieved against mediocre pitchers). To my eyes and memory, it seems that Melky Cabrera is doing the opposite. But I could be wrong. Does Melky hit better against the better pitchers in the league?

It’s an interesting question, so, I looked into the numbers.

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For Second Year In A Row, Yanks Pen Screams May Day

To me, it seems like Joe Girardi is really working his bullpen hard this season, to date. Granted, there’s good cause for this - as his starting pitchers, outside of Wang or Pettitte, have not always provided many innings in their games. So, I checked the numbers. As of this morning, Girardi has brought a relief pitcher into a game 65 times this season. And, with 6 more games this month, this pro-rates to 82 “calls to the bullpen” before May 1st.

How does this rank to other recent Yankees teams? It’s pretty bad.

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David Cone On Phil Hughes

A few minutes ago, in the YES lead-in to the first pitch of tonight’s game, David Cone, on Phil Hughes, said that that Hughes’ problem this season has been the second and third time that he’s faced batters in a game - meaning that’s when he gets hit. Not trusting Cone (Sorry David!) I decided to check the stats at Baseball-Reference.com - and, guess what? Cone was right. See the following for Hughes, to date, this season, in terms of what batters do after seeing him once in a game:

	PA	BA	OBP	SLG       BAbip
1st PA	37	.233	.324	.300	.269
2nd PA	33	.407	.515	.556	.478
3rd+ PA	13	.538	.538	.538	.538

That’s tattoo-city after the first time through the line-up, indeed. How about last season? Here are the numbers:

	PA	BA	OBP	SLG	BAbip
1st PA	118	.192	.316	.343	.250
2nd PA	117	.273	.308	.436	.299
3rd+ PA	71	.238	.314	.365	.250

Now, that’s much better. This suggests that whatever is happening this year is hopefully a blip type thing. It shouldn’t be a conditioning issue - after all we’ve heard about Phil really being in shape now. Perhaps it’s a pitch selection thing? At the least, it’s something for Girardi, Eiland, Hughes, Posada and Molina to think about…and maybe try something new.

For Yanks, Last Up Is The Main Man

I was just looking at the Yankees team batting splits for 2008 (to date) over at the SNY.tv stats page. And, I noticed this, in terms of how the Yankees batting order is doing, so far, this season:

		AVG	AB	OBP	SLG
Batting	#1	.244	82	.347	.451
Batting	#2	.237	93	.273	.312
Batting	#3	.289	90	.347	.500
Batting	#4	.310	87	.381	.529
Batting	#5	.296	81	.389	.469
Batting	#6	.227	88	.261	.330
Batting	#7	.213	75	.330	.373
Batting	#8	.273	77	.325	.403
Batting	#9	.338	71	.405	.563

Look at that BA/OBP/SLG mark for the Yankees #9 batter - it’s the best on the team, across the board. For the most part, the Yankees #9 batters this season have been Melky Cabrera (25 PA), Alberto Gonzalez (20 PA), Chad Moeller (19 PA) and Jose Molina (10 PA). Hey, way to go guys!

How Are Those Yankees Arms Doing?

2008 stats, to date, via the Complete Baseball Encyclopedia:

		RSAA	ERA	BR/9 IP	SO/BB	     IP
1   White Sox	14	3.45	11.86	2.09	159.1
2   A's		9	3.36	11.67	2.03	182.0
3   Blue Jays	8	3.76	12.66	1.90	177.0
4   Indians	4	4.47	13.63	1.63	167.0
4   Angels	4	4.12	12.76	1.72	177.0
6   Royals	3	4.07	12.31	2.14	166.0
7   Orioles	2	4.34	13.02	1.32	168.0
8   Twins		0	3.80	11.20	2.65	168.0
9   Mariners	-1	4.09	13.32	1.77	173.2
10  Rays		-2	4.15	12.07	1.97	167.0
10  Rangers	-2	4.37	15.05	1.08	171.0
12  Yankees	-5	4.60	13.09	2.02	174.0
13  Red Sox	-7	4.76	13.19	1.64	176.0
14  Tigers	-27	5.69	14.69	1.18	166.0

Pretty much as one would expect - the Yankees pitching is 12th out of fourteen so far this season - in terms of overall effectiveness. But, in terms of BR/9 IP they’re middle of the pack. And, their SO/BB ratio is not bad at all. So, what’s the problem?

