The Boston Red Sox have won 25 of their last 36 games, and have won 17 of their last 23 games, and now sit just 5 games behind the New York Yankees, in, as the great Scooter would call it, the all-important loss column.
And, some Yankees fans are starting to hear Red Sox Nation footsteps…
Now, to this, those into math will remind of us the following:
If the Yankees play just .500 baseball for the rest of the season, and go 7-7 in their remaining games, then the Red Sox will have to go 15-1 in their remaining games to pass New York in the standings. Yeah, fifteen and one…
Fat chance, huh?
But, here’s where it gets interesting. The Yankees have 5 more games on their current road trip – two with the Mariners and three with the Angels. And, after that, they meet the Red Sox for three games in Yankee Stadium. And, the Red Sox have 6 more games on their current road trip before coming to the Bronx – two with the Orioles and four against the Royals.
So, the Yankees have to deal with the M’s for two and then tackle the Angels – who usually plays New York well. And, on the other hand, the Red Sox play the O’s and Royals – two last place teams who have lost 6 out of every 10 this season, on average.
So, what happens if the Yankees go 2-3 in their next 5 games…which is possible…and, while that happens, the Red Sox go 5-1 in their next 6 games…which is asking a lot, but, it’s not impossible?
Then, when Boston comes into New York for a three-game set on September 25th, the Red Sox will start the series being just three games behind the Yankees in the loss cloumn. Yup, three games back with three games to be played head-to-head.
Interesting, huh? All of a sudden, that “15-1″ thing seems moot, eh?
But, here’s the deal…before we, in Yankeeland, get our panties all up in a bunch over this…let’s see the Yankees lose 3 of their next 5, first, while the Red Sox win 5 of their next 6…OK?
Plus, remember, in the past, the Red Sox have shown that they don’t care – whatsoever – how they make the playoffs…as long as they make them. And, right now, Boston has a 7 game lead in the wildcard race. The Red Sox magic number to take the ‘card is ten. Further, the team behind them, in the wildcard standings, the Texas Rangers, have lost 6 of their last 7 games. The Rangers are tanking.
There’s an excellent chance that the Red Sox may clinch the Wildcard six days from now…and, once that’s done, I expect them to go into Spring Training mode (and prepare for the post-season). Therefore, if you want to worry about the Red Sox…save it for the ALCS…should the Yankees get that far.
But, of course, I reserve the right to cancel that recommendation if the Yankees lose three of their next five, the Red Sox win five of their next six, and the Rangers win six games in a row…
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