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How Are Those Yankees Bats Doing?

2008 stats, to date, via the Complete Baseball Encyclopedia:

		RCAA	SEC	ISO	OWP	BPA
1  Red Sox	20	.276	.151	.585	.479
2  Angels		11	.250	.147	.556	.464
3  Rangers	9	.278	.157	.548	.471
4  Rays		6	.264	.144	.530	.449
5  A's		5	.234	.107	.518	.415
6  Yankees	2	.269	.160	.512	.460
7  Tigers		1	.274	.137	.497	.439
8  White Sox	0	.315	.182	.509	.466
9  Blue Jays	-2	.265	.111	.485	.429
10 Orioles	-3	.288	.150	.483	.465
11 Mariners	-5	.261	.144	.477	.434
12 Twins		-14	.196	.099	.412	.381
13 Royals		-15	.192	.094	.417	.390
14 Indians	-23	.239	.116	.378	.414

Despite decent power (ISO, SEC), New York’s overall offensive production has been “middle of the pack” type stuff (RCAA, OWP, BPA) so far this season. Too much “all or nothing” and not enough “anything and often”? Yeah, you could say that.

Giambi’s Batting Skill Worthless & Yanks Should Cut Him

One of the splits that they track at Baseball-Reference.com is how a batter does against Power and Finesse pitchers. This is how they see each type of pitcher:

Power pitchers strike out or walk more than 28% of batters faced, Finesse pitchers strike out or walks less than 24% of batters faced. Stats are based on the three years before and after (when available), and the season for when the split is computed. A split in 1994 would consider years 1991-1997.

Note these Power/Finesse splits for Jason Giambi over the last three seasons - with 2008 being as of this morning:

2008		PA	 BA	 OBP	SLG     BAbip
vs.  Power	35	.037	.229	.037	.048
vs.  avg.P/F	 3	.000	.333	.000	.000
vs.  Finesse	17	.286	.412	.857	.182

2007		 PA	 BA	 OBP	SLG     BAbip
vs.  Power	 84	.176	.333	.206	.293
vs.  avg.P/F	149	.248	.349	.496	.261
vs.  Finesse       70	.281     .400	.561	.239

2006		PA	 BA	 OBP	SLG     BAbip
vs.  Power	122	.157	.369	.348	.153
vs.  avg.P/F	311	.280	.434	.561	.296
vs.  Finesse	146	.271	.404	.712	.207

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How’s A-Rod Doing In The Clutch This Year?

So far, this year, Alex has been terrible in the “clutch.” But, there’s only been 12 such Plate Appearances (PA) on him to look at here. Some career “clutch” situational splits for Alex Rodriguez via Baseball-Reference.com -

2008		PA	BA	OBP	SLG	BAbip   sOPS+
High Lvrge	12	.167	.167	.250	.286	 14
Medium Lvrge	30	.259	.333	.481	.300	122
Low Lvrge	31	.414	.452	.793	.409	228

2007		PA	BA	OBP	SLG	BAbip	sOPS+
High Lvrge	132	.349	.439	.706	.360	196
Medium Lvrge	312	.328	.433	.660	.333	182
Low Lvrge	264	.278	.402	.594	.255	164

2006		PA	BA	OBP	SLG	BAbip	sOPS+
High Lvrge	150	.273	.367	.500	.300	124
Medium Lvrge	266	.251	.380	.429	.280	110
Low Lvrge	258	.338	.419	.627	.387	174

2005		PA	BA	OBP	SLG	BAbip	sOPS+
High Lvrge	131	.268	.366	.509	.291	130
Medium Lvrge	280	.345	.454	.629	.394	185
Low Lvrge	304	.322	.414	.636	.332	180

2004		PA	BA	OBP	SLG	BAbip	sOPS+
High Lvrge	126	.314	.405	.559	.329	152
Medium Lvrge	249	.310	.398	.551	.329	144
Low Lvrge	323	.258	.347	.466	.283	115

Lvrge = Game importance of the PA.
BAbip = Batting Average on balls in play.
sOPS+ = OPS+ of this split relative to the major league OPS for this split.

Check out those sOPS+ marks for High Leverage situations with 2008 being through last night:

sOPS+	Year
196	2007
152	2004
130	2005
124	2006
014	2008

Granted, again, it’s a small sample size for 2008. But, at this pace, 2008 looks to be, at least, as “un-clutch” a season for A-Rod as 2006. Then again, it is important to stress that an sOPS+ of 124 in High Leverage situations in 2006 still means Alex was above average in those situations. It’s just that he’s not as “clutch” as he was in 2005, 2004, and 2007.

So, How’s The Yankees Defense & Pitching Doing?

If you looked at the metrics available via The Hardball Times, as of this morning, you’d see this:

R/G	ERA	FIP	DER	SLG	LOB%
NYA	4.21	4.06	4.00	0.702	0.382	71%
League	4.42	4.16	4.16	0.698	0.399	72%

LD%	GB%	IF/Fly	K/G	BB/G	HR/G	HR/Fly
NYA	20%	49%	 9%	6.4	2.9	0.90	11%
League	18%	46%	17%	6.1	3.4	0.89	11%

That’s pretty much smack-dab in line with being league average, across the board, no?

It will be interesting to see if this improves, declines, or stays the same as the season moves forward.

When Chad Moeller Is A Winner, He’s Not A Loser

Via Baseball-Reference.com - Chad Moeller’s career batting results, in games that his team has won and lost:

PA	  BA   OBP  SLG	 BAbip	tOPS+
in Wins     665	 .258 .327 .405	 .308	132
in Losses   656	 .190 .240 .289	 .240	 68

To be honest, I have no idea what this means. But, it could suggest that he’s got no chance, whatsoever, against good-to-great pitching…and, against weak pitching he’s not an automatic out.

Also, for what it’s worth, when he’s faced with a full-count, in 179 career PA, he’s just a .182-hitter…but, in those spots he also has a career .397 on base average. Now, that’s freaky. Probably the result of batting in front of the pitcher, a lot, in the National League. Better to walk him and take your chances with the pitcher, etc.

Lastly, in 188 lifetime PA, his BA/OBA/SLG line is .304/.311/.459 when he hits the first pitch. So, if he wants to hack at the first pitch, I’m not going to fault him on that…it seems to be working for him.

Jose “Mr. Doubles” Molina

Jose Molina had two doubles in the Yankees game today.

True story: Since the start of the 2001 season, this is only the third time where the Yankees “back-up” catcher had a game where he hit two doubles in the contest. That’s just three times in the last seven (and a tad) seasons.

In addition to Molina today, Wil Nieves last did it on July 21, 2007 and Todd Greene did it before Nieves on June 7, 2001. (Thanks to Baseball-Reference.com’s Play Index Batting Game Finder for this information.)

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Melky Is Money

I love the fact that Baseball-Reference.com now gives you splits for Leverage Situations. Check out Melky Cabrera’s career numbers on this to date:

G	  PA	AB    BA   OBP	 SLG   OPS  BAbip  tOPS+
High Lvrge   149  220	189  .323 .369	.444  .814  .370    122
Medium Lvrge 235  437	395  .258 .319	.377  .697  .280     90
Low Lvrge    242  521	460  .272 .348	.376  .724  .290     99

This suggests that Melky brings his game up a notch or two when the chips are on the line. It’s nice when the numbers support what you believe is true.

Phil Hughes First 15 Big League Career Starts

I thought it would be interesting to look at the start of Phil Hughes’ big league career, in terms of his “Game Scores.”

Game Score is a measure of pitching performance for starting pitchers developed by Bill James.

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Mano De Piedra Posada?

Emma Span, over at Bronx Banter, wonders “Is Jorge Posada good at calling games?”

Well, the good folks at The Hardball Times have some data that is helpful at looking at such a question.

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